ilmscore | Prediction Details
"As a share of nominal GDP, our balance sheet has fallen from 35% to about 21%. In December, we'll enter the next phase of our normalization plans by holding the size of our balance sheet steady for a time while reserve balances continue to move gradually lower as other non-reserve liabilities such as currency keep growing."
By ClearValue Tax | October 29, 2025 | Correct
From video
The Fed Just Confirmed the Money Printing Pivot! 00:10:40.000 - 00:10:58.560
Interpreted Prediction
Starting in December, the Federal Reserve will enter a new phase of normalization by holding its balance sheet steady for a period, while reserve balances decrease and other liabilities like currency increase.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated that starting in December 2025, the Federal Reserve would hold its balance sheet steady while reserve balances decrease and other liabilities like currency increase. Based on Federal Reserve data and reports, this has generally been the case.

Prediction Details

Topic
Federal Reserve Monetary Policy

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