ilmscore | Prediction Details
"my opinion is that it's probably not since defaulting would be significantly worse than agreeing to spend more or less money and I think we could probably say that no one is actually daring enough to be the one to cause the first ever default in the United States even though they might pretend like it I doubt they would actually go through with it"
By Graham Stephan | May 11, 2023 | Pending
From video
Why America Is Going Bankrupt 00:08:52 - 00:09:11
Interpreted Prediction
The speaker believes a US default is unlikely because the consequences would be too severe, and no political party would want to be responsible for the first-ever default.

Prediction Details

Topic
US Default Likelihood

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