ilmscore | US Economy / Recession Predictions

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Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 5

Correct: 1

Incorrect: 1

Pending: 3

Unrated: 0

Prediction

Author

Predicted at

Status

Video

Goldman Sachs predicted a 25% chance of a recession in the US economy within the next year (from 2024-08-10).

"Goldman Sachs raised its odds of a recession occurring in the next year from 15 to 25%"

Aug 10, 2024

Incorrect

Claudia Sahm predicted that the Sahm Rule will not accurately predict a recession in the current economic situation.

"Claudia s doesn't think the law is going to be right this time"

Aug 10, 2024

Correct

A recession is predicted to start in Q4 2024.

"indeed we think it could be a painful as we move into the fourth quarter is when our best guess of w..."

Aug 3, 2024

Pending

The US economy is predicted to avoid a recession during the current economic cycle.

"we will get away getting through this and cycle cycle without seeing a recession"

Jul 11, 2024

Pending

Predicted a recession would occur in the US sometime in 2024, potentially between mid-year and Q4.

"I went through a bunch of recession indicators and they're all flashing to say that we are going to ..."

Feb 15, 2024

Pending