ilmscore | Prediction Details
"So the the basic expectation is that there will be some additional increase inflation because it takes a while for tariffs to work their way through the through the production chain and finally get to consumers. And we see this now from the from the tariffs that were put in place now many months ago. We see those effects. But if you put tariffs in effect and they've been coming into effect consistently in, you know, February, March, April, May, and that's all happening. So that'll continue to happen for some time, probably into the spring. These are not big increases, though. These are a tenth or so on inflation. They may be big increases on a particular product that's been tariffed. But overall, these are fairly modest. I think, you know, some projections go we're 2.8% inflation. You might get two or three more tents or four more tents maybe. But then as as all the tariffs are in, they stop generating inflation. You've had a one-time price increase."
By ClearValue Tax | October 29, 2025 | Correct
From video
The Fed Just Confirmed the Money Printing Pivot! 00:08:33.519 - 00:09:31.200
Interpreted Prediction
Tariffs are expected to cause a moderate, one-time increase in inflation, likely into the spring, adding a tenth of a percent or so, with the total inflation potentially reaching around 2.8% plus a few more tenths.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction estimated inflation to reach around 2.8% plus a few more tenths into the spring. According to the US Inflation Calculator, the average inflation rate in the spring of 2025 (March-May) was around 3.1%, which is a bit higher than the prediction but in the general direction.

Prediction Details

Topic
Tariff Inflation

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