Mac
Macroeconomics
Topic
N/A
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 116
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
TJ expects significant market chaos in August 2025 due to tariffs.
"I do think most of August we're going to be seeing a lot of chaos around the tariffs"
Aug 5, 2025
Pending
TJ believes there will be three consecutive interest rate cuts, starting in September 2025, as predicted by Goldman Sachs.
"Good times are coming in September. Goldman Sachs talking about three straight rate cuts. I believe ..."
Aug 5, 2025
Pending
A high likelihood of interest rate cuts in September (2025).
"we've got a very high uh likelihood that we see rate cuts in September."
Aug 4, 2025
Pending
High likelihood of rate cuts in September 2025.
"we've got a very high uh likelihood that we see rate cuts in September."
Aug 4, 2025
Pending
The Fed will implement two more interest rate cuts before the end of 2025 and continue with more cuts in 2026.
"They'll probably get two more cuts before the end of this year. Then we're going to have more cuts i..."
Aug 4, 2025
Pending
Inflation will rise in August 2025.
"inflation starting to head higher"
Aug 1, 2025
Pending
A Fed rate cut is expected in September 2025, which will coincide with and fuel altcoin market euphoria.
"everything points to a Fed cut in September, which would be right in time for the euphoria and all s..."
Jul 25, 2025
Pending
The narrative for the 2026 market drop will likely involve inflationary pressures from tariffs and a rising unemployment rate.
"my guess is that the narrative for next year for 2026 that will accompany that drop will likely be, ..."
Jul 19, 2025
Pending
Interest rates are predicted to decline.
"interest rates should decline."
Jul 15, 2025
Pending
A Fed rate cut is predicted to occur in July 2025, provided political factors do not interfere, despite a low probability of it happening.
"I've been saying July cut, guys. I've been saying July cut. I don't know if it's happening. There is..."
Jul 10, 2025
Pending
Interest rate cuts are predicted to occur in September 2025.
"We're going to see rate cuts in September."
Jul 8, 2025
Pending
Interest rate cuts are predicted to be approaching.
"All of this is happening as inflation cools, rate cuts approach, and capital rotates aggressively in..."
Jul 2, 2025
Pending
Interest rate cuts are predicted for September, leading to nice price action in August and a strong fall season.
"We're going to get the interest rate cuts in September. You start getting nice price action in Augus..."
Jun 25, 2025
Pending
Massive GDP expansion is predicted in 2026 (potentially latter half), and true Quantitative Tightening (QT) is not expected until 2027-2028.
"I think 2026, 2027, uh and I've I've said this time and time again, the four-year cycle is over. I t..."
Jun 24, 2025
Pending
Interest rates are predicted to be significantly reduced by Q2 of 2026, leading to huge economic expansion.
"that would leave us at probably really reduced interest rates moving into Q2 of 2026. And I think yo..."
Jun 24, 2025
Pending
Deflation is not expected to occur in the future.
"it's like we are not going to see deflation ever. We've never seen that in the history of the Federa..."
Jun 16, 2025
Pending
M2 supply is predicted to continue increasing in the near future.
"M2 supply is a major indicator that we're looking at right now. I still see it coming up going going..."
Jun 15, 2025
Pending
The first 25 basis point Fed rate cut is expected in September 2025.
"Reajusted now to September, that is when we're expecting the first 25 basis point rate cut."
Jun 11, 2025
Pending
The Fed will implement 50 to 75 basis points of rate cuts in 2025.
"I'm still somebody that thinks we're going to get that 50 to75 [basis point cuts] this year."
Jun 11, 2025
Pending
More international trade deals will be announced over the next few weeks from June 2025, leading to continued positive price action in crypto markets throughout Summer 2025.
"They're going to roll be rolling them out over the next couple weeks, you know? ... I think we're go..."
Jun 11, 2025
Pending
Author predicts an impending recession and significant changes in the housing and stock markets shortly after June 2025.
"I feel like we're on the verge of some big market changes to the housing market, stock market, a rec..."
Jun 6, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to have the capacity to lower interest rates in the second half of 2025, facilitated by the resolution of tariff issues and a lack of commodity inflation.
"The Fed has the room to lower in the back half of this year. Now that the tariff stuff's being figur..."
May 12, 2025
Pending
Quantitative Tightening (QT) is predicted to end around August-September 2025, potentially sooner if the stock market experiences a lower low.
"And if the stock market falls into a lower low, then there's a good chance they'd be ending QT aroun..."
May 11, 2025
Pending
Global M2 is a possibility to continue pumping into 2026, leading to a heated global business cycle, according to Real Vision.
"what if what if global M2 keeps pumping well into 2026, which the guys over at Real Vision think is ..."
Apr 10, 2025
Pending
The global business cycle is currently at its bottom, indicating that an entire cycle of growth lies ahead, as stated by Tech Dev.
"We are right now at the bottom of the global business cycle. Okay, that's very interesting, isn't it..."
Apr 10, 2025
Pending
Macroeconomic factors, influenced by tariffs, will show significant and telling reactions in April 2025.
"April I think is the month when we see how macro really reacts to all this tariff stuff and it's goi..."
Apr 2, 2025
Pending
A recession is predicted to occur when the specific US interest rates metric (US interest rates minus the 2-year yield) touches its defined trend line.
"whenever this metric hits this trend line there is ultimately a recession"
Feb 27, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to initiate another round of quantitative easing, with sentiment changes starting mid-March 2025 and the shift occurring in April 2025.
"I feel like there'll be one more run on the money printer and uh you know it's just a matter of time..."
Feb 24, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is expected to end Quantitative Tightening (QT) by March 2025.
"until the FED ends QT which I think they're going to do probably by March"
Feb 3, 2025
Pending
Inflation is expected to decrease slightly in the coming months, particularly due to current market scares.
"inflation will likely come back down a little bit as the months go on especially with Market scares ..."
Feb 3, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is expected to end Quantitative Tightening (QT) if the stock market experiences a drop of 10-20%.
"if the stock market drops 10 15 20% Then pal is going to care and they'll probably they'll probably ..."
Feb 3, 2025
Pending
The US is predicted to enter the greatest quantitative easing event in history, leading to an explosion in asset prices across tech stocks and crypto.
"We're just about to go into I think the greatest quantitive easing event in the history of the US do..."
Jan 27, 2025
Pending
The US is predicted to enter a period mirroring 2007, with interest rates dropping incredibly low, unemployment rising, and an unprecedented quantitative easing event. This will channel significant 'digital dollars' (stablecoins) into the global economy, leading to a surge in risk-on asset prices, benefiting asset holders while those without assets will face hardship.
"I mean in my opinion from my research we're in the exact same position we were in 2007... I think th..."
Jan 27, 2025
Pending
With rising inflation in 2025, it is unlikely that quantitative tightening will end soon.
"with inflation going up it's not necessarily the most likely scenario for the in quantitative tighte..."
Jan 24, 2025
Pending
Quantitative tightening may not end in 2025 until a 'spooky data point' (e.g., in unemployment or inflation) causes a growth scare.
"and quantitative tightening might not end until there's a spooky data point somewhere that leads to ..."
Jan 24, 2025
Pending
An increase in the unemployment rate in 2025 could trigger quantitative easing by the Fed, shifting the market cycle.
"if the unemployment rate starts to move back up again right early this year or or anytime this year ..."
Jan 24, 2025
Pending
The US Dollar Index (DXY) and the 10-year yield are predicted to top in Q1 2025.
"I think the dollar and the long and yal Curve will Top in q1 of 2025 that is my base case"
Jan 12, 2025
Pending
Both interest rates and inflation are expected to decrease over a long period.
"with regards to interest rates and inflation these will both come down for a long time"
Jan 5, 2025
Pending
Quantitative Easing (QE) is predicted to begin soon (late 2024 / early 2025).
"I think QE will probably happen at some point soon"
Nov 23, 2024
Pending
The real effects of macroeconomic problems, such as a weakening labor market and inflation, are predicted to become apparent sometime in 2025.
"my guess is we're going to start to see the real effects of all that stuff sometime in 2025"
Nov 22, 2024
Pending
Quantitative Easing (QE) is predicted to return no earlier than December 18, 2024.
"QB is likely not going to return until December at the earliest right I mean if you look at at CME G..."
Nov 11, 2024
Pending
Unemployment numbers are predicted to increase.
"the unemployment numbers should naturally begin to pick up"
Oct 28, 2024
Pending
The transfer of wealth from Baby Boomers to Millennials will be a significant, gradual factor over the next 10 to 15 years.
"the Boomer um leaving all their wealth to the Millennials that will be a big factor but that's going..."
Oct 14, 2024
Pending
The Fed funds rate is predicted to reach 4% before the end of 2024.
"I think I think maybe maybe when the FED funds rate gets to 4% is kind of my base case at this point..."
Oct 3, 2024
Pending
A global money print of $70 to $100 trillion will occur for climate change initiatives.
"I think that's probably what's going to happen there going to be a 70 to 100 trillion dollar print g..."
Sep 23, 2024
Pending
Interest rate cuts are imminent (as of September 2024).
"We're just about to see the r Cuts happen"
Sep 20, 2024
Pending
The US will continue its reliance on inflation and monetary expansion to manage national debt and economic stability.
"the situation that our C our country is in where we're kind of Reliant now on inflation and on creat..."
Sep 6, 2024
Pending
Fundstrat (Sean Farrell) believes a stagflationary period leading to a cyclical downturn for the economy and crypto is not currently on the table due to the Fed's current stance.
"the worst case scenario for crypto which would be a stagflationary period in which real growth is sl..."
Sep 5, 2024
Pending
Fundstrat (Sean Farrell) predicts a soft landing for the economy into year-end 2024, leading to constructive conditions for crypto prices.
"our money is still on the soft Landing path... I think once we get some you know soft but non recess..."
Sep 5, 2024
Pending
The 2-year and 10-year US Treasury yield curve has a non-negligible chance of uninverting in September 2024.
"The two-year and the 10-year yields are almost uninverted... there's a non-negligible chance it'll a..."
Sep 2, 2024
Pending