ilmscore | US Default Likelihood Predictions
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Recent Predictions

Total: 1
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 1
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Prediction
Author
Predicted at
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Video
The speaker believes a US default is unlikely because the consequences would be too severe, and no political party would want to be responsible for the first-ever default.
"my opinion is that it's probably not since defaulting would be significantly worse than agreeing to ..."
May 11, 2023
Pending