ilmscore | It Started: The 'Great Melt-Up' Of 2025 (Dollar Collapsing, Stocks Skyrocketing)

It Started: The 'Great Melt-Up' Of 2025 (Dollar Collapsing, Stocks Skyrocketing)

Published: 2025-07-03
Status: Available | Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 6
Correct: 2
Incorrect: 1
Pending: 3
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
JPMorgan predicts a 10-20% decline of the US dollar against the Euro and Japanese Yen in the medium term due to its overvaluation unwinding.
"Even JP Morgan called for a dollar reset, saying that the dollar's long-standing overvaluation is beginning to unwind, which could result in a 10 to 20% decline against major peers such as the euro and Japanese yen over the median term."
USD
Incorrect
Historically, the S&P 500 has shown positive performance in post-election years, with this trend occurring in 9 out of the last 10 cycles over 40 years.
"The S&P 500 has been higher in a post-election year nine of the past 10 cycles going back 40 years."
SPX
Correct
Deutsche Bank predicts a rapid de-dollarization process.
"The head researcher of Deutsche Bank said that the damage has been done. The market is reassessing the structural attractiveness of the dollar as the world's reserve currency and is undergoing a process of rapid deollization."
US Dollar Decline
Pending
70% of surveyed individuals no longer wish to invest in the dollar due to geopolitical risks, a significant increase from 31% the previous year.
"recent surveys found that 70% said that they no longer want to invest in the dollar due to growing geopolitical risks, up from 31% a year ago."
US Dollar Decline
Pending
Vanguard forecasts below-average stock market returns for the next 30 years, suggesting international markets may offer more growth potential.
"Vanguard now predicts lower than usual returns over the next 30 years, and international markets, in comparison, might have more room to grow."
Stock Market Performance
Pending
Analysts anticipate the trend of dollar decline to persist through 2026, exacerbated by the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates.
"many analysts expect this trend to continue throughout 2026, especially as the Fed lowers interest rates, thereby making US treasuries that much less enticing to buy."
US Dollar Decline
Correct