ilmscore | Prediction Details
By ClearValue Tax | November 21, 2025 | Correct
Interpreted Prediction
Following the jobs report on November 20th, the likelihood of a December rate cut rose from 32.8% to 39.5%.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated the likelihood of a December rate cut increased. News reports from December 2025 indicate that the Federal Reserve decided to hold steady on interest rates at its December meeting, but the possibility of future rate cuts remained. Therefore, the prediction that the likelihood of a rate cut increased can be considered somewhat accurate as the market anticipated potential rate cuts in the future, even if one didn't occur in December.

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