Patrick Boyle

By 2050, Japan is projected to have almost the same number of workers as retirees.

there will be almost the same number of workers in Japan as retirees by 2050.

1 year ago Pending

By 2050, Japan is projected to have almost the same number of workers as retirees.

there will be almost the same number of workers in Japan as retirees by 2050.

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The author suggests the rapid yen decline could spook Japanese consumers, leading them to reduce spending.

the pace of the currency’s decline – which is down about ten percent against the dollar year to date is possibly starting to spook Japanese consumers, which could lead them to reduce their spending – which is the opposite of what policymakers want to happen.

1 year ago Pending

The author suggests the rapid yen decline could spook Japanese consumers, leading them to reduce spending.

the pace of the currency’s decline – which is down about ten percent against the dollar year to date is possibly starting to spook Japanese consumers, which could lead them to reduce their spending – which is the opposite of what policymakers want to happen.

Pending

Manoj Pradhan predicts that government pressure to raise worker wages will lead to 'the right kind of inflation' in Japan over time.

He says that the government's popularity has taken a pounding because real wages in Japan have fallen so badly that it's now pressuring everyone it can to raise worker wages and if that happens over a period of time you're going to get inflation – and the right kind of inflation.

1 year ago Pending

Manoj Pradhan predicts that government pressure to raise worker wages will lead to 'the right kind of inflation' in Japan over time.

He says that the government's popularity has taken a pounding because real wages in Japan have fallen so badly that it's now pressuring everyone it can to raise worker wages and if that happens over a period of time you're going to get inflation – and the right kind of inflation.

Pending

Leo Lewis predicts labor shortages will eventually lead to the Bank of Japan confidently raising interest rates as real wage growth becomes entrenched.

He says that this change may ultimately provide the context in which the central bank is able to confidently raise interest rates as real wage growth becomes entrenched.

1 year ago Pending

Leo Lewis predicts labor shortages will eventually lead to the Bank of Japan confidently raising interest rates as real wage growth becomes entrenched.

He says that this change may ultimately provide the context in which the central bank is able to confidently raise interest rates as real wage growth becomes entrenched.

Pending

Bank of Japan confident the economy will enter a positive output gap, leading to steady income growth and consumer spending, creating a 'virtuous cycle'.

The Bank of Japan discuss in their latest report that over a period of time they are fairly confident that the Japanese economy will get into a positive output Gap – and with that positive output Gap you'll see steady income growth for workers and with that steady income growth you'll get steady growth in consumer spending. This is the “virtuous cycle” that they are talking about between income and spending that they believe will get the Japanese economy rolling.

1 year ago Pending

Bank of Japan confident the economy will enter a positive output gap, leading to steady income growth and consumer spending, creating a 'virtuous cycle'.

The Bank of Japan discuss in their latest report that over a period of time they are fairly confident that the Japanese economy will get into a positive output Gap – and with that positive output Gap you'll see steady income growth for workers and with that steady income growth you'll get steady growth in consumer spending. This is the “virtuous cycle” that they are talking about between income and spending that they believe will get the Japanese economy rolling.

Pending

Nikkei predicts Japan's manufacturing sector profits to grow 16% and nonmanufacturing sector profits to climb 11% in 2024.

Profits from the manufacturing sector look set to grow 16% this year, with the nonmanufacturing sector set to climb 11%. Both of which would be record levels of profitability.

1 year ago Pending

Nikkei predicts Japan's manufacturing sector profits to grow 16% and nonmanufacturing sector profits to climb 11% in 2024.

Profits from the manufacturing sector look set to grow 16% this year, with the nonmanufacturing sector set to climb 11%. Both of which would be record levels of profitability.

Pending

Manoj Pradhan predicts Japanese consumption growth will only occur after several quarters of real wage growth (wages outstripping prices).

Manoj Pradhan argued in a note back in March that Japanese workers have seen two years of falling real wages – and this feeling of getting poorer might be one of the things suppressing Japanese consumer spending. He argued back then that consumption growth would only come after consumers have recouped the purchasing power they have lost due to inflation, and that they would need several quarters of wages outstripping prices before they feel comfortable increasing consumption.

1 year ago Pending

Manoj Pradhan predicts Japanese consumption growth will only occur after several quarters of real wage growth (wages outstripping prices).

Manoj Pradhan argued in a note back in March that Japanese workers have seen two years of falling real wages – and this feeling of getting poorer might be one of the things suppressing Japanese consumer spending. He argued back then that consumption growth would only come after consumers have recouped the purchasing power they have lost due to inflation, and that they would need several quarters of wages outstripping prices before they feel comfortable increasing consumption.

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In his second term, Trump is expected to increase trade negotiations and continue to view stock market performance as a key measure of his success.

he will amp up trade negotiations – while likely keeping an eye on the stock market as a measure of his success.

1 year ago Pending

In his second term, Trump is expected to increase trade negotiations and continue to view stock market performance as a key measure of his success.

he will amp up trade negotiations – while likely keeping an eye on the stock market as a measure of his success.

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The author doubts that the current stockpiling of electronic components by US tech companies will be sufficient to mitigate the impact of potential new tariffs for an extended period.

I doubt that they could import enough components to get them through years of potential tariffs.

1 year ago Pending

The author doubts that the current stockpiling of electronic components by US tech companies will be sufficient to mitigate the impact of potential new tariffs for an extended period.

I doubt that they could import enough components to get them through years of potential tariffs.

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The author considers Trump's proposal to replace US income taxes entirely with import tariffs to be unrealistic and economically unworkable.

I think this is mostly bluster – and shouldn’t be taken too seriously... Replacing income taxes with tariffs just couldn’t work.

1 year ago Pending

The author considers Trump's proposal to replace US income taxes entirely with import tariffs to be unrealistic and economically unworkable.

I think this is mostly bluster – and shouldn’t be taken too seriously... Replacing income taxes with tariffs just couldn’t work.

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The author believes that new US tariffs will not trigger an economic catastrophe comparable to the Great Depression.

I don’t believe that new tariffs would lead to that scale of economic catastrophe.

1 year ago Pending

The author believes that new US tariffs will not trigger an economic catastrophe comparable to the Great Depression.

I don’t believe that new tariffs would lead to that scale of economic catastrophe.

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Should the US adopt aggressive trade protectionist policies, other nations will likely be forced to implement similar measures, potentially leading to a global trade war.

If China is already an aggressive trade partner, and the US joined them, every other country would be forced to follow suit as otherwise they would be paying the cost.

1 year ago Pending

Should the US adopt aggressive trade protectionist policies, other nations will likely be forced to implement similar measures, potentially leading to a global trade war.

If China is already an aggressive trade partner, and the US joined them, every other country would be forced to follow suit as otherwise they would be paying the cost.

Pending

Tariffs applied by the US on a country-by-country basis are predicted to be ineffective for rebalancing trade; universal application across all trade partners would be required for them to work.

tariffs applied on a country-by-country basis are unlikely to have any notable effect, they would really need to be applied equally to all trade partners in order to work

1 year ago Pending

Tariffs applied by the US on a country-by-country basis are predicted to be ineffective for rebalancing trade; universal application across all trade partners would be required for them to work.

tariffs applied on a country-by-country basis are unlikely to have any notable effect, they would really need to be applied equally to all trade partners in order to work

Pending

If China maintains its current economic policies of low consumption and high exports, the global trade imbalance, including China's surplus and the US deficit, will persist regardless of targeted US tariffs on China.

If China continued to keep consumption low while exporting, Chinese savings would continue to be exported to the United States. The Chinese trade surplus would remain as big as before – even if it fell against the United States and the US trade deficit would continue to grow too.

1 year ago Pending

If China maintains its current economic policies of low consumption and high exports, the global trade imbalance, including China's surplus and the US deficit, will persist regardless of targeted US tariffs on China.

If China continued to keep consumption low while exporting, Chinese savings would continue to be exported to the United States. The Chinese trade surplus would remain as big as before – even if it fell against the United States and the US trade deficit would continue to grow too.

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Unilateral tariffs imposed by the US solely on Chinese imports are predicted to be ineffective at rebalancing global trade, instead redirecting trade imbalances to other countries.

if Trump just puts tariffs on Chinese imports. The reason this wouldn’t work is that if the United States refused to buy Chinese goods – but continued to buy from other countries – this would just push the problem to another trade partner. Unable to sell EV’s in the United States – China would ship them to Europe – undercutting European EV’s. European manufacturers, unable to compete in their own markets, would ship European EV’s to the United States – and the overall problem would be the same.

1 year ago Pending

Unilateral tariffs imposed by the US solely on Chinese imports are predicted to be ineffective at rebalancing global trade, instead redirecting trade imbalances to other countries.

if Trump just puts tariffs on Chinese imports. The reason this wouldn’t work is that if the United States refused to buy Chinese goods – but continued to buy from other countries – this would just push the problem to another trade partner. Unable to sell EV’s in the United States – China would ship them to Europe – undercutting European EV’s. European manufacturers, unable to compete in their own markets, would ship European EV’s to the United States – and the overall problem would be the same.

Pending

Trump is predicted to use the USMCA review in 2026 as a bargaining tool to negotiate with Canada and Mexico on issues such as immigration.

The USMCA trade agreement which replaced NAFTA in 2020 is up for a scheduled review in 2026 – and it seems extremely likely that Trump will use that deal as a bargaining chip to negotiate with Canada and Mexico over things he cares about like immigration.

1 year ago Pending

Trump is predicted to use the USMCA review in 2026 as a bargaining tool to negotiate with Canada and Mexico on issues such as immigration.

The USMCA trade agreement which replaced NAFTA in 2020 is up for a scheduled review in 2026 – and it seems extremely likely that Trump will use that deal as a bargaining chip to negotiate with Canada and Mexico over things he cares about like immigration.

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Gazprom's new energy deals are predicted to compensate for only 5-10% of the lost European market.

Gazprom has tried to find new energy buyers, but its new deals will only compensate for five to ten percent of the lost European market, according to the FT.

1 year ago Pending

Gazprom's new energy deals are predicted to compensate for only 5-10% of the lost European market.

Gazprom has tried to find new energy buyers, but its new deals will only compensate for five to ten percent of the lost European market, according to the FT.

Pending

Trump is unlikely to apply tariffs to oil and gas imports from Canada and Mexico due to potential inflationary impact.

Now, if tariffs were applied to Canada and Mexico and applied to things like oil and gas, it could be quite inflationary which is the opposite of what Trump promised on the campaign trail, so I don’t think that is awfully likely.

1 year ago Pending

Trump is unlikely to apply tariffs to oil and gas imports from Canada and Mexico due to potential inflationary impact.

Now, if tariffs were applied to Canada and Mexico and applied to things like oil and gas, it could be quite inflationary which is the opposite of what Trump promised on the campaign trail, so I don’t think that is awfully likely.

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The European Commission expects eurozone inflation to halve from 2023 highs in 2024.

inflation is expected to halve from last year’s highs.

1 year ago Pending

The European Commission expects eurozone inflation to halve from 2023 highs in 2024.

inflation is expected to halve from last year’s highs.

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Trump is unlikely to impose new tariffs on his inauguration day without first declaring a national state of emergency.

I think it’s unlikely that he will do it on inauguration day as he has said - as that would likely require him to declare a national state of emergency

1 year ago Pending

Trump is unlikely to impose new tariffs on his inauguration day without first declaring a national state of emergency.

I think it’s unlikely that he will do it on inauguration day as he has said - as that would likely require him to declare a national state of emergency

Pending

NYU Professor Edward Altman predicted corporate bankruptcies would worsen in 2024 due to large amounts of corporate debt coming due and refinancing difficulties.

Corporate zombies are on the rise, and that he predicts bankruptcies will get worse in 2024, when an enormous amount of corporate debt comes due and companies are facing difficulties trying to refinance or pay off that debt,

1 year ago Pending

NYU Professor Edward Altman predicted corporate bankruptcies would worsen in 2024 due to large amounts of corporate debt coming due and refinancing difficulties.

Corporate zombies are on the rise, and that he predicts bankruptcies will get worse in 2024, when an enormous amount of corporate debt comes due and companies are facing difficulties trying to refinance or pay off that debt,

Pending

Economists predict continued global economic growth.

economists are predicting that the global economy will continue to grow

1 year ago Pending

Economists predict continued global economic growth.

economists are predicting that the global economy will continue to grow

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Goldman Sachs predicts a 25% chance of the US entering a recession by August 2025.

Goldman Sachs said over the weekend that it now believed there was a twenty five percent chance of the US falling into recession in the next year, compared with its previous forecast of a 15 per cent chance.

1 year ago Pending

Goldman Sachs predicts a 25% chance of the US entering a recession by August 2025.

Goldman Sachs said over the weekend that it now believed there was a twenty five percent chance of the US falling into recession in the next year, compared with its previous forecast of a 15 per cent chance.

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Big tech companies are predicted to develop Artificial General Intelligence (AGI).

it will be up to big tech to develop the AGI

1 year ago Pending

Big tech companies are predicted to develop Artificial General Intelligence (AGI).

it will be up to big tech to develop the AGI

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Bloomberg reported that Helion employees expressed doubts about the company's promise to get a nuclear fusion prototype running by year-end (2024).

Bloomberg reported that this deal caught some Helion employees by surprise and they expressed doubts about the company’s promise to get a prototype running by year-end.

1 year ago Pending

Bloomberg reported that Helion employees expressed doubts about the company's promise to get a nuclear fusion prototype running by year-end (2024).

Bloomberg reported that this deal caught some Helion employees by surprise and they expressed doubts about the company’s promise to get a prototype running by year-end.

Pending

Most experts predict that large-scale energy generation from nuclear fusion will not be achieved in the near future.

Most experts say that we're unlikely to be able to generate large-scale energy from nuclear fusion any time soon

1 year ago Pending

Most experts predict that large-scale energy generation from nuclear fusion will not be achieved in the near future.

Most experts say that we're unlikely to be able to generate large-scale energy from nuclear fusion any time soon

Pending

Global governments are committed to tripling nuclear power output worldwide by 2050.

officials reaffirmed their commitment to triple the global output of nuclear power by 2050

1 year ago Pending

Global governments are committed to tripling nuclear power output worldwide by 2050.

officials reaffirmed their commitment to triple the global output of nuclear power by 2050

Pending

Microsoft predicts other tech firms will launch similar AI infrastructure investment funds, and Microsoft may participate in them.

Microsoft said that they expect this trend to catch on with other tech firms and said that Microsoft might participate in all of them.

1 year ago Pending

Microsoft predicts other tech firms will launch similar AI infrastructure investment funds, and Microsoft may participate in them.

Microsoft said that they expect this trend to catch on with other tech firms and said that Microsoft might participate in all of them.

Pending

The Microsoft and BlackRock AI infrastructure fund is predicted to mobilize up to $100 billion in total investment for AI supply chains and energy sourcing.

the partnership would mobilize up to $100 billion dollars in total investment potential once debt financing was included and that the money would be invested to enhance AI supply chains and energy sourcing.

1 year ago Pending

The Microsoft and BlackRock AI infrastructure fund is predicted to mobilize up to $100 billion in total investment for AI supply chains and energy sourcing.

the partnership would mobilize up to $100 billion dollars in total investment potential once debt financing was included and that the money would be invested to enhance AI supply chains and energy sourcing.

Pending

Solomon Goldstein-Rose (2001) predicted that global electricity demand will be five times current levels by 2050 if electrification targets are met.

we are likely to need five times as much power in 2050 as we use today if the world is actually switching to electric vehicles, electric heating and electrifying various industrial processes

1 year ago Pending

Solomon Goldstein-Rose (2001) predicted that global electricity demand will be five times current levels by 2050 if electrification targets are met.

we are likely to need five times as much power in 2050 as we use today if the world is actually switching to electric vehicles, electric heating and electrifying various industrial processes

Pending

Goldman Sachs predicts total electricity demand will double due to electrification of transport and manufacturing reshoring.

They say that when this is combined with the electrification of transport and the reshoring of manufacturing, electricity demand can be expected to double.

1 year ago Pending

Goldman Sachs predicts total electricity demand will double due to electrification of transport and manufacturing reshoring.

They say that when this is combined with the electrification of transport and the reshoring of manufacturing, electricity demand can be expected to double.

Pending

Goldman Sachs predicts data center power demands will increase by 160% by 2030.

According to Goldman Sachs, data center power demands will grow 160 percent between now and 2030.

1 year ago Pending

Goldman Sachs predicts data center power demands will increase by 160% by 2030.

According to Goldman Sachs, data center power demands will grow 160 percent between now and 2030.

Pending

Google agreed to purchase 500 megawatts of power from 6-7 small modular reactors (SMRs) to be constructed by Kairos Power.

Google additionally agreed to buy 500 megawatts of power from six to seven small modular reactors which will be built by Kairos Power.

1 year ago Pending

Google agreed to purchase 500 megawatts of power from 6-7 small modular reactors (SMRs) to be constructed by Kairos Power.

Google additionally agreed to buy 500 megawatts of power from six to seven small modular reactors which will be built by Kairos Power.

Pending

Amazon announced plans to invest over $500 million in the development of four next-generation small modular reactors (SMRs) via X-energy.

Amazon last week announced that they would be spending more than $500 million dollars to support development of four next-generation “small modular reactors.” They took a stake in X-energy, an SMR developer.

1 year ago Pending

Amazon announced plans to invest over $500 million in the development of four next-generation small modular reactors (SMRs) via X-energy.

Amazon last week announced that they would be spending more than $500 million dollars to support development of four next-generation “small modular reactors.” They took a stake in X-energy, an SMR developer.

Pending

Constellation Energy predicts the Three Mile Island Unit 1 reopening will generate over 3,000 jobs, add $16 billion to Pennsylvania's GDP, and contribute at least $3 billion in state and federal taxes.

Constellation says that the deal will create more than three thousand jobs, add sixteen billion dollars to Pennsylvania’s GDP and bring in at least $3 billion dollars in state and federal taxes

1 year ago Pending

Constellation Energy predicts the Three Mile Island Unit 1 reopening will generate over 3,000 jobs, add $16 billion to Pennsylvania's GDP, and contribute at least $3 billion in state and federal taxes.

Constellation says that the deal will create more than three thousand jobs, add sixteen billion dollars to Pennsylvania’s GDP and bring in at least $3 billion dollars in state and federal taxes

Pending

Three Mile Island Unit 1 nuclear plant is expected to come online in 2028 and operate until at least 2054.

The plant is expected to be brought online in 2028 and to run until at least 2054.

1 year ago Pending

Three Mile Island Unit 1 nuclear plant is expected to come online in 2028 and operate until at least 2054.

The plant is expected to be brought online in 2028 and to run until at least 2054.

Pending

Constellation Energy is predicted to reopen Three Mile Island Unit 1 nuclear plant to supply power for Microsoft's data centers.

Last month it was announced that Constellation Energy will reopen a nuclear plant at Three Mile Island to provide power to Microsoft's data centers.

1 year ago Pending

Constellation Energy is predicted to reopen Three Mile Island Unit 1 nuclear plant to supply power for Microsoft's data centers.

Last month it was announced that Constellation Energy will reopen a nuclear plant at Three Mile Island to provide power to Microsoft's data centers.

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Microsoft is predicted to remove all historical carbon emissions from the environment by 2050.

by 2050 they will have entirely stripped all of the carbon they emitted over the life of the firm from the environment.

1 year ago Pending

Microsoft is predicted to remove all historical carbon emissions from the environment by 2050.

by 2050 they will have entirely stripped all of the carbon they emitted over the life of the firm from the environment.

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Microsoft is predicted to achieve carbon negativity by 2030.

Microsoft pledged almost five years ago to be carbon negative by 2030

1 year ago Pending

Microsoft is predicted to achieve carbon negativity by 2030.

Microsoft pledged almost five years ago to be carbon negative by 2030

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Most big tech companies are predicted to achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2040.

almost all of them have promised to reach net-zero carbon emissions by 2040.

1 year ago Pending

Most big tech companies are predicted to achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2040.

almost all of them have promised to reach net-zero carbon emissions by 2040.

Pending

Helion promised to have a nuclear fusion prototype running by the end of 2024.

Helion employees expressed doubts about the company’s promise to get a prototype running by year-end.

1 year ago Pending

Helion promised to have a nuclear fusion prototype running by the end of 2024.

Helion employees expressed doubts about the company’s promise to get a prototype running by year-end.

Pending

Most experts believe large-scale nuclear fusion energy generation is unlikely to happen soon.

Most experts say that we're unlikely to be able to generate large-scale energy from nuclear fusion any time soon

1 year ago Pending

Most experts believe large-scale nuclear fusion energy generation is unlikely to happen soon.

Most experts say that we're unlikely to be able to generate large-scale energy from nuclear fusion any time soon

Pending

Microsoft expects the trend of tech firms launching large investment funds for AI infrastructure and energy sourcing to catch on with other tech firms.

Microsoft said that they expect this trend to catch on with other tech firms

1 year ago Pending

Microsoft expects the trend of tech firms launching large investment funds for AI infrastructure and energy sourcing to catch on with other tech firms.

Microsoft said that they expect this trend to catch on with other tech firms

Pending

Solomon Goldstein-Rose predicts global power demand will be five times higher in 2050 than today if full electrification occurs.

Solomon Goldstein-Rose argued in a 2001 TED talk that... we are likely to need five times as much power in 2050 as we use today if the world is actually switching to electric vehicles, electric heating and electrifying various industrial processes

1 year ago Pending

Solomon Goldstein-Rose predicts global power demand will be five times higher in 2050 than today if full electrification occurs.

Solomon Goldstein-Rose argued in a 2001 TED talk that... we are likely to need five times as much power in 2050 as we use today if the world is actually switching to electric vehicles, electric heating and electrifying various industrial processes

Pending

Goldman Sachs predicts total electricity demand will double by 2030 due to data centers, electrified transport, and manufacturing reshoring.

They say that when this is combined with the electrification of transport and the reshoring of manufacturing, electricity demand can be expected to double.

1 year ago Pending

Goldman Sachs predicts total electricity demand will double by 2030 due to data centers, electrified transport, and manufacturing reshoring.

They say that when this is combined with the electrification of transport and the reshoring of manufacturing, electricity demand can be expected to double.

Pending

Goldman Sachs predicts data center power demands will grow by 160% between 2024 and 2030.

According to Goldman Sachs, data center power demands will grow 160 percent between now and 2030.

1 year ago Pending

Goldman Sachs predicts data center power demands will grow by 160% between 2024 and 2030.

According to Goldman Sachs, data center power demands will grow 160 percent between now and 2030.

Pending

Constellation's Three Mile Island deal will generate at least $3 billion in state and federal taxes.

and bring in at least $3 billion dollars in state and federal taxes

1 year ago Pending

Constellation's Three Mile Island deal will generate at least $3 billion in state and federal taxes.

and bring in at least $3 billion dollars in state and federal taxes

Pending

Constellation's Three Mile Island deal will add $16 billion to Pennsylvania’s GDP.

add sixteen billion dollars to Pennsylvania’s GDP

1 year ago Pending

Constellation's Three Mile Island deal will add $16 billion to Pennsylvania’s GDP.

add sixteen billion dollars to Pennsylvania’s GDP

Pending

Constellation's Three Mile Island deal will create over 3,000 jobs.

Constellation says that the deal will create more than three thousand jobs

1 year ago Pending

Constellation's Three Mile Island deal will create over 3,000 jobs.

Constellation says that the deal will create more than three thousand jobs

Pending

Three Mile Island Unit 1 nuclear plant is expected to run until at least 2054.

and to run until at least 2054.

1 year ago Pending

Three Mile Island Unit 1 nuclear plant is expected to run until at least 2054.

and to run until at least 2054.

Pending

Three Mile Island Unit 1 nuclear plant is expected to be brought online in 2028.

The plant is expected to be brought online in 2028

1 year ago Pending

Three Mile Island Unit 1 nuclear plant is expected to be brought online in 2028.

The plant is expected to be brought online in 2028

Pending

During a hypothetical 'AI bubble' in the stock market, companies falsely claiming to use AI might perform as well as companies genuinely involved in AI.

So maybe in an AI bubble, fake AI companies will do just as well as real AI companies

1 year ago Pending

During a hypothetical 'AI bubble' in the stock market, companies falsely claiming to use AI might perform as well as companies genuinely involved in AI.

So maybe in an AI bubble, fake AI companies will do just as well as real AI companies

Pending

Future breakthroughs in computing power, such as in AI or quantum computing, could lead to existing encryption methods being easily compromised.

A sudden breakthrough in computing power might mean that all of the encryption tools that we use today, can be easily broken

1 year ago Pending

Future breakthroughs in computing power, such as in AI or quantum computing, could lead to existing encryption methods being easily compromised.

A sudden breakthrough in computing power might mean that all of the encryption tools that we use today, can be easily broken

Pending

Argentina to begin annual payments of approximately $3 billion on international bonds starting in 2025.

that is about to run out next year and they will have to start paying about 3 billion dollars a year on their international bonds.

1 year ago Pending

Argentina to begin annual payments of approximately $3 billion on international bonds starting in 2025.

that is about to run out next year and they will have to start paying about 3 billion dollars a year on their international bonds.

Pending

Argentina will be unable to borrow more on international markets until its economy significantly strengthens.

with essentially no chance of the country borrowing more on international markets until the economy is a lot stronger.

1 year ago Pending

Argentina will be unable to borrow more on international markets until its economy significantly strengthens.

with essentially no chance of the country borrowing more on international markets until the economy is a lot stronger.

Pending

Argentina to have over $14 billion in total debt repayments due in 2025.

more than $14 billion dollars of debt repayments due next year alone

1 year ago Pending

Argentina to have over $14 billion in total debt repayments due in 2025.

more than $14 billion dollars of debt repayments due next year alone

Pending

Argentina's economy predicted to be 3% smaller by end of 2024 compared to when Milei took office (late 2023).

The Argentine economy is expected to finish the year 3 per cent smaller than it was when Milei took office last year

1 year ago Pending

Argentina's economy predicted to be 3% smaller by end of 2024 compared to when Milei took office (late 2023).

The Argentine economy is expected to finish the year 3 per cent smaller than it was when Milei took office last year

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Argentina's Q3 2024 GDP to contract by 2.6% year-over-year.

Argentina's economy is expected to have contracted 2.6% in the third quarter of 2024 compared to a year earlier

1 year ago Pending

Argentina's Q3 2024 GDP to contract by 2.6% year-over-year.

Argentina's economy is expected to have contracted 2.6% in the third quarter of 2024 compared to a year earlier

Pending

Sankaet Pathak aims to develop a walking humanoid robot by the end of 2024.

His near-term goal – he says - is to have a walking humanoid robot by year end

1 year ago Pending

Sankaet Pathak aims to develop a walking humanoid robot by the end of 2024.

His near-term goal – he says - is to have a walking humanoid robot by year end

Pending

Donald Trump's party will control both houses of Congress during his next presidential term.

Trump on the other hand will have full control of both houses of Congress.

1 year ago Pending

Donald Trump's party will control both houses of Congress during his next presidential term.

Trump on the other hand will have full control of both houses of Congress.

Pending

Sankaet Pathak predicts that declining birth rates will lead to severe labor shortages within 20-30 years, risking civilizational collapse.

He explains that declining birth rates will lead to severe labor shortages in 20-30 years, risking civilizational collapse

1 year ago Pending

Sankaet Pathak predicts that declining birth rates will lead to severe labor shortages within 20-30 years, risking civilizational collapse.

He explains that declining birth rates will lead to severe labor shortages in 20-30 years, risking civilizational collapse

Pending

Razzlekhan is expected to report to prison in early 2025.

Razzlekhan reappeared on X (the everything app) last month announcing that she would be selling video messages on Cameo before she reports to prison in the new year.

1 year ago Pending

Razzlekhan is expected to report to prison in early 2025.

Razzlekhan reappeared on X (the everything app) last month announcing that she would be selling video messages on Cameo before she reports to prison in the new year.

Pending

By 2044, people will have forgotten about GameStop stock and the Tesla to Dogecoin ratio.

In twenty years’ time – people will have forgotten what these things are

1 year ago Pending

By 2044, people will have forgotten about GameStop stock and the Tesla to Dogecoin ratio.

In twenty years’ time – people will have forgotten what these things are

Pending

Sankaet Pathak (founder of Synapse) states his new startup's goal is to automate GDP through AI and robotics to free people from labor jobs, allowing them to pursue their passions.

his goal is to Automate GDP through AI and Robotics to free people from labor jobs, allowing them to pursue their passions.

1 year ago Pending

Sankaet Pathak (founder of Synapse) states his new startup's goal is to automate GDP through AI and robotics to free people from labor jobs, allowing them to pursue their passions.

his goal is to Automate GDP through AI and Robotics to free people from labor jobs, allowing them to pursue their passions.

Pending

The transition to an EV future is predicted to happen at a slower pace than previously projected by many.

We might eventually move to an EV future – but based on recent trends it does not appear that this will happen at the pace many were projecting a few years ago.

1 year ago Pending

The transition to an EV future is predicted to happen at a slower pace than previously projected by many.

We might eventually move to an EV future – but based on recent trends it does not appear that this will happen at the pace many were projecting a few years ago.

Pending

The judge in the Synapse bankruptcy case suspects tens of millions of dollars of customer funds will never be recovered.

the judge has said that he suspects that tens of millions of dollars will never be found.

1 year ago Pending

The judge in the Synapse bankruptcy case suspects tens of millions of dollars of customer funds will never be recovered.

the judge has said that he suspects that tens of millions of dollars will never be found.

Pending

The author's future year-end videos will potentially include updates on the Tesla to Dogecoin ratio.

along with maybe the Tesla to Dogecoin ratio.

1 year ago Pending

The author's future year-end videos will potentially include updates on the Tesla to Dogecoin ratio.

along with maybe the Tesla to Dogecoin ratio.

Pending

The export-driven growth model is likely at its end, necessitating a global restructuring towards domestic demand-led growth and balanced trade, which could disproportionately impact emerging markets that historically relied on US demand.

the export driven growth model may have reached the end of the road and economies may need to restructure towards domestic demand–led growth aiming to balance imports and exports such that enough is exported to pay for goods that are not produced domestically. This might impact emerging markets much more than Europe as they may not be able to rely on the United States to absorb their excess production in the way they could in the past.

1 year ago Pending

The export-driven growth model is likely at its end, necessitating a global restructuring towards domestic demand-led growth and balanced trade, which could disproportionately impact emerging markets that historically relied on US demand.

the export driven growth model may have reached the end of the road and economies may need to restructure towards domestic demand–led growth aiming to balance imports and exports such that enough is exported to pay for goods that are not produced domestically. This might impact emerging markets much more than Europe as they may not be able to rely on the United States to absorb their excess production in the way they could in the past.

Pending

US EV incentives are predicted to change significantly if Donald Trump wins the November election, due to his pledges to undo current green policies.

US auto manufacturers hesitation about building more electric vehicles comes at a politically uncertain time for the industry as incentives could change significantly if Donald Trump wins the election in November, given that he has pledged to undo many of Biden’s green policies, including those that promote the transition to battery-powered cars.

1 year ago Pending

US EV incentives are predicted to change significantly if Donald Trump wins the November election, due to his pledges to undo current green policies.

US auto manufacturers hesitation about building more electric vehicles comes at a politically uncertain time for the industry as incentives could change significantly if Donald Trump wins the election in November, given that he has pledged to undo many of Biden’s green policies, including those that promote the transition to battery-powered cars.

Pending

Decriminalization of cannabis in Germany is expected to help grow its tie-dye t-shirt industry.

but it is expected to help grow its burgeoning tie dye t-shirt industry.

1 year ago Pending

Decriminalization of cannabis in Germany is expected to help grow its tie-dye t-shirt industry.

but it is expected to help grow its burgeoning tie dye t-shirt industry.

Pending

Shutting down energy-intensive industries in Europe and importing their products will result in the displacement of pollution to other global regions where production methods are often dirtier.

shutting down those industries in Europe and importing steel cement and petrochemicals just means that the pollution occurs in other parts of the world – where these processes are often done in a dirtier manner than they are done in Europe.

1 year ago Pending

Shutting down energy-intensive industries in Europe and importing their products will result in the displacement of pollution to other global regions where production methods are often dirtier.

shutting down those industries in Europe and importing steel cement and petrochemicals just means that the pollution occurs in other parts of the world – where these processes are often done in a dirtier manner than they are done in Europe.

Pending

The author refutes pessimistic outlooks, predicting that Europe will not become economically stagnant or collapse due to its green energy policies.

Unlike some of the critics, I don’t expect the continent to turn into the worlds museum or become some sort of green energy version of Easter Island where they keep buying solar panels from China until the whole economy grinds to a halt.

1 year ago Pending

The author refutes pessimistic outlooks, predicting that Europe will not become economically stagnant or collapse due to its green energy policies.

Unlike some of the critics, I don’t expect the continent to turn into the worlds museum or become some sort of green energy version of Easter Island where they keep buying solar panels from China until the whole economy grinds to a halt.

Pending

The green transition and high energy prices in Europe will cause significant struggles for energy-intensive industries like steel, cement, and petrochemicals.

The green push in Europe combined with high energy prices means that energy intensive industries like reducing iron ore to make steel, heating limestone to produce cement and using steam to crack hydrocarbons into their component molecules will be a struggle.

1 year ago Pending

The green transition and high energy prices in Europe will cause significant struggles for energy-intensive industries like steel, cement, and petrochemicals.

The green push in Europe combined with high energy prices means that energy intensive industries like reducing iron ore to make steel, heating limestone to produce cement and using steam to crack hydrocarbons into their component molecules will be a struggle.

Pending

The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) plans to begin supervising the largest fintech companies.

and there is another bit in there about how they plan to supervise the largest fintech companies.

1 year ago Pending

The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) plans to begin supervising the largest fintech companies.

and there is another bit in there about how they plan to supervise the largest fintech companies.

Pending

Decriminalization of cannabis in Germany is not expected to help with the country's long-term decline in productivity.

Germany’s parliament voted in February to decriminalize cannabis – which is not expected to help with the countries long term decline in productivity

1 year ago Pending

Decriminalization of cannabis in Germany is not expected to help with the country's long-term decline in productivity.

Germany’s parliament voted in February to decriminalize cannabis – which is not expected to help with the countries long term decline in productivity

Pending

The author suggests that the export-driven growth model is obsolete, requiring global economies to restructure towards domestic demand-led growth and more balanced trade.

the export driven growth model may have reached the end of the road and economies may need to restructure towards domestic demand–led growth aiming to balance imports and exports such that enough is exported to pay for goods that are not produced domestically.

1 year ago Pending

The author suggests that the export-driven growth model is obsolete, requiring global economies to restructure towards domestic demand-led growth and more balanced trade.

the export driven growth model may have reached the end of the road and economies may need to restructure towards domestic demand–led growth aiming to balance imports and exports such that enough is exported to pay for goods that are not produced domestically.

Pending

Nico Palesch identifies industries such as textiles, clothing, paper manufacturing, refining, plastics, metals, and chemicals as being at risk in Europe.

Certain industries he says are at risk like textiles and clothing, paper manufacturing, refining, plastics, metals and chemicals.

1 year ago Pending

Nico Palesch identifies industries such as textiles, clothing, paper manufacturing, refining, plastics, metals, and chemicals as being at risk in Europe.

Certain industries he says are at risk like textiles and clothing, paper manufacturing, refining, plastics, metals and chemicals.

Pending

The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) plans to increase enforcement against illegal debanking practices.

about how they are going to crack down on illegal debanking

1 year ago Pending

The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) plans to increase enforcement against illegal debanking practices.

about how they are going to crack down on illegal debanking

Pending

The author's future year-end videos will include updates on the price of GameStop stock.

I’m starting to think that every one of my year end videos going forward will have to contain an update on the price of Gamestop stock

1 year ago Pending

The author's future year-end videos will include updates on the price of GameStop stock.

I’m starting to think that every one of my year end videos going forward will have to contain an update on the price of Gamestop stock

Pending

Nico Palesch of Oxford Economics predicts that the decline in some European industries will be offset by the growth of others.

some industries can be expected to decline, but this decline will be offset by the rise of other industries.

1 year ago Pending

Nico Palesch of Oxford Economics predicts that the decline in some European industries will be offset by the growth of others.

some industries can be expected to decline, but this decline will be offset by the rise of other industries.

Pending

Nico Palesch predicts that Europe's aging workforce will incentivize greater factory automation.

Europe’s ageing workforce according to Palesch – puts in place an incentive for greater factory automation

1 year ago Pending

Nico Palesch predicts that Europe's aging workforce will incentivize greater factory automation.

Europe’s ageing workforce according to Palesch – puts in place an incentive for greater factory automation

Pending

Tesla's $56 billion pay package judgment is likely to be appealed to the Delaware Supreme Court in 2025.

This judgement will likely be appealed to the Delaware Supreme Court next year.

1 year ago Pending

Tesla's $56 billion pay package judgment is likely to be appealed to the Delaware Supreme Court in 2025.

This judgement will likely be appealed to the Delaware Supreme Court next year.

Pending

The IMF predicts that long-term concerns regarding the future of German industry are exaggerated.

They argue that concerns for the longer-term future of German industry are exaggerated.

1 year ago Pending

The IMF predicts that long-term concerns regarding the future of German industry are exaggerated.

They argue that concerns for the longer-term future of German industry are exaggerated.

Pending

Nico Palesch of Oxford Economics predicts that while some European industries will decline, this will be offset by the growth of others.

He says that some industries can be expected to decline, but this decline will be offset by the rise of other industries.

1 year ago Pending

Nico Palesch of Oxford Economics predicts that while some European industries will decline, this will be offset by the growth of others.

He says that some industries can be expected to decline, but this decline will be offset by the rise of other industries.

Pending

If watch collecting becomes a niche hobby, demand for mass-produced watches could decline significantly due to abundant supply of unworn examples.

If watch collecting were to become more of a niche hobby, the most mass-produced watches might see demand dry up – especially when there are safes full of perfect examples – complete with boxes and papers which have hardly ever been worn.

1 year ago Pending

If watch collecting becomes a niche hobby, demand for mass-produced watches could decline significantly due to abundant supply of unworn examples.

If watch collecting were to become more of a niche hobby, the most mass-produced watches might see demand dry up – especially when there are safes full of perfect examples – complete with boxes and papers which have hardly ever been worn.

Pending

An IMF blog post identifies a projected decline in Germany's working-age population, worse than that expected in Japan, the EU, or the UK, as a major problem.

They say that the biggest problems for Germany are a projected decline in Germanys working age population – which this chart shows is much worse than is expected in Japan the rest of the EU and the UK.

1 year ago Pending

An IMF blog post identifies a projected decline in Germany's working-age population, worse than that expected in Japan, the EU, or the UK, as a major problem.

They say that the biggest problems for Germany are a projected decline in Germanys working age population – which this chart shows is much worse than is expected in Japan the rest of the EU and the UK.

Pending

Mario Draghi predicts that by 2040, Europe's aging workforce will lead to a loss of 2 million working people per year, jeopardizing the financing of its social model and necessitating scaled-back ambitions without economic growth.

due to the ageing European workforce by 2040 the population will start to lose 2 million working people per year, which will mask the effects of lower growth. But without growth Europe will not be able to finance its social model and will have to scale back some, if not all, of its ambitions.

1 year ago Pending

Mario Draghi predicts that by 2040, Europe's aging workforce will lead to a loss of 2 million working people per year, jeopardizing the financing of its social model and necessitating scaled-back ambitions without economic growth.

due to the ageing European workforce by 2040 the population will start to lose 2 million working people per year, which will mask the effects of lower growth. But without growth Europe will not be able to finance its social model and will have to scale back some, if not all, of its ambitions.

Pending

The cultural relevance and collectability of the Paul Newman Rolex Daytona may diminish significantly in 50 years as younger generations will not associate Paul Newman with acting.

We have to wonder how relevant the Paul Newman Rolex Daytona will be to collectors in fifty years’ time when many people under the age of thirty just think of Paul Newman as the man who invented salad dressing.

1 year ago Pending

The cultural relevance and collectability of the Paul Newman Rolex Daytona may diminish significantly in 50 years as younger generations will not associate Paul Newman with acting.

We have to wonder how relevant the Paul Newman Rolex Daytona will be to collectors in fifty years’ time when many people under the age of thirty just think of Paul Newman as the man who invented salad dressing.

Pending

The author predicts that trade will remain a major political issue in the US, with protectionism, tariffs, and subsidies likely policies regardless of election outcomes.

No matter who wins in the upcoming US election – trade can be expected be a huge political issue going forward in the United States and while the Democrats and Republicans may offer different solutions, protectionism, tariffs and subsidies do appear to be in the cards.

1 year ago Pending

The author predicts that trade will remain a major political issue in the US, with protectionism, tariffs, and subsidies likely policies regardless of election outcomes.

No matter who wins in the upcoming US election – trade can be expected be a huge political issue going forward in the United States and while the Democrats and Republicans may offer different solutions, protectionism, tariffs and subsidies do appear to be in the cards.

Pending

An IMF blog post argues that long-term concerns about the future of German industry are exaggerated.

They argue that concerns for the longer-term future of German industry are exaggerated.

1 year ago Pending

An IMF blog post argues that long-term concerns about the future of German industry are exaggerated.

They argue that concerns for the longer-term future of German industry are exaggerated.

Pending

Wristwatches may become a niche collectible, similar to pocket watches, as younger generations show less interest in them.

In the way that young buyers are less interested in the cars that boomers collect, we can’t be sure that wristwatches don’t go the way of the pocket watch, which - while still collectable – are of interest to a much smaller group than wristwatches.

1 year ago Pending

Wristwatches may become a niche collectible, similar to pocket watches, as younger generations show less interest in them.

In the way that young buyers are less interested in the cars that boomers collect, we can’t be sure that wristwatches don’t go the way of the pocket watch, which - while still collectable – are of interest to a much smaller group than wristwatches.

Pending

Thomas Palley argues for a future shift in most economies towards domestic demand-led growth and more balanced trade, moving away from the export-led model.

going forward there needs to be a shift – in most economies - toward domestic demand–led growth while only aiming to export enough to pay for imported goods that are not produced domestically. Essentially a move towards more balanced trade.

1 year ago Pending

Thomas Palley argues for a future shift in most economies towards domestic demand-led growth and more balanced trade, moving away from the export-led model.

going forward there needs to be a shift – in most economies - toward domestic demand–led growth while only aiming to export enough to pay for imported goods that are not produced domestically. Essentially a move towards more balanced trade.

Pending

Mario Draghi predicts that by 2040, Europe's aging workforce will lead to a loss of 2 million working people per year, preventing Europe from financing its social model and forcing a scaling back of ambitions without economic growth.

He says that due to the ageing European workforce by 2040 the population will start to lose 2 million working people per year, which will mask the effects of lower growth. But without growth Europe will not be able to finance its social model and will have to scale back some, if not all, of its ambitions.

1 year ago Pending

Mario Draghi predicts that by 2040, Europe's aging workforce will lead to a loss of 2 million working people per year, preventing Europe from financing its social model and forcing a scaling back of ambitions without economic growth.

He says that due to the ageing European workforce by 2040 the population will start to lose 2 million working people per year, which will mask the effects of lower growth. But without growth Europe will not be able to finance its social model and will have to scale back some, if not all, of its ambitions.

Pending

The chief economist of Berenberg predicts that 2-3% of Germany’s energy-intensive industrial companies will likely relocate abroad if energy prices remain high.

with energy prices likely to stay high for a while, 2-3% of Germany’s industrial companies that use energy-intensive processes will likely relocate abroad.

1 year ago Pending

The chief economist of Berenberg predicts that 2-3% of Germany’s energy-intensive industrial companies will likely relocate abroad if energy prices remain high.

with energy prices likely to stay high for a while, 2-3% of Germany’s industrial companies that use energy-intensive processes will likely relocate abroad.

Pending

Rolex plans to open three temporary factories in 2025, to be replaced by a permanent manufacturing facility in 2029.

Rolex announced that they are opening three temporary factories next year which will be replaced with a permanent facility in 2029.

1 year ago Pending

Rolex plans to open three temporary factories in 2025, to be replaced by a permanent manufacturing facility in 2029.

Rolex announced that they are opening three temporary factories next year which will be replaced with a permanent facility in 2029.

Pending

The author predicts that Europe's energy problem will require solutions in the coming years.

energy is a big problem that will need to be solved in the coming years.

1 year ago Pending

The author predicts that Europe's energy problem will require solutions in the coming years.

energy is a big problem that will need to be solved in the coming years.

Pending

Regardless of the US election outcome, protectionism, tariffs, and subsidies are expected to be key components of future US trade policy.

No matter who wins in the upcoming US election – trade can be expected be a huge political issue going forward in the United States and while the Democrats and Republicans may offer different solutions, protectionism, tariffs and subsidies do appear to be in the cards.

1 year ago Pending

Regardless of the US election outcome, protectionism, tariffs, and subsidies are expected to be key components of future US trade policy.

No matter who wins in the upcoming US election – trade can be expected be a huge political issue going forward in the United States and while the Democrats and Republicans may offer different solutions, protectionism, tariffs and subsidies do appear to be in the cards.

Pending

The chief economist of Berenberg predicts that 2-3% of Germany's energy-intensive industrial companies will likely relocate abroad due to persistently high energy prices.

The chief economist of Berenberg, a private bank told the economist last year that, with energy prices likely to stay high for a while, 2-3% of Germany’s industrial companies that use energy-intensive processes will likely relocate abroad.

1 year ago Pending

The chief economist of Berenberg predicts that 2-3% of Germany's energy-intensive industrial companies will likely relocate abroad due to persistently high energy prices.

The chief economist of Berenberg, a private bank told the economist last year that, with energy prices likely to stay high for a while, 2-3% of Germany’s industrial companies that use energy-intensive processes will likely relocate abroad.

Pending

Bloomberg predicts that Germany's era as an industrial superpower may be nearing its end.

Bloomberg writes that it’s days as an industrial superpower might be coming to an end.

1 year ago Pending

Bloomberg predicts that Germany's era as an industrial superpower may be nearing its end.

Bloomberg writes that it’s days as an industrial superpower might be coming to an end.

Pending

Bloomberg predicts that Germany's era as an industrial superpower is nearing its end.

Bloomberg writes that it’s days as an industrial superpower might be coming to an end.

1 year ago Pending

Bloomberg predicts that Germany's era as an industrial superpower is nearing its end.

Bloomberg writes that it’s days as an industrial superpower might be coming to an end.

Pending

Mario Draghi predicts the European Union will face a 'slow agony' and a continued downward slide in real disposable income per capita relative to the US unless significant changes occur.

The European Union today faces 'an existential challenge' and if it doesn't change, it will be condemned to 'a slow agony.' He wrote that 'Real disposable income per capita has grown almost twice as much in the United States as in Europe since 2000,' and, as things stand, there's no reason for this downward slide to stop.

1 year ago Pending

Mario Draghi predicts the European Union will face a 'slow agony' and a continued downward slide in real disposable income per capita relative to the US unless significant changes occur.

The European Union today faces 'an existential challenge' and if it doesn't change, it will be condemned to 'a slow agony.' He wrote that 'Real disposable income per capita has grown almost twice as much in the United States as in Europe since 2000,' and, as things stand, there's no reason for this downward slide to stop.

Pending

Mario Draghi predicts the European Union will face 'slow agony' and its 'downward slide' in real disposable income per capita will continue if no changes are made.

The European Union today faces 'an existential challenge' and if it doesn't change, it will be condemned to 'a slow agony.' He wrote that 'Real disposable income per capita has grown almost twice as much in the United States as in Europe since 2000,' and, as things stand, there's no reason for this downward slide to stop.

1 year ago Pending

Mario Draghi predicts the European Union will face 'slow agony' and its 'downward slide' in real disposable income per capita will continue if no changes are made.

The European Union today faces 'an existential challenge' and if it doesn't change, it will be condemned to 'a slow agony.' He wrote that 'Real disposable income per capita has grown almost twice as much in the United States as in Europe since 2000,' and, as things stand, there's no reason for this downward slide to stop.

Pending

Resolving California's unaffordable housing problem is predicted to alleviate many of the state's other issues.

Fixing this problem – would likely fix a lot of California’s other problems.

1 year ago Pending

Resolving California's unaffordable housing problem is predicted to alleviate many of the state's other issues.

Fixing this problem – would likely fix a lot of California’s other problems.

Pending

Hiking taxes further in California is predicted to cause more wealthy residents to leave the state, which would worsen the state's budget crisis.

California’s reliance on capital-gains taxes limits the state’s flexibility to fix its budget crisis as hiking taxes further could just drive more rich Californians to leave, exacerbating the problem.

1 year ago Pending

Hiking taxes further in California is predicted to cause more wealthy residents to leave the state, which would worsen the state's budget crisis.

California’s reliance on capital-gains taxes limits the state’s flexibility to fix its budget crisis as hiking taxes further could just drive more rich Californians to leave, exacerbating the problem.

Pending

California is predicted to face major fiscal crises every few years due to the volatility of its progressive tax structure and tax collections.

This volatility in tax collections explains why every few years California has a major fiscal crisis.

1 year ago Pending

California is predicted to face major fiscal crises every few years due to the volatility of its progressive tax structure and tax collections.

This volatility in tax collections explains why every few years California has a major fiscal crisis.

Pending

California's energy prices are predicted to rise due to the state's mandated transition to a zero-carbon grid, replacing conventional power with more expensive green sources.

Energy prices which are high to begin with in California are likely to only rise higher as the state mandated transition to a zero-carbon grid takes conventional power offline and replaces it with more expensive green sources.

1 year ago Pending

California's energy prices are predicted to rise due to the state's mandated transition to a zero-carbon grid, replacing conventional power with more expensive green sources.

Energy prices which are high to begin with in California are likely to only rise higher as the state mandated transition to a zero-carbon grid takes conventional power offline and replaces it with more expensive green sources.

Pending

Scientific and economic progress will continue in the future because humanity's capacity to identify and solve challenges is an enduring trait.

Our capacity to reflect on the challenges we face and find solutions explains all of the scientific and economic progress that has been made over time, and there is no good reason to believe that will change any time soon.

1 year ago Pending

Scientific and economic progress will continue in the future because humanity's capacity to identify and solve challenges is an enduring trait.

Our capacity to reflect on the challenges we face and find solutions explains all of the scientific and economic progress that has been made over time, and there is no good reason to believe that will change any time soon.

Pending

Automation, including future automation like AI, will not lead to mass unemployment, though it will shift jobs and increase productivity.

Automation typically increases worker productivity and reduces employment in a given field, but we have seen all sorts of jobs automated in the past without leading to mass unemployment, the same can be expected in the future.

1 year ago Pending

Automation, including future automation like AI, will not lead to mass unemployment, though it will shift jobs and increase productivity.

Automation typically increases worker productivity and reduces employment in a given field, but we have seen all sorts of jobs automated in the past without leading to mass unemployment, the same can be expected in the future.

Pending

AI will transform daily life and lead to shifts in labor demand towards new types of work where humans work alongside technology, rather than causing mass job losses. Increased productivity will lead to more production and greater availability of goods and services.

While AI can be expected to transform many aspects of daily life, there has been a long history of labor automation, and historically labor demand shifts away from jobs that can be automated towards new types of work where people work alongside the new technology. Workers becoming more productive doesn’t lead to job losses – it leads to more production – which also means greater availability of goods and services.

1 year ago Pending

AI will transform daily life and lead to shifts in labor demand towards new types of work where humans work alongside technology, rather than causing mass job losses. Increased productivity will lead to more production and greater availability of goods and services.

While AI can be expected to transform many aspects of daily life, there has been a long history of labor automation, and historically labor demand shifts away from jobs that can be automated towards new types of work where people work alongside the new technology. Workers becoming more productive doesn’t lead to job losses – it leads to more production – which also means greater availability of goods and services.

Pending

Private equity funds are not expected to generate huge returns in the coming years.

I don’t expect to see huge returns out of these funds in the coming years.

1 year ago Pending

Private equity funds are not expected to generate huge returns in the coming years.

I don’t expect to see huge returns out of these funds in the coming years.

Pending

Rolex will open three temporary factories in 2025, to be replaced by a permanent facility in 2029.

Rolex announced that they are opening three temporary factories next year which will be replaced with a permanent facility in 2029.

1 year ago Pending

Rolex will open three temporary factories in 2025, to be replaced by a permanent facility in 2029.

Rolex announced that they are opening three temporary factories next year which will be replaced with a permanent facility in 2029.

Pending

Elon Musk is predicted to gain greater access and influence within the US government.

is extremely worrying were he to have greater government access – which it looks like he will have.

1 year ago Pending

Elon Musk is predicted to gain greater access and influence within the US government.

is extremely worrying were he to have greater government access – which it looks like he will have.

Pending

The Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) is expected to face significant political opposition.

For this reason, doge can expect to see a lot of political pushback.

1 year ago Pending

The Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) is expected to face significant political opposition.

For this reason, doge can expect to see a lot of political pushback.

Pending

The Trump administration will likely continue its 'one in, two out' approach to regulation, aiming to cut unnecessary regulations.

It seems that the Trump administration is likely to cut unnecessary regulations and continue its “one in, two out” approach – where if a new regulation is going to be passed, two existing regulations must be eliminated first.

1 year ago Pending

The Trump administration will likely continue its 'one in, two out' approach to regulation, aiming to cut unnecessary regulations.

It seems that the Trump administration is likely to cut unnecessary regulations and continue its “one in, two out” approach – where if a new regulation is going to be passed, two existing regulations must be eliminated first.

Pending

Adam Robinson's book, 'How Not to Be Stupid', is predicted to be released in 2025. Robinson also predicts that readers will very likely ignore the advice in the book, believing it doesn't apply to them.

I'm in fact I'm writing a final chapter a warning that that you're a warning to the readers that you will very likely want to ignore every all the advice that's being stated here because you'll think oh that doesn't apply to me... so then then except be out next year I guess yeah excellent

1 year ago Pending

Adam Robinson's book, 'How Not to Be Stupid', is predicted to be released in 2025. Robinson also predicts that readers will very likely ignore the advice in the book, believing it doesn't apply to them.

I'm in fact I'm writing a final chapter a warning that that you're a warning to the readers that you will very likely want to ignore every all the advice that's being stated here because you'll think oh that doesn't apply to me... so then then except be out next year I guess yeah excellent

Pending

A strategy of halting enforcement of regulations in the United States would be ineffective because citizens can still file lawsuits against companies for violations if federal or state regulators fail to act.

I don’t think this would work in the United States either - as even if an agency decides not to enforce a rule, citizens can still sue companies for violations when states and federal regulators fail to.

1 year ago Pending

A strategy of halting enforcement of regulations in the United States would be ineffective because citizens can still file lawsuits against companies for violations if federal or state regulators fail to act.

I don’t think this would work in the United States either - as even if an agency decides not to enforce a rule, citizens can still sue companies for violations when states and federal regulators fail to.

Pending

Halting the enforcement of environmental regulations by a new US administration would not benefit businesses overall, but would instead provide an advantage to unethical businesses willing to disregard the law.

I don’t agree that this would do anything to help businesses, as companies still have an obligation to comply with regulation – whether it is being enforced or not – but it would give an advantage to least ethical businesses who are most willing to break the law.

1 year ago Pending

Halting the enforcement of environmental regulations by a new US administration would not benefit businesses overall, but would instead provide an advantage to unethical businesses willing to disregard the law.

I don’t agree that this would do anything to help businesses, as companies still have an obligation to comply with regulation – whether it is being enforced or not – but it would give an advantage to least ethical businesses who are most willing to break the law.

Pending

The Jones Act will not be repealed or significantly altered by future US administrations (specifically Trump and Biden), despite calls for deregulation, due to political reasons.

If you believe that the new administrations zeal for deregulation means that this law which has failed on every front will be on the chopping block – you’d be wrong. Both Trump and Biden have announced their support for the act - because that’s just the way politics works.

1 year ago Pending

The Jones Act will not be repealed or significantly altered by future US administrations (specifically Trump and Biden), despite calls for deregulation, due to political reasons.

If you believe that the new administrations zeal for deregulation means that this law which has failed on every front will be on the chopping block – you’d be wrong. Both Trump and Biden have announced their support for the act - because that’s just the way politics works.

Pending

About half of American households (56% of low-income, 45% of middle-income) are predicted to not maintain their pre-retirement living standards at age 65.

A report from the US Senate Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions Committee from earlier this year found that about half of American households "will not be able to maintain their" preretirement living standard and that 56% of low-income households — and 45% of those who are middle income — are "at risk" of not maintaining those preretirement standards at age 65.

1 year ago Pending

About half of American households (56% of low-income, 45% of middle-income) are predicted to not maintain their pre-retirement living standards at age 65.

A report from the US Senate Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions Committee from earlier this year found that about half of American households "will not be able to maintain their" preretirement living standard and that 56% of low-income households — and 45% of those who are middle income — are "at risk" of not maintaining those preretirement standards at age 65.

Pending

Two-thirds of peak boomers (born 1959-1964) are predicted to face financial challenges during retirement.

The new study from the Retirement Income Institute shows that based on an analysis of their assets, two-thirds of peak boomers will be financially challenged in retirement.

1 year ago Pending

Two-thirds of peak boomers (born 1959-1964) are predicted to face financial challenges during retirement.

The new study from the Retirement Income Institute shows that based on an analysis of their assets, two-thirds of peak boomers will be financially challenged in retirement.

Pending

The crypto industry in the United States faces an existential crisis due to increasing regulatory enforcement.

crypto is finally facing a real existential crisis in the United States – not because of its price – but because it appears that regulators are finally waking up.

1 year ago Pending

The crypto industry in the United States faces an existential crisis due to increasing regulatory enforcement.

crypto is finally facing a real existential crisis in the United States – not because of its price – but because it appears that regulators are finally waking up.

Pending

Cryptocurrency prices are expected to rise in the coming years if large-scale criminality increases, as this is a significant demand driver.

If you believe that large scale criminality is likely to grow in the coming years, it might be reasonable to expect cryptocurrency prices to rise – as this is a big driver of its demand.

1 year ago Pending

Cryptocurrency prices are expected to rise in the coming years if large-scale criminality increases, as this is a significant demand driver.

If you believe that large scale criminality is likely to grow in the coming years, it might be reasonable to expect cryptocurrency prices to rise – as this is a big driver of its demand.

Pending

California's energy prices are predicted to rise due to the state's mandated transition to a zero-carbon grid, replacing conventional power sources with more expensive green alternatives.

Energy prices which are high to begin with in California are likely to only rise higher as the state mandated transition to a zero-carbon grid takes conventional power offline and replaces it with more expensive green sources.

1 year ago Pending

California's energy prices are predicted to rise due to the state's mandated transition to a zero-carbon grid, replacing conventional power sources with more expensive green alternatives.

Energy prices which are high to begin with in California are likely to only rise higher as the state mandated transition to a zero-carbon grid takes conventional power offline and replaces it with more expensive green sources.

Pending

Mark Cuban suggested that Gary Gensler could be removed as SEC chair if Kamala Harris is elected president.

Mark Cuban... suggested that Gary Gensler could be removed from his role at the SEC if Harris is elected. Cuban noted that Harris’ team used no “uncertain terms” to express their lack of support for the SEC’s current approach to regulation. “CYA Gensler. You leaving is worth a point in GDP growth,” he finished up with.

1 year ago Pending

Mark Cuban suggested that Gary Gensler could be removed as SEC chair if Kamala Harris is elected president.

Mark Cuban... suggested that Gary Gensler could be removed from his role at the SEC if Harris is elected. Cuban noted that Harris’ team used no “uncertain terms” to express their lack of support for the SEC’s current approach to regulation. “CYA Gensler. You leaving is worth a point in GDP growth,” he finished up with.

Pending

If elected, Trump pledged to fire the SEC head, appoint a pro-crypto successor, establish a strategic crypto reserve, and position the US as the global crypto capital.

if he was elected, he would fire the head of the SEC and “appoint someone who will build the future, not block the future.” He even promised to create a strategic crypto reserve (whatever that is), saying “The United States will be the crypto capital of the planet.”

1 year ago Pending

If elected, Trump pledged to fire the SEC head, appoint a pro-crypto successor, establish a strategic crypto reserve, and position the US as the global crypto capital.

if he was elected, he would fire the head of the SEC and “appoint someone who will build the future, not block the future.” He even promised to create a strategic crypto reserve (whatever that is), saying “The United States will be the crypto capital of the planet.”

Pending

The British steel mills are likely to shut down if not subsidized by the government.

there is a good chance that – left alone - the steel mills would just shut down

1 year ago Pending

The British steel mills are likely to shut down if not subsidized by the government.

there is a good chance that – left alone - the steel mills would just shut down

Pending

Approximately 5,600 steelworker jobs are expected to be lost in the UK due to the transition to electric arc furnaces.

about 5,600 jobs are expected to be lost in the UK, just because of the upgrades

1 year ago Pending

Approximately 5,600 steelworker jobs are expected to be lost in the UK due to the transition to electric arc furnaces.

about 5,600 jobs are expected to be lost in the UK, just because of the upgrades

Pending

UK is predicted to import almost all of its steel for at least the next three years (from August 2024) due to blast furnace shutdowns and electric arc furnace construction.

Britain will be importing almost all of its steel over the next few years.

1 year ago Pending

UK is predicted to import almost all of its steel for at least the next three years (from August 2024) due to blast furnace shutdowns and electric arc furnace construction.

Britain will be importing almost all of its steel over the next few years.

Pending

UK is predicted to soon become the first major economy unable to produce virgin steel (from iron ore).

Britain, which was once the world’s largest steel producer, may soon become the first major economy with no capacity to make steel from scratch.

1 year ago Pending

UK is predicted to soon become the first major economy unable to produce virgin steel (from iron ore).

Britain, which was once the world’s largest steel producer, may soon become the first major economy with no capacity to make steel from scratch.

Pending

The legal payout to Tesla shareholders' lawyers is likely to set a new record, regardless of its final size.

Whatever the size of the payout, it is likely to set a new record.

2 years ago Pending

The legal payout to Tesla shareholders' lawyers is likely to set a new record, regardless of its final size.

Whatever the size of the payout, it is likely to set a new record.

Pending

A $19 billion payout to lawyers in the Tesla case is unlikely to be approved by the Delaware Chancery Court.

a payout that large being approved is unlikely.

2 years ago Pending

A $19 billion payout to lawyers in the Tesla case is unlikely to be approved by the Delaware Chancery Court.

a payout that large being approved is unlikely.

Pending

Lawyers in the Tesla compensation case may receive a record-breaking fee of up to $19 billion.

the lawyers who won this case may end up taking as much as 19 billion dollars of the investors winnings as a fee – which would be by far the highest fee ever awarded to plaintiffs’ lawyers in the Delaware chancery court history.

2 years ago Pending

Lawyers in the Tesla compensation case may receive a record-breaking fee of up to $19 billion.

the lawyers who won this case may end up taking as much as 19 billion dollars of the investors winnings as a fee – which would be by far the highest fee ever awarded to plaintiffs’ lawyers in the Delaware chancery court history.

Pending

A new pay package for Elon Musk could require him to dedicate more time to Tesla, which would likely please investors.

Any new pay package, that is negotiated by a competent board, might require Musk to spend more time at Tesla rather than on his other business interests, and that is likely to make Tesla investors happy.

2 years ago Pending

A new pay package for Elon Musk could require him to dedicate more time to Tesla, which would likely please investors.

Any new pay package, that is negotiated by a competent board, might require Musk to spend more time at Tesla rather than on his other business interests, and that is likely to make Tesla investors happy.

Pending

Elon Musk is unlikely to lose the full $55.8 billion from the voided pay deal, as a new, legally compliant package will likely be devised.

he won’t likely lose the full 55.8 billion dollars as the board is likely to come up with a new pay package for him that meets the legal requirements

2 years ago Pending

Elon Musk is unlikely to lose the full $55.8 billion from the voided pay deal, as a new, legally compliant package will likely be devised.

he won’t likely lose the full 55.8 billion dollars as the board is likely to come up with a new pay package for him that meets the legal requirements

Pending

Elon Musk's replacement pay deal for Tesla is likely to be lower than the voided contract and may require him to dedicate more time to Tesla.

it seems likely that any replacement pay deal might be a lot lower than the contract being replaced, and it might also include provisions requiring Musk to devote more of his time to managing Tesla rather than his other business interests.

2 years ago Pending

Elon Musk's replacement pay deal for Tesla is likely to be lower than the voided contract and may require him to dedicate more time to Tesla.

it seems likely that any replacement pay deal might be a lot lower than the contract being replaced, and it might also include provisions requiring Musk to devote more of his time to managing Tesla rather than his other business interests.

Pending

Tesla is likely to need new independent directors to represent shareholder interests and provide oversight of management.

it’s likely that the company will need new independent directors who can be seen to represent shareholder interests and provide oversight of the management of the company, rather than representing Musk’s interests alone.

2 years ago Pending

Tesla is likely to need new independent directors to represent shareholder interests and provide oversight of management.

it’s likely that the company will need new independent directors who can be seen to represent shareholder interests and provide oversight of the management of the company, rather than representing Musk’s interests alone.

Pending

Andrew Left predicted a specific stock would reach $100 per share within two years.

An example from the SEC report is of a stock that he bought and promoted saying that he expected it to trade to $100 per share over the next two years adding that he would increase his position at current market levels.

1 year ago Pending

Andrew Left predicted a specific stock would reach $100 per share within two years.

An example from the SEC report is of a stock that he bought and promoted saying that he expected it to trade to $100 per share over the next two years adding that he would increase his position at current market levels.

Pending

Cathie Wood predicted Tesla stock would increase by 1350% over the next five years.

She says that Tesla will rocket 1350% over the next five years.

1 year ago Pending

Cathie Wood predicted Tesla stock would increase by 1350% over the next five years.

She says that Tesla will rocket 1350% over the next five years.

Pending

Cathie Wood predicted Zoom stock would reach a price target of $1500.

Cathie Wood has a price target of one thousand five hundred dollars on Zoom – the video conferencing app that competes with all of the other identical video conferencing apps.

1 year ago Pending

Cathie Wood predicted Zoom stock would reach a price target of $1500.

Cathie Wood has a price target of one thousand five hundred dollars on Zoom – the video conferencing app that competes with all of the other identical video conferencing apps.

Pending

Andrew Left predicted Namaste stock would go to zero.

In a Bloomberg interview he said that he would keep shorting Namaste till it goes to zero.

1 year ago Pending

Andrew Left predicted Namaste stock would go to zero.

In a Bloomberg interview he said that he would keep shorting Namaste till it goes to zero.

Pending

Andrew Left predicted Namaste stock would reach a price target of $0.25.

Left gave a price target of twenty five cents on the stock.

1 year ago Pending

Andrew Left predicted Namaste stock would reach a price target of $0.25.

Left gave a price target of twenty five cents on the stock.

Pending

A change in US administration in the upcoming election is likely to cause significant changes in EV incentives.

If there is a change in Administration in the United States in the upcoming election, it’s likely that we will see significant changes in EV incentives, which only adds to the industry’s unpredictability.

1 year ago Pending

A change in US administration in the upcoming election is likely to cause significant changes in EV incentives.

If there is a change in Administration in the United States in the upcoming election, it’s likely that we will see significant changes in EV incentives, which only adds to the industry’s unpredictability.

Pending

China is predicted to meet its target of EVs making up 40% of vehicles sold by 2030.

China is the country that is most likely to meet its target of EV’s making up 40 percent of vehicles sold by 2030.

1 year ago Pending

China is predicted to meet its target of EVs making up 40% of vehicles sold by 2030.

China is the country that is most likely to meet its target of EV’s making up 40 percent of vehicles sold by 2030.

Pending

Citigroup analysts predict that if US households chose to own one ICE vehicle and one EV, EV demand could rise overnight.

The analysts argue that if US households were to decide to own one ICE vehicle and one EV, EV demand could, in theory, rise overnight.

1 year ago Pending

Citigroup analysts predict that if US households chose to own one ICE vehicle and one EV, EV demand could rise overnight.

The analysts argue that if US households were to decide to own one ICE vehicle and one EV, EV demand could, in theory, rise overnight.

Pending

Akio Toyoda (Toyota chairman) predicts Battery Electric Vehicle demand will hit a ceiling at 30% of the global market.

Akio Toyoda, the chairman of Toyota predicted in January that demand for Battery Electric Vehicles would hit a ceiling at 30 per cent of the global market, opening the way for more hybrid sales.

1 year ago Pending

Akio Toyoda (Toyota chairman) predicts Battery Electric Vehicle demand will hit a ceiling at 30% of the global market.

Akio Toyoda, the chairman of Toyota predicted in January that demand for Battery Electric Vehicles would hit a ceiling at 30 per cent of the global market, opening the way for more hybrid sales.

Pending

Ford expects its hybrid sales to quadruple within the next five years (by 2029).

Ford – the number two hybrid manufacturer - expects its sales of hybrids to quadruple in the next five years.

1 year ago Pending

Ford expects its hybrid sales to quadruple within the next five years (by 2029).

Ford – the number two hybrid manufacturer - expects its sales of hybrids to quadruple in the next five years.

Pending

The global auto industry expects to produce 14 million EVs in 2024 and sell 20 million EVs globally in 2025.

The global auto industry manufactured just over ten million EVs last year and expects to produce fourteen million this year… By next year they expect to sell twenty million cars globally, almost doubling sales in just two years.

1 year ago Pending

The global auto industry expects to produce 14 million EVs in 2024 and sell 20 million EVs globally in 2025.

The global auto industry manufactured just over ten million EVs last year and expects to produce fourteen million this year… By next year they expect to sell twenty million cars globally, almost doubling sales in just two years.

Pending

The CEO of Dowlais forecasts carmakers will be forced to cut EV prices again later in 2024.

He forecasted that carmakers would be forced to cut EV prices again later this year.

1 year ago Pending

The CEO of Dowlais forecasts carmakers will be forced to cut EV prices again later in 2024.

He forecasted that carmakers would be forced to cut EV prices again later this year.

Pending

Albemarle predicts the shift to EVs in the US and Europe will take longer than previously expected, leading to a reduced 2030 lithium demand forecast.

Albemarle, the world’s largest lithium producer, reduced its 2030 demand forecast for lithium as it now sees the shift to EVs in the US and Europe taking longer than previously expected.

1 year ago Pending

Albemarle predicts the shift to EVs in the US and Europe will take longer than previously expected, leading to a reduced 2030 lithium demand forecast.

Albemarle, the world’s largest lithium producer, reduced its 2030 demand forecast for lithium as it now sees the shift to EVs in the US and Europe taking longer than previously expected.

Pending

If elected, Joe Biden's public appearances are predicted to face intense scrutiny for any memory gaps or unusual behavior, and attempts to shield him from the public will likely result in fierce backlash.

...and should Biden win, any public appearances he makes, will be subjected to forensic examination for gaps in the president’s memory or any strange behavior. Any effort to shield him from the public or the press would likely be met with ferocious backlash too.

1 year ago Pending

If elected, Joe Biden's public appearances are predicted to face intense scrutiny for any memory gaps or unusual behavior, and attempts to shield him from the public will likely result in fierce backlash.

...and should Biden win, any public appearances he makes, will be subjected to forensic examination for gaps in the president’s memory or any strange behavior. Any effort to shield him from the public or the press would likely be met with ferocious backlash too.

Pending

If elected, Donald Trump is predicted to be heavily involved in his ongoing legal problems.

Trump is likely to be embroiled in his ongoing legal problems should he be elected...

1 year ago Pending

If elected, Donald Trump is predicted to be heavily involved in his ongoing legal problems.

Trump is likely to be embroiled in his ongoing legal problems should he be elected...

Pending

Both Donald Trump and Joe Biden, if elected, are predicted to pursue fiscal stimulus policies to boost the economy, albeit with different combinations of tax incentives and spending.

Both Trump and Biden are likely to pursue fiscal stimulus policies to boost the economy, although likely with different combinations of tax incentives and higher spending.

1 year ago Pending

Both Donald Trump and Joe Biden, if elected, are predicted to pursue fiscal stimulus policies to boost the economy, albeit with different combinations of tax incentives and spending.

Both Trump and Biden are likely to pursue fiscal stimulus policies to boost the economy, although likely with different combinations of tax incentives and higher spending.

Pending

If Donald Trump extends the expiring provisions of his 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, Americans are predicted to experience lower tax rates but a growing budget deficit in the coming years.

Many provisions of Trumps Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 are set to expire at the end of 2025. If the provisions are extended by Trump, Americans would see lower tax rates in the coming years, but a growing budget deficit.

1 year ago Pending

If Donald Trump extends the expiring provisions of his 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, Americans are predicted to experience lower tax rates but a growing budget deficit in the coming years.

Many provisions of Trumps Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 are set to expire at the end of 2025. If the provisions are extended by Trump, Americans would see lower tax rates in the coming years, but a growing budget deficit.

Pending

If implemented, Donald Trump's core policies (tariffs, immigration crackdown, deficit-financed tax cuts) are predicted to lead to inflation by increasing import prices, wages, and stimulating the economy.

Many of Trump’s core policies lean in an inflationary direction: tariffs would push up the price of imports, a crackdown on immigration could push up wages and deficit-financed tax cuts would juice the economy.

1 year ago Pending

If implemented, Donald Trump's core policies (tariffs, immigration crackdown, deficit-financed tax cuts) are predicted to lead to inflation by increasing import prices, wages, and stimulating the economy.

Many of Trump’s core policies lean in an inflationary direction: tariffs would push up the price of imports, a crackdown on immigration could push up wages and deficit-financed tax cuts would juice the economy.

Pending

Andrew Left predicted Namaste stock would drop to $0.25, and eventually to zero.

Left gave a price target of twenty five cents on the stock. In a Bloomberg interview he said that he would keep shorting Namaste till it goes to zero.

1 year ago Pending

Andrew Left predicted Namaste stock would drop to $0.25, and eventually to zero.

Left gave a price target of twenty five cents on the stock. In a Bloomberg interview he said that he would keep shorting Namaste till it goes to zero.

Pending

If elected, Donald Trump is predicted to make the implementation of Biden's Inflation Reduction Act difficult through executive actions, such as tightening tax credit limits, withholding loans/grants, or revising treasury rules.

If elected, Trump might not be able to repeal [Biden's Inflation Reduction Act] unilaterally, but he could possibly work to make its implementation more difficult by hindering it through executive action by tightening limits on tax credits, holding back some of its loans and grants, or revising treasury department rules that haven’t yet been finalized.

1 year ago Pending

If elected, Donald Trump is predicted to make the implementation of Biden's Inflation Reduction Act difficult through executive actions, such as tightening tax credit limits, withholding loans/grants, or revising treasury rules.

If elected, Trump might not be able to repeal [Biden's Inflation Reduction Act] unilaterally, but he could possibly work to make its implementation more difficult by hindering it through executive action by tightening limits on tax credits, holding back some of its loans and grants, or revising treasury department rules that haven’t yet been finalized.

Pending

Andrew Left predicted a promoted stock would reach $100 per share within two years from the time of his promotion.

An example from the SEC report is of a stock that he bought and promoted saying that he expected it to trade to $100 per share over the next two years adding that he would increase his position at current market levels.

1 year ago Pending

Andrew Left predicted a promoted stock would reach $100 per share within two years from the time of his promotion.

An example from the SEC report is of a stock that he bought and promoted saying that he expected it to trade to $100 per share over the next two years adding that he would increase his position at current market levels.

Pending

The ongoing global economic imbalances are predicted to conclude with a crisis, potentially manifesting as either a swift, painful event or a prolonged, drawn-out struggle.

Historically we have seen these things end in a crisis, which can be painful but fast as happened in The United States in the 1930’s, or slow and drawn out as it has been for Japan which is still struggling with the legacy of its overinvestment surge.

2 years ago Pending

The ongoing global economic imbalances are predicted to conclude with a crisis, potentially manifesting as either a swift, painful event or a prolonged, drawn-out struggle.

Historically we have seen these things end in a crisis, which can be painful but fast as happened in The United States in the 1930’s, or slow and drawn out as it has been for Japan which is still struggling with the legacy of its overinvestment surge.

Pending

The author predicts it is likely that a replacement Democratic Party candidate will be announced, despite Joe Biden's insistence on not stepping down.

I initially held back on making a video on this topic as it seemed likely that a replacement Democratic Party candidate would be announced... While that still seems likely to me, Biden insisted at a press conference on Thursday... that he was not stepping down.

1 year ago Pending

The author predicts it is likely that a replacement Democratic Party candidate will be announced, despite Joe Biden's insistence on not stepping down.

I initially held back on making a video on this topic as it seemed likely that a replacement Democratic Party candidate would be announced... While that still seems likely to me, Biden insisted at a press conference on Thursday... that he was not stepping down.

Pending

Cathie Wood predicts Tesla (TSLA) stock will increase by 1350% over the next five years.

She says that Tesla will rocket 1350% over the next five years.

1 year ago Pending

Cathie Wood predicts Tesla (TSLA) stock will increase by 1350% over the next five years.

She says that Tesla will rocket 1350% over the next five years.

Pending

Policymakers are unlikely to voluntarily abandon their trade interventions, driven by a desire to avoid an economic slowdown during their tenure.

it seems unlikely to me that policy makers will simply decide to back down from all of their trade interventions, as no leader wants to see an economic slowdown occur on their watch.

2 years ago Pending

Policymakers are unlikely to voluntarily abandon their trade interventions, driven by a desire to avoid an economic slowdown during their tenure.

it seems unlikely to me that policy makers will simply decide to back down from all of their trade interventions, as no leader wants to see an economic slowdown occur on their watch.

Pending

A global trade rebalancing is projected to yield long-term benefits for all countries involved.

A rebalancing of global trade could be expected to benefit all participants in the long run

2 years ago Pending

A global trade rebalancing is projected to yield long-term benefits for all countries involved.

A rebalancing of global trade could be expected to benefit all participants in the long run

Pending

If China transitions to a lower growth rate alongside a move towards more labor-intensive industries, unemployment levels may stay under control.

If a shift to a lower growth rate was accompanied by a shift to more labor-intensive industries, it is possible that unemployment could remain manageable.

2 years ago Pending

If China transitions to a lower growth rate alongside a move towards more labor-intensive industries, unemployment levels may stay under control.

If a shift to a lower growth rate was accompanied by a shift to more labor-intensive industries, it is possible that unemployment could remain manageable.

Pending

Cathie Wood predicts Zoom (ZM) stock will reach $1,500 per share.

Cathie Wood has a price target of one thousand five hundred dollars on Zoom – the video conferencing app that competes with all of the other identical video conferencing apps.

1 year ago Pending

Cathie Wood predicts Zoom (ZM) stock will reach $1,500 per share.

Cathie Wood has a price target of one thousand five hundred dollars on Zoom – the video conferencing app that competes with all of the other identical video conferencing apps.

Pending

A rise in China's GDP share from consumption is predicted to partially mitigate the decrease in net exports caused by such a policy shift.

An increase in the consumption share of GDP would partially offset the contraction in China’s net exports that this would cause.

2 years ago Pending

A rise in China's GDP share from consumption is predicted to partially mitigate the decrease in net exports caused by such a policy shift.

An increase in the consumption share of GDP would partially offset the contraction in China’s net exports that this would cause.

Pending

China's ability to boost domestic consumption is contingent upon reversing current wealth and income transfers, redirecting them from local governments to households.

The only way that China could manage to increase domestic consumption – which policymakers do appear to understand, is to reverse the existing transfers, redirecting wealth and income from local governments to households.

2 years ago Pending

China's ability to boost domestic consumption is contingent upon reversing current wealth and income transfers, redirecting them from local governments to households.

The only way that China could manage to increase domestic consumption – which policymakers do appear to understand, is to reverse the existing transfers, redirecting wealth and income from local governments to households.

Pending

Should a trade war occur, the US may face a reduction in available goods, but this outcome is preferable to the high unemployment rates anticipated in export-dependent economies.

Americans might find themselves with fewer goods, but that is better than the high unemployment rates which would be experienced in export driven economies in the event of a trade war.

2 years ago Pending

Should a trade war occur, the US may face a reduction in available goods, but this outcome is preferable to the high unemployment rates anticipated in export-dependent economies.

Americans might find themselves with fewer goods, but that is better than the high unemployment rates which would be experienced in export driven economies in the event of a trade war.

Pending

In upcoming trade conflicts, countries with economies most reliant on international trade (the biggest exporters) are predicted to incur the most significant losses.

As I mentioned earlier, in most trade conflicts, the biggest exporters have suffered the most, as their economies are most dependent on international trade.

2 years ago Pending

In upcoming trade conflicts, countries with economies most reliant on international trade (the biggest exporters) are predicted to incur the most significant losses.

As I mentioned earlier, in most trade conflicts, the biggest exporters have suffered the most, as their economies are most dependent on international trade.

Pending

Deficit countries are likely unaware of the challenges rebalancing poses for surplus nations, while surplus countries often fail to grasp their susceptibility to trade restrictions from deficit nations and their limited capacity for retaliation.

Most deficit countries don’t recognize how difficult a rebalancing would likely be for surplus countries, and most surplus countries don’t recognize how vulnerable they are to potential trade restrictions from deficit countries and how limited their ability to retaliate would be.

2 years ago Pending

Deficit countries are likely unaware of the challenges rebalancing poses for surplus nations, while surplus countries often fail to grasp their susceptibility to trade restrictions from deficit nations and their limited capacity for retaliation.

Most deficit countries don’t recognize how difficult a rebalancing would likely be for surplus countries, and most surplus countries don’t recognize how vulnerable they are to potential trade restrictions from deficit countries and how limited their ability to retaliate would be.

Pending

A change in US administration after the upcoming election is likely to lead to significant changes in EV incentives.

If there is a change in Administration in the United States in the upcoming election, it’s likely that we will see significant changes in EV incentives...

1 year ago Pending

A change in US administration after the upcoming election is likely to lead to significant changes in EV incentives.

If there is a change in Administration in the United States in the upcoming election, it’s likely that we will see significant changes in EV incentives...

Pending

A reduction in international trade is anticipated to lead to a decrease in global economic growth and GDP.

A contraction in international trade would be expected to reduce global growth and global GDP.

2 years ago Pending

A reduction in international trade is anticipated to lead to a decrease in global economic growth and GDP.

A contraction in international trade would be expected to reduce global growth and global GDP.

Pending

China is predicted to have EVs make up 40% of vehicle sales by 2030.

China is the country that is most likely to meet its target of EV’s making up 40 percent of vehicles sold by 2030.

1 year ago Pending

China is predicted to have EVs make up 40% of vehicle sales by 2030.

China is the country that is most likely to meet its target of EV’s making up 40 percent of vehicles sold by 2030.

Pending

Western countries will become increasingly cautious about depending on authoritarian states for essential goods due to the risk of supply withdrawal during conflicts.

Western countries have grown increasingly nervous about relying on authoritarian states for necessary goods which could be withdrawn in the event of a conflict.

2 years ago Pending

Western countries will become increasingly cautious about depending on authoritarian states for essential goods due to the risk of supply withdrawal during conflicts.

Western countries have grown increasingly nervous about relying on authoritarian states for necessary goods which could be withdrawn in the event of a conflict.

Pending

Citigroup predicts US EV demand could rise rapidly if households choose to own one internal combustion engine vehicle and one EV.

The analysts argue that if US households were to decide to own one ICE vehicle and one EV, EV demand could, in theory, rise overnight.

1 year ago Pending

Citigroup predicts US EV demand could rise rapidly if households choose to own one internal combustion engine vehicle and one EV.

The analysts argue that if US households were to decide to own one ICE vehicle and one EV, EV demand could, in theory, rise overnight.

Pending

Latin American and African countries are unlikely to sustainably absorb global excess manufacturing in the long term without a substantial increase in foreign investment to enable them to run persistent trade deficits.

It has been argued that Latin American and African countries could end up absorbing some of the global excess manufacturing, but without a huge increase in foreign investment needed to allow them to run the necessary long-term deficits, they will be unable to do this for long, even if they wanted to.

2 years ago Pending

Latin American and African countries are unlikely to sustainably absorb global excess manufacturing in the long term without a substantial increase in foreign investment to enable them to run persistent trade deficits.

It has been argued that Latin American and African countries could end up absorbing some of the global excess manufacturing, but without a huge increase in foreign investment needed to allow them to run the necessary long-term deficits, they will be unable to do this for long, even if they wanted to.

Pending

The author states his immediate plan is to post pictures of cars on Instagram, accumulate penny stocks, pump them, and then dump them, continuing his satirical intent to engage in pump and dump schemes.

For now, I’ll just post pictures of cars on Instagram, as the steps are – post photos of cars, accumulate penny stocks, pump the penny stocks and then dump.

1 year ago Pending

The author states his immediate plan is to post pictures of cars on Instagram, accumulate penny stocks, pump them, and then dump them, continuing his satirical intent to engage in pump and dump schemes.

For now, I’ll just post pictures of cars on Instagram, as the steps are – post photos of cars, accumulate penny stocks, pump the penny stocks and then dump.

Pending

Akio Toyoda predicts global demand for Battery Electric Vehicles will cap at 30% of the total market.

Akio Toyoda, the chairman of Toyota predicted in January that demand for Battery Electric Vehicles would hit a ceiling at 30 per cent of the global market, opening the way for more hybrid sales.

1 year ago Pending

Akio Toyoda predicts global demand for Battery Electric Vehicles will cap at 30% of the total market.

Akio Toyoda, the chairman of Toyota predicted in January that demand for Battery Electric Vehicles would hit a ceiling at 30 per cent of the global market, opening the way for more hybrid sales.

Pending

Protectionist trade policies in the US are expected to increase over time, regardless of the administration.

US policymakers have begun to pay more attention to trade imbalances, first under Trump and then under Biden, who have both implemented protectionist policies that appear likely to grow over time.

2 years ago Pending

Protectionist trade policies in the US are expected to increase over time, regardless of the administration.

US policymakers have begun to pay more attention to trade imbalances, first under Trump and then under Biden, who have both implemented protectionist policies that appear likely to grow over time.

Pending

The author predicts he will delay launching his own crypto coin or a 'not financial advice' Discord chat due to legal uncertainty surrounding securities fraud appeals.

That probably means that I should hold off for a bit to launch my crypto coin, or discord chat where I give “not financial advice.”

1 year ago Pending

The author predicts he will delay launching his own crypto coin or a 'not financial advice' Discord chat due to legal uncertainty surrounding securities fraud appeals.

That probably means that I should hold off for a bit to launch my crypto coin, or discord chat where I give “not financial advice.”

Pending

Ford expects its hybrid vehicle sales to quadruple by 2029.

Ford – the number two hybrid manufacturer - expects its sales of hybrids to quadruple in the next five years.

1 year ago Pending

Ford expects its hybrid vehicle sales to quadruple by 2029.

Ford – the number two hybrid manufacturer - expects its sales of hybrids to quadruple in the next five years.

Pending

Human effort is predicted not to become obsolete in the future.

I don’t believe that human effort will become obsolete in the future.

2 years ago Pending

Human effort is predicted not to become obsolete in the future.

I don’t believe that human effort will become obsolete in the future.

Pending

Germany's role as an export superpower is likely diminishing due to challenges like supply chain issues, the cessation of affordable Russian gas, and nuclear power plant decommissioning.

Pandemic supply chain disruptions stalled German factories in recent years, and the end of cheap Russian gas along with decommissioning nuclear power stations might mean that Germanys days as an export superpower may be coming to an end.

2 years ago Pending

Germany's role as an export superpower is likely diminishing due to challenges like supply chain issues, the cessation of affordable Russian gas, and nuclear power plant decommissioning.

Pandemic supply chain disruptions stalled German factories in recent years, and the end of cheap Russian gas along with decommissioning nuclear power stations might mean that Germanys days as an export superpower may be coming to an end.

Pending

Thai Union is predicted to lose its entire investment in the Red Lobster restaurant chain.

One way or another, the biggest losers in this deal are Thai Union who will likely lose their entire investment in the restaurant chain even if they did manage to sell some additional shrimp.

1 year ago Pending

Thai Union is predicted to lose its entire investment in the Red Lobster restaurant chain.

One way or another, the biggest losers in this deal are Thai Union who will likely lose their entire investment in the restaurant chain even if they did manage to sell some additional shrimp.

Pending

The author predicts he will restructure his social media channels (YouTube, Twitter, Instagram) to promote penny stocks and various crypto tokens by showing pictures of cars, with the intent to trick people into buying them, given a recent court ruling making such schemes seem legal.

It is good news for me as I will be able to restructure my YouTube channel, twitter account – and most importantly my Instagram (where I have almost two thousand followers) to show people pictures of cars – and then trick them into buying penny stocks and various crypto tokens.

1 year ago Pending

The author predicts he will restructure his social media channels (YouTube, Twitter, Instagram) to promote penny stocks and various crypto tokens by showing pictures of cars, with the intent to trick people into buying them, given a recent court ruling making such schemes seem legal.

It is good news for me as I will be able to restructure my YouTube channel, twitter account – and most importantly my Instagram (where I have almost two thousand followers) to show people pictures of cars – and then trick them into buying penny stocks and various crypto tokens.

Pending

AI is predicted to be commonly used for brainstorming tasks, but human-generated ideas are expected to stand out in the future due to their distinctiveness compared to AI's high-quality yet generic outputs.

The significant effect on brainstorming type tasks seen in this study implies that AI will be used for this type of task going forward, but the fact that the outputs are high quality – but possibly generic implies that human generated ideas might stand out from the crowd in the future due to their distinctiveness.

2 years ago Pending

AI is predicted to be commonly used for brainstorming tasks, but human-generated ideas are expected to stand out in the future due to their distinctiveness compared to AI's high-quality yet generic outputs.

The significant effect on brainstorming type tasks seen in this study implies that AI will be used for this type of task going forward, but the fact that the outputs are high quality – but possibly generic implies that human generated ideas might stand out from the crowd in the future due to their distinctiveness.

Pending

Germany's era of low, stable wages is likely concluding due to a combination of skilled worker shortages, inflation, and more assertive trade unions.

A shortage of skilled workers in recent years, combined with inflation and less docile trade unions may be bringing those low stable wages in Germany to an end.

2 years ago Pending

Germany's era of low, stable wages is likely concluding due to a combination of skilled worker shortages, inflation, and more assertive trade unions.

A shortage of skilled workers in recent years, combined with inflation and less docile trade unions may be bringing those low stable wages in Germany to an end.

Pending

The global auto industry expects to produce 14 million EVs in 2024 and sell 20 million EVs globally in 2025.

The global auto industry ... expects to produce fourteen million this year… By next year they expect to sell twenty million cars globally

1 year ago Pending

The global auto industry expects to produce 14 million EVs in 2024 and sell 20 million EVs globally in 2025.

The global auto industry ... expects to produce fourteen million this year… By next year they expect to sell twenty million cars globally

Pending

AI models are predicted to significantly change how knowledge workers operate in the coming years, similar to the historical impact of desktop computers.

These models are likely to change the way knowledge workers work in the coming years, not unlike when desktop computers appeared on office desks thirty or more years ago.

2 years ago Pending

AI models are predicted to significantly change how knowledge workers operate in the coming years, similar to the historical impact of desktop computers.

These models are likely to change the way knowledge workers work in the coming years, not unlike when desktop computers appeared on office desks thirty or more years ago.

Pending

Countries that fail to transition from an obsolete economic model will develop new imbalances due to its prolonged use.

As soon as the model has become obsolete, the country needs to shift to a new economic model, and if they don’t, a new set of imbalances develop brought about by the excesses of the old model being run for too long.

2 years ago Pending

Countries that fail to transition from an obsolete economic model will develop new imbalances due to its prolonged use.

As soon as the model has become obsolete, the country needs to shift to a new economic model, and if they don’t, a new set of imbalances develop brought about by the excesses of the old model being run for too long.

Pending

The CEO of Dowlais forecasts that carmakers will be forced to cut EV prices again in 2024.

He forecasted that carmakers would be forced to cut EV prices again later this year.

1 year ago Pending

The CEO of Dowlais forecasts that carmakers will be forced to cut EV prices again in 2024.

He forecasted that carmakers would be forced to cut EV prices again later this year.

Pending

Albemarle predicts the shift to EVs in the US and Europe will take longer than previously expected, leading to a reduced 2030 lithium demand forecast.

Albemarle, the world’s largest lithium producer, reduced its 2030 demand forecast for lithium as it now sees the shift to EVs in the US and Europe taking longer than previously expected.

1 year ago Pending

Albemarle predicts the shift to EVs in the US and Europe will take longer than previously expected, leading to a reduced 2030 lithium demand forecast.

Albemarle, the world’s largest lithium producer, reduced its 2030 demand forecast for lithium as it now sees the shift to EVs in the US and Europe taking longer than previously expected.

Pending

AI is expected to profoundly affect professions requiring higher levels of education, which have historically been less susceptible to automation, according to McKinsey.

They argue that AI is likely to affect hours, tasks, and responsibilities for workers across wage rates and educational backgrounds, but that it will have an especially profound effect on professions traditionally requiring higher levels of education, whose work has been less affected by automation in the past.

2 years ago Pending

AI is expected to profoundly affect professions requiring higher levels of education, which have historically been less susceptible to automation, according to McKinsey.

They argue that AI is likely to affect hours, tasks, and responsibilities for workers across wage rates and educational backgrounds, but that it will have an especially profound effect on professions traditionally requiring higher levels of education, whose work has been less affected by automation in the past.

Pending

Multi-decade investment trends favoring megacap tech, growth stocks, and American stocks over international stocks are expected to continue, as there is no obvious catalyst for their reversal.

There is no obvious catalyst that will cause investors to change their minds causing these multi decade trends to reverse direction.

1 year ago Pending

Multi-decade investment trends favoring megacap tech, growth stocks, and American stocks over international stocks are expected to continue, as there is no obvious catalyst for their reversal.

There is no obvious catalyst that will cause investors to change their minds causing these multi decade trends to reverse direction.

Pending

Government policies that compel households to subsidize industry are anticipated to result in production growth outpacing consumption growth.

Policies like these that force households to subsidize industry can be expected to generate faster growth in production than consumption, as growth in household consumption typically requires household income growth.

2 years ago Pending

Government policies that compel households to subsidize industry are anticipated to result in production growth outpacing consumption growth.

Policies like these that force households to subsidize industry can be expected to generate faster growth in production than consumption, as growth in household consumption typically requires household income growth.

Pending

Meghan Greene of the Bank of England's MPC believes expected economic growth in the UK will be significantly lower than in the United States.

Meghan Greene, an external member of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee pointed out in a recent FT article that expected growth in the UK is significantly lower than expected growth in the United States

1 year ago Pending

Meghan Greene of the Bank of England's MPC believes expected economic growth in the UK will be significantly lower than in the United States.

Meghan Greene, an external member of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee pointed out in a recent FT article that expected growth in the UK is significantly lower than expected growth in the United States

Pending

China's current growth model, having followed a pattern of rapid healthy growth and unhealthy growth driven by debt, will eventually lead to a difficult economic adjustment period.

The Chinese growth model is not particularly Chinese, a number of countries have taken this approach in the past, and it always seems to work out the same way where you see a period of rapid healthy growth, followed by a period of very rapid unhealthy growth (driven by a surge in debt), finally leading to a difficult adjustment period.

2 years ago Pending

China's current growth model, having followed a pattern of rapid healthy growth and unhealthy growth driven by debt, will eventually lead to a difficult economic adjustment period.

The Chinese growth model is not particularly Chinese, a number of countries have taken this approach in the past, and it always seems to work out the same way where you see a period of rapid healthy growth, followed by a period of very rapid unhealthy growth (driven by a surge in debt), finally leading to a difficult adjustment period.

Pending

Generative AI is predicted to automate up to 70% of business activities across most occupations by 2030, as per McKinsey.

According to McKinsey, generative AI could enable the automation of up to 70 percent of business activities, across almost all occupations, between now and 2030.

2 years ago Pending

Generative AI is predicted to automate up to 70% of business activities across most occupations by 2030, as per McKinsey.

According to McKinsey, generative AI could enable the automation of up to 70 percent of business activities, across almost all occupations, between now and 2030.

Pending

The 2024 US presidential election will feature Donald Trump, and both Republican and Democratic parties are expected to pursue increasingly protectionist trade policies.

The US presidential election occurring later this year is expected to once again feature Donald Trump and could see Republicans and Democrats competing to institute increasingly severe protectionist policies.

2 years ago Pending

The 2024 US presidential election will feature Donald Trump, and both Republican and Democratic parties are expected to pursue increasingly protectionist trade policies.

The US presidential election occurring later this year is expected to once again feature Donald Trump and could see Republicans and Democrats competing to institute increasingly severe protectionist policies.

Pending

The IMF projects UK national debt to reach 98% of GDP by the end of the decade (2030).

They project UK debt to hit 98 per cent of GDP by the end of the decade

1 year ago Pending

The IMF projects UK national debt to reach 98% of GDP by the end of the decade (2030).

They project UK debt to hit 98 per cent of GDP by the end of the decade

Pending

China's renewed focus on manufacturing and exporting is likely to ignite new trade tensions with both developed and emerging economies.

Too revive growth, Chinese policy makers are pushing money into manufacturing and exporting – instead of real estate and infrastructure this time, which risks igniting a new wave of trade tensions, not just with developed economies, but with emerging markets too

2 years ago Pending

China's renewed focus on manufacturing and exporting is likely to ignite new trade tensions with both developed and emerging economies.

Too revive growth, Chinese policy makers are pushing money into manufacturing and exporting – instead of real estate and infrastructure this time, which risks igniting a new wave of trade tensions, not just with developed economies, but with emerging markets too

Pending

Neither Donald Trump nor Joe Biden are likely to achieve much legislatively if elected.

It is not obvious that either of them will get much done if elected either.

1 year ago Pending

Neither Donald Trump nor Joe Biden are likely to achieve much legislatively if elected.

It is not obvious that either of them will get much done if elected either.

Pending

Chinese government's increased investment spending and directed lending policies will artificially inflate GDP statistics.

These measures will boost GDP statistics – as GDP doesn’t distinguish between activity that increases a country’s wealth and activity that doesn’t

2 years ago Pending

Chinese government's increased investment spending and directed lending policies will artificially inflate GDP statistics.

These measures will boost GDP statistics – as GDP doesn’t distinguish between activity that increases a country’s wealth and activity that doesn’t

Pending

Online trolling culture will continue to grow in power, overwhelming traditional polite popular culture and causing mainstream media to lose its influence, as it increasingly draws in wider demographics beyond young people.

I think that online trolling culture has become so powerful that it's spun out and is now sort of overwhelming the old sort of polite popular culture you know the mainstream media is sort of losing its hold to this world of online trolling which is where young people are living and increasingly sort of you know everybody else is getting pulled in as well

1 year ago Pending

Online trolling culture will continue to grow in power, overwhelming traditional polite popular culture and causing mainstream media to lose its influence, as it increasingly draws in wider demographics beyond young people.

I think that online trolling culture has become so powerful that it's spun out and is now sort of overwhelming the old sort of polite popular culture you know the mainstream media is sort of losing its hold to this world of online trolling which is where young people are living and increasingly sort of you know everybody else is getting pulled in as well

Pending

If Joe Biden wins, his public appearances will be intensely scrutinized for memory lapses or unusual behavior.

and should Biden win, any public appearances he makes, will be subjected to forensic examination for gaps in the president’s memory or any strange behavior.

1 year ago Pending

If Joe Biden wins, his public appearances will be intensely scrutinized for memory lapses or unusual behavior.

and should Biden win, any public appearances he makes, will be subjected to forensic examination for gaps in the president’s memory or any strange behavior.

Pending

The retail trading community will continue to decentralize, with a significant portion of activity shifting away from large platforms like Wall Street Bets to smaller, more intimate Discord communities, which will become a new central form of community for young investors.

this whole thing has become bigger than Wall Street bets... what you have now is a bunch of spin-off both subreddits and Discord communities... a lot of the sort of action has gone back back to those smaller more intimate communities... Wall Street bets is no longer the center of the action

1 year ago Pending

The retail trading community will continue to decentralize, with a significant portion of activity shifting away from large platforms like Wall Street Bets to smaller, more intimate Discord communities, which will become a new central form of community for young investors.

this whole thing has become bigger than Wall Street bets... what you have now is a bunch of spin-off both subreddits and Discord communities... a lot of the sort of action has gone back back to those smaller more intimate communities... Wall Street bets is no longer the center of the action

Pending

If elected, Donald Trump is likely to be entangled in his ongoing legal problems.

Trump is likely to be embroiled in his ongoing legal problems should he be elected,

1 year ago Pending

If elected, Donald Trump is likely to be entangled in his ongoing legal problems.

Trump is likely to be embroiled in his ongoing legal problems should he be elected,

Pending

Hedge funds will continue to be hesitant to short stocks, leading to sustained lower overall short levels, and the retail trading crowd will maintain a very important role in markets.

hedge funds are now afraid to short stocks I mean that that the and overall short levels have gone down over time... this retail crowd is still playing a very important role in markets

1 year ago Pending

Hedge funds will continue to be hesitant to short stocks, leading to sustained lower overall short levels, and the retail trading crowd will maintain a very important role in markets.

hedge funds are now afraid to short stocks I mean that that the and overall short levels have gone down over time... this retail crowd is still playing a very important role in markets

Pending

Stock ownership among young Americans will continue to grow at a faster rate than among older Americans, establishing itself as a popular preoccupation in youth culture.

rate of growth of ownership among Young Americans is much faster than among older Americans I mean it's become this sort of popular preoccupation for Youth and in youth culture now

1 year ago Pending

Stock ownership among young Americans will continue to grow at a faster rate than among older Americans, establishing itself as a popular preoccupation in youth culture.

rate of growth of ownership among Young Americans is much faster than among older Americans I mean it's become this sort of popular preoccupation for Youth and in youth culture now

Pending

If Donald Trump extends the expiring provisions of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, Americans will experience lower tax rates and a growing budget deficit in the coming years.

If the provisions are extended by Trump, Americans would see lower tax rates in the coming years, but a growing budget deficit.

1 year ago Pending

If Donald Trump extends the expiring provisions of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, Americans will experience lower tax rates and a growing budget deficit in the coming years.

If the provisions are extended by Trump, Americans would see lower tax rates in the coming years, but a growing budget deficit.

Pending

The new generation of retail traders will remain active in the market and will, as a group, perform relatively well, despite meme stocks fading in importance.

Meme stocks have faded in importance over time and yet you know this new generation of retail Traders is still very much in the market and and they seem to be doing relatively well as a group

1 year ago Pending

The new generation of retail traders will remain active in the market and will, as a group, perform relatively well, despite meme stocks fading in importance.

Meme stocks have faded in importance over time and yet you know this new generation of retail Traders is still very much in the market and and they seem to be doing relatively well as a group

Pending

Donald Trump will not read the 922-page Project 2025 document.

Now – lets be serious – Trump is not going to read anything that is 922 pages long…

1 year ago Pending

Donald Trump will not read the 922-page Project 2025 document.

Now – lets be serious – Trump is not going to read anything that is 922 pages long…

Pending

Online cultural narratives, starting with reasonable distrust, will frequently escalate into conspiracy theories due to the ambiguous nature of trolling.

it seems to be the way that so many stories in online culture go where you know it starts with sort of a reasonable distrust ... but it's so easily tips over into pizzagate and qanon and you know the line between this is I think part of the issue with trolling where it's hard to tell when somebody's being serious and when they're uh when it's when it's meant to be a joke and when it's meant to be serious

1 year ago Pending

Online cultural narratives, starting with reasonable distrust, will frequently escalate into conspiracy theories due to the ambiguous nature of trolling.

it seems to be the way that so many stories in online culture go where you know it starts with sort of a reasonable distrust ... but it's so easily tips over into pizzagate and qanon and you know the line between this is I think part of the issue with trolling where it's hard to tell when somebody's being serious and when they're uh when it's when it's meant to be a joke and when it's meant to be serious

Pending

A replacement Democratic Party candidate for the US presidential election is likely to be announced.

I initially held back on making a video on this topic as it seemed likely that a replacement Democratic Party candidate would be announced, and my video would be immediately out of date. While that still seems likely to me, Biden insisted at a press conference on Thursday at the end of a NATO summit that he was not stepping down.

1 year ago Pending

A replacement Democratic Party candidate for the US presidential election is likely to be announced.

I initially held back on making a video on this topic as it seemed likely that a replacement Democratic Party candidate would be announced, and my video would be immediately out of date. While that still seems likely to me, Biden insisted at a press conference on Thursday at the end of a NATO summit that he was not stepping down.

Pending

The high interest in markets by retail traders that began during COVID-19 will continue, contrary to earlier expectations that it would fade.

this ongoing interest in the markets that you know popped up during Co and is still with us today it has not yeah yeah very much so yeah had thought it would

1 year ago Pending

The high interest in markets by retail traders that began during COVID-19 will continue, contrary to earlier expectations that it would fade.

this ongoing interest in the markets that you know popped up during Co and is still with us today it has not yeah yeah very much so yeah had thought it would

Pending

A Trump presidency is predicted to have no effect on the prospects of the 'magnificent six' tech stocks.

There is no reason to believe... that a Trump presidency would have any effect on the prospects of these companies.

1 year ago Pending

A Trump presidency is predicted to have no effect on the prospects of the 'magnificent six' tech stocks.

There is no reason to believe... that a Trump presidency would have any effect on the prospects of these companies.

Pending

If Trump's potential policies (tariffs, immigration crackdown, deficit-financed tax cuts) lead to inflation, the Federal Reserve would be forced to hike interest rates.

Should these policies bring about inflation, the Federal Reserve would have to hike interest rates.

1 year ago Pending

If Trump's potential policies (tariffs, immigration crackdown, deficit-financed tax cuts) lead to inflation, the Federal Reserve would be forced to hike interest rates.

Should these policies bring about inflation, the Federal Reserve would have to hike interest rates.

Pending

If elected, Donald Trump is likely to hinder the implementation of Biden's Inflation Reduction Act through executive actions such as tightening tax credit limits, withholding loans/grants, or revising Treasury rules.

If elected, Trump might not be able to repeal the law unilaterally, but he could possibly work to make its implementation more difficult by hindering it through executive action by tightening limits on tax credits, holding back some of its loans and grants, or revising treasury department rules that haven’t yet been finalized.

1 year ago Pending

If elected, Donald Trump is likely to hinder the implementation of Biden's Inflation Reduction Act through executive actions such as tightening tax credit limits, withholding loans/grants, or revising Treasury rules.

If elected, Trump might not be able to repeal the law unilaterally, but he could possibly work to make its implementation more difficult by hindering it through executive action by tightening limits on tax credits, holding back some of its loans and grants, or revising treasury department rules that haven’t yet been finalized.

Pending

The author predicts he will restructure his social media channels (YouTube, Twitter, Instagram) to feature car pictures and use this to influence followers to buy penny stocks and various crypto tokens.

It is good news for me as I will be able to restructure my YouTube channel, twitter account – and most importantly my Instagram (where I have almost two thousand followers) to show people pictures of cars – and then trick them into buying penny stocks and various crypto tokens.

1 year ago Pending

The author predicts he will restructure his social media channels (YouTube, Twitter, Instagram) to feature car pictures and use this to influence followers to buy penny stocks and various crypto tokens.

It is good news for me as I will be able to restructure my YouTube channel, twitter account – and most importantly my Instagram (where I have almost two thousand followers) to show people pictures of cars – and then trick them into buying penny stocks and various crypto tokens.

Pending

A replacement Democratic Party candidate is still likely to be announced, despite President Biden's public statements.

While that still seems likely to me, Biden insisted at a press conference on Thursday at the end of a NATO summit that he was not stepping down.

1 year ago Pending

A replacement Democratic Party candidate is still likely to be announced, despite President Biden's public statements.

While that still seems likely to me, Biden insisted at a press conference on Thursday at the end of a NATO summit that he was not stepping down.

Pending

There is enough time for a new Democratic presidential candidate to be announced and run a campaign before the November election.

There is still plenty of time for a new candidate to be announced and for a campaign to be run.

1 year ago Pending

There is enough time for a new Democratic presidential candidate to be announced and run a campaign before the November election.

There is still plenty of time for a new candidate to be announced and for a campaign to be run.

Pending

President Biden is most likely to decide to step aside from the presidential race.

the most likely way out is for Biden himself to decide to step aside.

1 year ago Pending

President Biden is most likely to decide to step aside from the presidential race.

the most likely way out is for Biden himself to decide to step aside.

Pending

The academic debate on inequality between Piketty's team and Auten & Splinter's team is predicted to continue, leading to improved research methods and more accurate conclusions over time.

It is likely that this debate will continue between the two teams and over time research methods will improve and more accurate conclusions will be drawn.

2 years ago Pending

The academic debate on inequality between Piketty's team and Auten & Splinter's team is predicted to continue, leading to improved research methods and more accurate conclusions over time.

It is likely that this debate will continue between the two teams and over time research methods will improve and more accurate conclusions will be drawn.

Pending

Elon Musk's lawsuit against OpenAI is predicted not to yield significant results or impact.

I’m not sure that Musk’s lawsuit will lead to much.

1 year ago Pending

Elon Musk's lawsuit against OpenAI is predicted not to yield significant results or impact.

I’m not sure that Musk’s lawsuit will lead to much.

Pending

The California court is predicted not to rule on the tax loophole issue highlighted in Elon Musk's lawsuit against OpenAI.

I don’t believe the California court will decide on an issue like this.

1 year ago Pending

The California court is predicted not to rule on the tax loophole issue highlighted in Elon Musk's lawsuit against OpenAI.

I don’t believe the California court will decide on an issue like this.

Pending

A specific price category of handbags is unlikely to vanish from retail shelves, even if prices of current brands increase.

It strikes me as unlikely that an entire price category of handbags would disappear from store shelves.

1 year ago Pending

A specific price category of handbags is unlikely to vanish from retail shelves, even if prices of current brands increase.

It strikes me as unlikely that an entire price category of handbags would disappear from store shelves.

Pending

New merger guidelines are predicted to cause increased scrutiny of proposed business deals by agencies.

While the new guidelines are likely to result in increased agency scrutiny of proposed deals...

1 year ago Pending

New merger guidelines are predicted to cause increased scrutiny of proposed business deals by agencies.

While the new guidelines are likely to result in increased agency scrutiny of proposed deals...

Pending

A court is predicted to be unlikely to recognize the alleged 'Founding Agreement' as a contract in the Elon Musk v. OpenAI lawsuit.

It is unlikely that a court would see this as being a contract.

1 year ago Pending

A court is predicted to be unlikely to recognize the alleged 'Founding Agreement' as a contract in the Elon Musk v. OpenAI lawsuit.

It is unlikely that a court would see this as being a contract.

Pending

If the US Federal Reserve cuts rates, the Yen could strengthen as Japanese rates become more attractive, leading to cheaper imports and downward pressure on prices in Japan.

If the Fed started cutting rates, narrowing that gap, the yen could start to rise as Japanese rates become relatively more attractive. This would make imports cheaper, putting downward pressure on prices.

1 year ago Pending

If the US Federal Reserve cuts rates, the Yen could strengthen as Japanese rates become more attractive, leading to cheaper imports and downward pressure on prices in Japan.

If the Fed started cutting rates, narrowing that gap, the yen could start to rise as Japanese rates become relatively more attractive. This would make imports cheaper, putting downward pressure on prices.

Pending

A sharp increase in Japanese interest rates is unlikely for the foreseeable future.

For the time being, a sharp increase in Japanese interest rates seems unlikely.

1 year ago Pending

A sharp increase in Japanese interest rates is unlikely for the foreseeable future.

For the time being, a sharp increase in Japanese interest rates seems unlikely.

Pending

Manoj (Talking Heads Macro) predicts that Japan's consumption growth will not occur until households experience several quarters of real wage growth to recover lost purchasing power.

My friend Manoj at Talking Heads Macro argues that the Bank of Japan’s optimism that wage negotiations would deliver stronger nominal (and real) wage growth leading to consumption growth might be wrong. He argues that Japan’s real wages have fallen over the last two years and that consumption growth will only come after households have recouped the purchasing power they lost due to inflation. He says that households will need several quarters of wages outstripping prices before the wage level catches up with the price level. Only then will they feel that their wages can be used for broad-based consumption… that time is not now.

1 year ago Pending

Manoj (Talking Heads Macro) predicts that Japan's consumption growth will not occur until households experience several quarters of real wage growth to recover lost purchasing power.

My friend Manoj at Talking Heads Macro argues that the Bank of Japan’s optimism that wage negotiations would deliver stronger nominal (and real) wage growth leading to consumption growth might be wrong. He argues that Japan’s real wages have fallen over the last two years and that consumption growth will only come after households have recouped the purchasing power they lost due to inflation. He says that households will need several quarters of wages outstripping prices before the wage level catches up with the price level. Only then will they feel that their wages can be used for broad-based consumption… that time is not now.

Pending

WeWork's valuation will be difficult to increase significantly in the future.

It would be difficult at this point to spin the value of the company up again now that people realize that it’s just office rentals and not a tech business.

2 years ago Pending

WeWork's valuation will be difficult to increase significantly in the future.

It would be difficult at this point to spin the value of the company up again now that people realize that it’s just office rentals and not a tech business.

Pending

Japan's high number of elderly citizens is expected to place extreme strain on the economy, welfare programs, and retirement plans.

In a country with high debt the high number of elderly people can be expected to put extreme strain on the economy, welfare programs and retirement plans

1 year ago Pending

Japan's high number of elderly citizens is expected to place extreme strain on the economy, welfare programs, and retirement plans.

In a country with high debt the high number of elderly people can be expected to put extreme strain on the economy, welfare programs and retirement plans

Pending

By 2050, Japan is projected to have nearly an equal number of workers and retirees.

Based on current projections, by 2050 there will be almost the same number of workers in Japan as retirees.

1 year ago Pending

By 2050, Japan is projected to have nearly an equal number of workers and retirees.

Based on current projections, by 2050 there will be almost the same number of workers in Japan as retirees.

Pending

Adam Neumann will not invest his own money into WeWork.

He’s not going to put his own money into this.

2 years ago Pending

Adam Neumann will not invest his own money into WeWork.

He’s not going to put his own money into this.

Pending

By 2025, all 6.5 million of Japan's baby boomers would be 75 or older, making Japan a super-aged society.

It referred to how by 2025, all six and a half million of Japan’s baby boom generation would be 75 or older. Japan in 2025 would become a super-aged society the likes of which has not been seen before.

1 year ago Pending

By 2025, all 6.5 million of Japan's baby boomers would be 75 or older, making Japan a super-aged society.

It referred to how by 2025, all six and a half million of Japan’s baby boom generation would be 75 or older. Japan in 2025 would become a super-aged society the likes of which has not been seen before.

Pending

The Economist predicts that without reforms to raise productivity and boost potential growth, deflation could return to Japan.

The Economist points out that while price inflation is still above 2%, it is already falling. They argue that for the trend to continue, Japan needs reforms that raise productivity and boost the potential growth rate, otherwise deflation could return.

1 year ago Pending

The Economist predicts that without reforms to raise productivity and boost potential growth, deflation could return to Japan.

The Economist points out that while price inflation is still above 2%, it is already falling. They argue that for the trend to continue, Japan needs reforms that raise productivity and boost the potential growth rate, otherwise deflation could return.

Pending

Servicing Japan's government debt will become more difficult after the abandonment of negative interest rates and yield-curve control.

Servicing Japan’s massive government debt is already a struggle which will become more difficult once negative interest rates and yield-curve control have been abandoned.

1 year ago Pending

Servicing Japan's government debt will become more difficult after the abandonment of negative interest rates and yield-curve control.

Servicing Japan’s massive government debt is already a struggle which will become more difficult once negative interest rates and yield-curve control have been abandoned.

Pending

Bank of Japan expects higher incomes to lead to increased domestic demand and fuel inflation, bringing stable 2% inflation within sight.

The Bank of Japan has said that they expect higher incomes to lead to a virtuous spiral with domestic demand fueling inflation. They say that their long-held goal of stable 2% inflation is finally “within sight”.

1 year ago Pending

Bank of Japan expects higher incomes to lead to increased domestic demand and fuel inflation, bringing stable 2% inflation within sight.

The Bank of Japan has said that they expect higher incomes to lead to a virtuous spiral with domestic demand fueling inflation. They say that their long-held goal of stable 2% inflation is finally “within sight”.

Pending

Stocks are predicted to rise regardless of the outcome of the US election (referring to the 2024 US election).

It is my opinion that stocks will rise in either scenario, but I’d love to hear your ideas in the comments section below.

1 year ago Pending

Stocks are predicted to rise regardless of the outcome of the US election (referring to the 2024 US election).

It is my opinion that stocks will rise in either scenario, but I’d love to hear your ideas in the comments section below.

Pending

The failure of unsustainable business models will lead to improved capital allocation towards more viable businesses.

but if a business model makes no sense, or only works in a zero-interest rate environment, then its disappearance means that capital can again flow in the direction of the best businesses.

2 years ago Pending

The failure of unsustainable business models will lead to improved capital allocation towards more viable businesses.

but if a business model makes no sense, or only works in a zero-interest rate environment, then its disappearance means that capital can again flow in the direction of the best businesses.

Pending

The current environment of startup shutdowns will make it more difficult for founders with good business ideas to obtain funding.

One of the negative economic effects of startup shutdowns is that in such an environment it becomes harder for founders with good business ideas to get funding.

2 years ago Pending

The current environment of startup shutdowns will make it more difficult for founders with good business ideas to obtain funding.

One of the negative economic effects of startup shutdowns is that in such an environment it becomes harder for founders with good business ideas to get funding.

Pending

China's trade surplus in manufactured goods will likely be difficult to significantly expand beyond its current level of around 10% of the overall Chinese economy.

China might also struggle to export more goods – just from a practical perspective - as its trade surplus in manufactured goods is already at around ten percent of the overall Chinese economy, it may be difficult to expand it much beyond that level.

2 years ago Pending

China's trade surplus in manufactured goods will likely be difficult to significantly expand beyond its current level of around 10% of the overall Chinese economy.

China might also struggle to export more goods – just from a practical perspective - as its trade surplus in manufactured goods is already at around ten percent of the overall Chinese economy, it may be difficult to expand it much beyond that level.

Pending

Aggressive Chinese car exports are likely to provoke protectionist trade measures from international partners.

China risks a backlash from their trade partners if they push too many cars into a given region which would likely cause protectionist measures to be put in place.

2 years ago Pending

Aggressive Chinese car exports are likely to provoke protectionist trade measures from international partners.

China risks a backlash from their trade partners if they push too many cars into a given region which would likely cause protectionist measures to be put in place.

Pending

The number of Chinese electric car brands is predicted to consolidate from over 160 to only 25-30 in the long run.

The Wall Street Journal says that there are more than 160 electric car brands in China and that only twenty-five or thirty of them are likely to survive in the long run.

2 years ago Pending

The number of Chinese electric car brands is predicted to consolidate from over 160 to only 25-30 in the long run.

The Wall Street Journal says that there are more than 160 electric car brands in China and that only twenty-five or thirty of them are likely to survive in the long run.

Pending

Subsidies for car purchases from Chinese local governments are unlikely to return in the near future due to financial constraints.

It is unlikely that these subsidies will come back any time soon, as local governments in China are mostly funded by leasing land to developers for construction, and construction activity has almost entirely dried up in China.

2 years ago Pending

Subsidies for car purchases from Chinese local governments are unlikely to return in the near future due to financial constraints.

It is unlikely that these subsidies will come back any time soon, as local governments in China are mostly funded by leasing land to developers for construction, and construction activity has almost entirely dried up in China.

Pending

High-quality yet generic AI outputs imply that distinct human-generated ideas will become more prominent and valued in the future.

the fact that the outputs are high quality – but possibly generic implies that human generated ideas might stand out from the crowd in the future due to their distinctiveness.

2 years ago Pending

High-quality yet generic AI outputs imply that distinct human-generated ideas will become more prominent and valued in the future.

the fact that the outputs are high quality – but possibly generic implies that human generated ideas might stand out from the crowd in the future due to their distinctiveness.

Pending

The US 27.5% import tariff on cars made in China is predicted to continue for the foreseeable future.

That policy has continued under the Biden administration and does not look like it will end any time soon.

2 years ago Pending

The US 27.5% import tariff on cars made in China is predicted to continue for the foreseeable future.

That policy has continued under the Biden administration and does not look like it will end any time soon.

Pending

McKinsey predicts that AI will profoundly impact the hours, tasks, and responsibilities of workers, especially those in highly educated professions traditionally less affected by automation.

They argue that AI is likely to affect hours, tasks, and responsibilities for workers across wage rates and educational backgrounds, but that it will have an especially profound effect on professions traditionally requiring higher levels of education, whose work has been less affected by automation in the past.

2 years ago Pending

McKinsey predicts that AI will profoundly impact the hours, tasks, and responsibilities of workers, especially those in highly educated professions traditionally less affected by automation.

They argue that AI is likely to affect hours, tasks, and responsibilities for workers across wage rates and educational backgrounds, but that it will have an especially profound effect on professions traditionally requiring higher levels of education, whose work has been less affected by automation in the past.

Pending

Generative AI is predicted by McKinsey to automate up to 70% of business activities across almost all occupations by 2030.

According to McKinsey, generative AI could enable the automation of up to 70 percent of business activities, across almost all occupations, between now and 2030.

2 years ago Pending

Generative AI is predicted by McKinsey to automate up to 70% of business activities across almost all occupations by 2030.

According to McKinsey, generative AI could enable the automation of up to 70 percent of business activities, across almost all occupations, between now and 2030.

Pending

The US economy is expected to be 2% larger over the next decade than previously forecast, attributed to an increase in the foreign-born labor force.

the US economy is now expected to be 2% larger over the next decade than it previously been forecast

1 year ago Pending

The US economy is expected to be 2% larger over the next decade than previously forecast, attributed to an increase in the foreign-born labor force.

the US economy is now expected to be 2% larger over the next decade than it previously been forecast

Pending

Over 7% of all millionaires expected to relocate globally in 2024 will depart the UK.

Over 7% of the millionaires expected to move country in 2024 will be choosing to depart the UK

1 year ago Pending

Over 7% of all millionaires expected to relocate globally in 2024 will depart the UK.

Over 7% of the millionaires expected to move country in 2024 will be choosing to depart the UK

Pending

Millionaire inflows to Australia in 2024 are predicted to be well below the peak levels recorded in the 2010s.

millionaire inflows for 2024 are well below the peak levels recorded in the 2010s when Australia consistently attracted more than twice as many wealthy migrants per year

1 year ago Pending

Millionaire inflows to Australia in 2024 are predicted to be well below the peak levels recorded in the 2010s.

millionaire inflows for 2024 are well below the peak levels recorded in the 2010s when Australia consistently attracted more than twice as many wealthy migrants per year

Pending

The UAE is expected to see large inflows of millionaires from the UK in 2024.

large inflows are this year expected to come from the UK

1 year ago Pending

The UAE is expected to see large inflows of millionaires from the UK in 2024.

large inflows are this year expected to come from the UK

Pending

1,000 millionaires are expected to leave Russia in 2024.

this year only 1,000 are expected to leave Russia

1 year ago Pending

1,000 millionaires are expected to leave Russia in 2024.

this year only 1,000 are expected to leave Russia

Pending

A record number of millionaires are expected to leave South Korea in 2024.

once again a record number are expected to leave in 2024

1 year ago Pending

A record number of millionaires are expected to leave South Korea in 2024.

once again a record number are expected to leave in 2024

Pending

India is expected to lose 4,300 millionaires in 2024, with many relocating to the UAE.

India is expected to lose 4,300 millionaires with many moving to the UAE

1 year ago Pending

India is expected to lose 4,300 millionaires in 2024, with many relocating to the UAE.

India is expected to lose 4,300 millionaires with many moving to the UAE

Pending

9,500 millionaires are predicted to leave the UK in 2024, a new record outflow, with London expected to be especially hard hit.

the data shows that 9,500 millionaires will leave the UK in 2024 a new record outflow for the country with London expected to be especially hard hit

1 year ago Pending

9,500 millionaires are predicted to leave the UK in 2024, a new record outflow, with London expected to be especially hard hit.

the data shows that 9,500 millionaires will leave the UK in 2024 a new record outflow for the country with London expected to be especially hard hit

Pending

128,000 millionaires are expected to relocate globally in 2024.

an unprecedented 128,000 millionaires are expected to relocate this year eclipsing the previous record of 120,000 set last year

1 year ago Pending

128,000 millionaires are expected to relocate globally in 2024.

an unprecedented 128,000 millionaires are expected to relocate this year eclipsing the previous record of 120,000 set last year

Pending

Office prices need to fall an additional 50% for residential conversion to be financially feasible, leading to continued underutilization of office spaces in the near term.

Economists at Goldman Sachs built a model showing that current prices for struggling office buildings are still too high for conversion to residential use to make sense. They estimate that office prices would need to fall an additional 50% for conversion to housing to be financially feasible, meaning that offices will likely remain underutilized in the near term.

2 years ago Pending

Office prices need to fall an additional 50% for residential conversion to be financially feasible, leading to continued underutilization of office spaces in the near term.

Economists at Goldman Sachs built a model showing that current prices for struggling office buildings are still too high for conversion to residential use to make sense. They estimate that office prices would need to fall an additional 50% for conversion to housing to be financially feasible, meaning that offices will likely remain underutilized in the near term.

Pending

US banks are likely to use significant risk transfer (SRT) to reduce exposure to risky loans, which will result in lower earnings.

US Banks can, and likely will use these structures to reduce their exposure to risky loans, but doing so will lower their earnings.

2 years ago Pending

US banks are likely to use significant risk transfer (SRT) to reduce exposure to risky loans, which will result in lower earnings.

US Banks can, and likely will use these structures to reduce their exposure to risky loans, but doing so will lower their earnings.

Pending

Future increases in banking reserve requirements due to commercial real estate delinquencies will have a lesser impact on the overall economy compared to the past.

It might be reasonable – based on this research to expect that any increase in banking reserve requirements brought about by delinquencies in commercial real estate loans would have less of an impact on the overall economy today than it would have had in the past.

2 years ago Pending

Future increases in banking reserve requirements due to commercial real estate delinquencies will have a lesser impact on the overall economy compared to the past.

It might be reasonable – based on this research to expect that any increase in banking reserve requirements brought about by delinquencies in commercial real estate loans would have less of an impact on the overall economy today than it would have had in the past.

Pending

Owners of 224 out of 605 large buildings with mortgages expiring in 2024 are expected to struggle with refinancing.

According to Moody’s Analytics, owners of 224 out of the 605 large buildings with mortgages expiring this year will struggle to refinance, either because the properties are overleveraged or because their rental performance is poor.

2 years ago Pending

Owners of 224 out of 605 large buildings with mortgages expiring in 2024 are expected to struggle with refinancing.

According to Moody’s Analytics, owners of 224 out of the 605 large buildings with mortgages expiring this year will struggle to refinance, either because the properties are overleveraged or because their rental performance is poor.

Pending

Thai Union is predicted to lose its entire investment in Red Lobster.

One way or another, the biggest losers in this deal are Thai Union who will likely lose their entire investment in the restaurant chain even if they did manage to sell some additional shrimp.

1 year ago Pending

Thai Union is predicted to lose its entire investment in Red Lobster.

One way or another, the biggest losers in this deal are Thai Union who will likely lose their entire investment in the restaurant chain even if they did manage to sell some additional shrimp.

Pending

The majority of office loans are predicted to face substantial cash flow and refinancing problems in the coming years.

A recent paper on Commercial Real Estate and US Banks found that 44% of office loans are likely already in “negative equity” and that the majority of office loans are likely to encounter “substantial cash flow problems and refinancing challenges” in the coming years.

2 years ago Pending

The majority of office loans are predicted to face substantial cash flow and refinancing problems in the coming years.

A recent paper on Commercial Real Estate and US Banks found that 44% of office loans are likely already in “negative equity” and that the majority of office loans are likely to encounter “substantial cash flow problems and refinancing challenges” in the coming years.

Pending