ilmscore | US National Debt Predictions
66.7%
Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 59
Correct: 10
Incorrect: 5
Pending: 44
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
The current US national debt is approximately $38 trillion.
"Well, all of this deficit every year is rolled up into a number called our national debt, which righ..."
Jan 1, 2026
Incorrect
The US national debt is predicted to exceed $40 trillion in the year following the transcript's recording (2025).
"we're going to surpass $40 trillion next year."
Dec 8, 2025
Incorrect
The US national debt is projected to surpass $40 trillion in 2025 (the year following the transcript's recording).
"we're going to surpass $40 trillion next year."
Dec 8, 2025
Correct
The United States has a national debt exceeding $30 trillion due to spending more money than it brings in.
"So that's why we have this national debt of $30 trillion, this national deficit."
Nov 16, 2025
Correct
In 2024, US government interest payments on debt exceeded defense spending for the first time in history.
"And for the first time in the history of American history, the government is paying more money to pa..."
Nov 15, 2025
Incorrect
Russia alleges that the US is attempting to devalue its $37 trillion national debt by utilizing stablecoins, cryptocurrency, and gold, suggesting potential implications for dollar holdings, stablecoins, and retirement funds.
"Russia accused the United States of trying to devalue its $ 37 trillion of national debt without inf..."
Nov 10, 2025
Pending
Russia alleges the US is attempting to devalue its $37 trillion national debt using stablecoins, cryptocurrency, and gold.
"Russia accused the United States of trying to devalue its $ 37 trillion of national debt without inf..."
Nov 4, 2025
Pending
US federal government debt exceeded $38 trillion.
"The federal government is now in debt by over 38 trillion."
Nov 3, 2025
Correct
The US national debt currently exceeds $37 trillion.
"The United States government owes more than $37 trillion."
Oct 27, 2025
Correct
The US national debt has surpassed $37 trillion.
"The United States government owes more than $37 trillion."
Oct 21, 2025
Pending
The US national debt has surpassed $37 trillion.
"The United States government owes more than $37 trillion."
Oct 15, 2025
Correct
The US national debt has surpassed $37 trillion.
"The United States government owes more than $37 trillion."
Oct 13, 2025
Correct
The United States national debt is identified as a potential trigger for a market downturn.
"there's a lot of concerns about the United States national debt."
Oct 10, 2025
Pending
The United States national debt is a concern that could potentially trigger a market downturn.
"There's a lot of concerns about the United States national debt."
Oct 10, 2025
Pending
US national debt exceeds $37 trillion.
"The United States government owes more than $37 trillion."
Oct 6, 2025
Pending
The US national debt is projected to exceed $37 trillion.
"The United States government owes more than $37 trillion."
Oct 2, 2025
Pending
The US national debt is estimated to be nearly $30 trillion.
"and I think today that debt is almost $30 trillion"
Sep 20, 2025
Incorrect
The US national debt is stated to be approximately $37 trillion.
"The United States government owes 37 some trillion dollars in national debt"
Aug 29, 2025
Pending
The US national debt is expected to be impacted over the next 12-24 months.
"over the next 12 to 24 months, this is going to be important because it can impact our national debt..."
Jul 24, 2025
Pending
US national debt was approximately $500 billion in 1975, $27 trillion in 2020, and over $36 trillion in 2025.
"In 1975, the United States of America had roughly $500 billion worth of national debt. By 2020, that..."
Jul 14, 2025
Pending
Ray Dalio suggests the US has three options to address its unsustainable debt path: increase taxes, cut spending, or lower interest rates to manage debt interest payments.
"the United States is on an unsustainable path and there are only three options to fix it. One would ..."
Jun 18, 2025
Correct
Moody's downgraded the US in 2025 due to concerns about growing national debt and potentially shrinking tax revenue.
"in 2025, it was the icing on the cake when Moody's downgraded the United States because Moody's was ..."
May 30, 2025
Pending
Moody's downgraded the US credit rating from AAA to AA1 due to concerns about national debt.
"Moody's, who was one of the big three credit rating agencies, downgraded the United States from a AA..."
May 21, 2025
Pending
Lower interest rates will make it cheaper for the US government to borrow and refinance approximately $9 trillion of debt this year.
"they make it cheaper for the government to borrow and refinance its debt of which this year there wi..."
Apr 4, 2025
Correct
Lower interest rates, potentially triggered by tariffs, would make it cheaper for the US government to borrow and refinance its approximately $9 trillion in debt.
"they make it cheaper for the government to borrow and refinance its debt of which this year there wi..."
Apr 4, 2025
Incorrect
US interest payments on its national debt are projected to approach $1 trillion annually due to higher interest rates.
"The government debt payments went way up because interest rates are now higher than they were a coup..."
Apr 4, 2025
Correct
Elon Musk aims to reduce the US national debt by approximately one trillion dollars.
"musk is vigorously pursuing his ambition to cut around a trillion dollars from the national debt pil..."
Mar 21, 2025
Pending
US national debt exceeds $36 trillion, with a $2 trillion deficit in 2024.
"we have $36 trillion of national debt actually more than that and we spent about $2 trillion more th..."
Mar 4, 2025
Pending
Speculation exists that the US national debt may be subject to reinterpretation due to President Trump's comments on irregularities in Treasury data.
"president Trump's recent comments about irregularities found in US Treasury data have prompted specu..."
Feb 22, 2025
Pending
Increased concern about the US national debt growing faster than the economy, with this worry escalating towards the end of 2024 and into 2025.
"in 2025 so this national debt growing faster than the economy isn't a new concern but it seems like ..."
Jan 4, 2025
Pending
While not predicted for 2025, there's a concern that the US could default on its debts if action isn't taken, as similar situations have occurred in the past.
"I think that we can because we've seen it happen in the past now I'm not saying that's going to happ..."
Dec 31, 2024
Pending
There's a concern that continuously ballooning national debt could lead to a tipping point where the debt becomes unmanageable.
"the concern here is if we keep ballooning our national debt could we ever hit a Tipping Point where ..."
Dec 31, 2024
Pending
The US national debt is growing at a faster rate than the US economy.
"our national debt in the United States is growing even faster than our economy."
Dec 30, 2024
Pending
The US is experiencing significant budget deficits despite having full employment and strong economic growth.
"we're running very large budget deficits at a time of Full Employment and strong growth"
Dec 27, 2024
Pending
The US national debt increased by approximately 59% in the five years leading up to the end of 2024.
"our national debt over the last 5 years has grown by 59%"
Dec 27, 2024
Pending
US national debt has exceeded $36 trillion.
"the United States national debt just passed $36 trillion for the first time ever."
Dec 7, 2024
Pending
Goldman Sachs points out that US national debt is 124% of GDP.
"our national debt is 124% of our GDP"
Nov 20, 2024
Pending
The US government is projected to spend $6.5 trillion, exceeding tax revenue by $2 trillion.
"the United States government is on track to spend about $6.5 trillion which is about $2 trillion mor..."
Oct 4, 2024
Pending
The US national debt has increased due to government spending exceeding revenue, contributing to significant inflation over the past five years.
"the government's national debt has been racking up because the government keeps spending more money ..."
Oct 3, 2024
Pending
Predicted the US national debt crisis will get exponentially worse.
"the US Federal government's national debt crisis it's going to get worse it's going to get exponenti..."
Sep 30, 2024
Correct
US national debt reached $4.7 trillion by 1994, equivalent to 66% of GDP.
"by 1994 the national debt jumped up to $4.7 trillion which was 66% of our total GDP"
Sep 24, 2024
Pending
Between 2004 and 2014, US national debt increased from $7.3 trillion to $17.8 trillion, exceeding GDP at 101%.
"between 2004 and 2014 the national debt really jumped up we went from $7.3 trillion up to $ 17.8 tri..."
Sep 24, 2024
Pending
US national debt was $7.3 trillion in 2004, with debt-to-GDP ratio decreasing to 60%.
"by 2004 the national debt jumped up to $7.3 trillion but the debt to GDP levels actually fell from 6..."
Sep 24, 2024
Pending
Current US national debt exceeds $35 trillion, representing 121% of GDP.
"we're now sitting on over $35 trillion wor the national debt which is 121% of GDP"
Sep 24, 2024
Pending
US national debt was $1.5 trillion in 1984, representing 39% of GDP.
"In 1984 the United States national debt was 1.5 trillion which was 39% of our total GDP"
Sep 24, 2024
Pending
The US national debt is approximately $35 trillion.
"we have about $35 trillion worth of national debt."
Sep 21, 2024
Pending
The US national debt increases by $1 trillion every 100 days.
"every 100 days that passes we add another $1 trillion to the National debt"
Aug 26, 2024
Pending
The US government favors inflation as it reduces the real value of its substantial national debt, allowing it to be repaid with less valuable dollars.
"The government wants inflation because they have $35 trillion worth of national debt. And inflation ..."
Aug 24, 2024
Pending
Inflation is desired by the government to devalue the US national debt of $35 trillion, allowing it to be repaid with cheaper dollars.
"The government wants inflation because they have $35 trillion worth of national debt. And inflation ..."
Aug 24, 2024
Pending
If interest rates reach 14%, the annual cost of servicing the US national debt could rise to $4-5 trillion, potentially exceeding government tax revenue.
"the current debt service cost on the $35 trillion national debt right is about 1.1 trillion a year y..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending