ilmscore | Prediction Details
"So J Powell, who's a chair of the Federal Reserve, said that there was a strong disagreement among the committee members about what they're going to do in December because of the lack of government reports. They're on a foggy path. That's what he said. Okay. Okay, so before the government shutdown, there was a 93% chance that they were going to cut interest rates in December. But now the odds have fallen to 70%."
By ClearValue Tax | October 31, 2025 | Incorrect
From video
Government Shutdown Turning Into a National Crisis — SNAP Cuts, TSA Unpaid, Markets on Edge 00:05:50:560 - 00:06:11:840
Interpreted Prediction
Due to a lack of economic data caused by the government shutdown, there is now a 70% chance the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in December, down from a previous 93% chance.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated a 70% chance of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December 2025 due to a lack of economic data from a government shutdown. However, the Federal Reserve increased the federal funds rate target range by 25 basis points at the December 2025 meeting.

Prediction Details

Topic
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cut

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