ilmscore | Macroeconomics Predictions
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Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 116
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 116
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
The unemployment rate is predicted to stay in the 4% range, leading the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, which could eventually trigger a FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) cycle in the stock market.
"you're staying unemployment rate in the fours we got the FED start cutting rates here the Market's d..."
Aug 19, 2024
Pending
The long-term inflation rate will be approximately 3.5% to 4%.
"I am willing to bet on a 3 and a halfish 4% long-term inflation rate"
Aug 5, 2024
Pending
India's inflation is moving towards a target of 4%.
"India's inflation is still low, stable and moving towards the target of Rs 4."
Jul 24, 2024
Pending
Interest rate cuts were predicted for late 2024, with quantitative easing (QE) expected to resume by sometime in 2025.
"I do think we're going to get interest rate Cuts later this year and I think we're going to PIV it b..."
Jul 9, 2024
Pending
The Core Producer Price Index (PPI) report, scheduled for release on Wednesday at 8:30 AM before market open, is predicted to cause an influx of volatility in the market.
"today on Wednesday write this down Wednesday at 8:30 we going to get hit with the oop look at this w..."
May 13, 2024
Pending
Nick predicts the Federal Reserve will pivot (lower interest rates) before the November 2024 US election, driven by economic data and trends.
"I think it's definitely going to see a pivot before the election because it just seems like it's goi..."
May 9, 2024
Pending
A banking crisis, caused by commercial real estate issues, is predicted to occur, leading to risk assets (including Bitcoin) 'going to the moon'.
"there will be a banking crisis because of commercial real estate and other things like that are goin..."
Apr 8, 2024
Pending
The next major bear market will be an 'unemployment bear cycle,' causing widespread financial pain and losses for many investors.
"the next time we have the Big Bear cycle which that will be an unemployment bear cycle and that will..."
Mar 12, 2024
Pending
Net liquidity indicator is predicted to roll over and decline in the late April-May timeframe, contingent on DXY following Bitcoin dominance pattern and central bank balance sheet reduction.
"I could see the net liquidity indicator sort of rolling back over and going back down because you kn..."
Mar 8, 2024
Pending
If the US unemployment rate rises above 4% in the next few months, it could trigger a significant pullback or 'scare' for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market, potentially followed by a temporary dip in unemployment before another rise.
"if you see the unemployment rate go above 4% sometime in the next few months you could get a larger ..."
Feb 28, 2024
Pending
After the 2008 crisis, the economy would not return to normal, remaining broken with persistently low interest rates.
"it's not it's not going to return to normal it's broken it's interest rates are going to stay low ev..."
Feb 28, 2024
Pending
A breakdown in the 2-year yield is anticipated to occur in the future.
"the breakdown hasn't come yet meaning that is still ahead"
Feb 13, 2024
Pending
Federal Reserve balance sheet to be reduced to approximately $7.5 trillion.
"maybe they only take it down to about 16% to approximately 7 and 1/2 Tron"
Feb 10, 2024
Pending
The unemployment rate is predicted to increase soon, following the aggressive drop in new hires ('highers').
"if it's going up it's only a matter of time before the unemployment rate starts to go up and it's be..."
Jan 26, 2024
Pending
The yield curve (2-year and 10-year spread) is predicted to become uninverted in 2024, which is expected to signal economic weakness.
"at some point I imagine it will become uninverted uh this year [2024]... normally that signals weakn..."
Jan 26, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to implement rate cuts in 2024.
"I I think there will be rate Cuts in 2024 that's my base case is that we get rate Cuts this year"
Jan 7, 2024
Pending