US
US Economic Policy
Topic
N/A
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 29
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Donald Trump's proposed 10% credit card interest rate cap is unlikely to actually work.
"Now, let's talk about why this most likely wouldn't actually work."
Jan 17, 2026
Pending
The author predicts that President Trump's proposed 10% cap on credit card interest, if implemented on January 20th, 2026, would ultimately fail and not be sustainable.
"President Trump has suggested that starting January 20th, which is in just six days, he is going to ..."
Jan 14, 2026
Pending
Oil companies are predicted to receive the newly printed money for infrastructure rebuilding.
"who do you think's going to get the money that's getting printed? these oil companies to go help reb..."
Jan 5, 2026
Pending
Trump is predicted to call for 1% interest rates and promise stimulus checks.
"Trump's calling for interest rates to 1% promising stimulus checks"
Dec 29, 2025
Pending
The speaker warns that the current path of fiscal dominance is unsustainable and will ultimately lead to a catastrophe, advising those engaging in this strategy to profit quickly and exit the market.
"The problem with fiscal dominance is you've pulled the pin on a grenade and now we're just arguing a..."
Dec 5, 2025
Pending
The US government is predicted to create an artificial injection of liquidity.
"I am cynical about the fact that they're going to fake an injection of liquidity."
Dec 1, 2025
Pending
Donald Trump's aggressive economic stance is predicted to soften dramatically in 2026 to ensure favorable liquidity conditions.
"I think he's going to soften up dramatically going into 2026 uh to make sure the liquidity condition..."
Nov 24, 2025
Pending
The deal could initiate a new model where the US government collects 'rent' from large parts of the economy, potentially inspiring similar policies in foreign governments.
"this deal could be the start of a new model where Washington collects rent on huge chunks of the eco..."
Aug 15, 2025
Pending
The chip deal could become a template for a new model of 'executive capitalism' that expands to other industries like biotech, aerospace, or energy, where export access is monetized and national security becomes negotiable.
"What began as a one-off chip deal could become a template, a new model of executive capitalism where..."
Aug 15, 2025
Pending
The 'One Big Beautiful Bill Act,' signed into law by President Trump, is predicted to enact significant economic changes, including tax breaks and funding for deportations, effective retroactively from January 1, 2025.
"President Trump signed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act into law. This big bill will bring some big ch..."
Jul 18, 2025
Pending
Arthur Hayes anticipates a Fed balance sheet expansion, Treasury buybacks, and stimulus from China will positively impact risk assets.
"Hayes has pointed to a likely Fed balance sheet expansion, Treasury buybacks, and a China stimulus v..."
Jul 3, 2025
Pending
The US Federal Reserve or Treasury is likely to implement a policy to buy its own debt.
"The first thing is that I actually believe that there is a chance that the Fed will actually or the ..."
May 19, 2025
Pending
Trump is expected to enact a new economic accord at Mara Lago in the coming months.
"It's assumed that Trump will enact a similar accord at Mara Lago in the coming months for the same r..."
Apr 27, 2025
Pending
A second Trump term will be more aggressive in reconfiguring international trading and financial systems.
"A second Trump term is likely to be even more forceful than the first when it comes to reconfiguring..."
Apr 27, 2025
Pending
The US may withdraw from military organizations like NATO unless other countries increase their financial contributions.
"the US could back out of military organizations like NATO unless other countries pay more which is a..."
Apr 27, 2025
Pending
Tariffs will be used as a tool for negotiating leverage before any shift to a soft dollar policy, as they will provide the US with more beneficial terms in any agreement with trade partners.
"tariffs are a tool for negotiating leverage as much as they are for revenue and fairness tariffs wil..."
Apr 27, 2025
Pending
It is unlikely that China will participate in a 'Mara Lago accord' due to current US-China relations, despite China being central to the US trade imbalance.
"The US and China aren't very friendly these days so the chances of President Xi flying to Florida to..."
Apr 27, 2025
Pending
The US may cease securing key shipping routes unless compensated, as evidenced by current disruptions in the Red Sea.
"The US could also refuse to secure key shipping routes unless it's paid to do so which is also what ..."
Apr 27, 2025
Pending
A significant portion of the tariff costs (20-30%) could be passed to US consumers, potentially causing social unrest, forcing the Fed to maintain high interest rates, and leading to a sell-off in US bonds.
"this means that the remaining 20 to 30% would be passed on to US consumers it goes without saying th..."
Apr 27, 2025
Pending
Deregulation is predicted to be a significant deflationary force that economists are currently overlooking, potentially mitigating inflation even with implemented tariffs.
"deregulation as one factor that could cause inflation to drop even if tariffs are implemented he eve..."
Apr 27, 2025
Pending
If companies cannot pass on tariff costs due to economic weakness, they will likely absorb the costs, leading to higher expenses and lower profits.
"in this scenario companies would be forced to swallow most of the costs of the tariffs in practical ..."
Apr 27, 2025
Pending
Trump's tariffs, coupled with economic weakness, may force corporations to absorb costs, thereby protecting consumers and the government from inflation with limited impact on the stock market.
"then Trump's wild tariffs are likely to result in economic weakness which will make it very difficul..."
Apr 27, 2025
Pending
The Trump White House will temporarily halt market-suppressing tariffs if markets exhibit significant fear or decline, within the next 1-3 months.
"the Donald Trump White House is willing to walk back or put a pause or temporarily halt these market..."
Apr 14, 2025
Pending
The Trump administration and Federal Reserve will eventually pivot towards pro-growth policies to prevent a severe recession or depression, ensuring their political agenda remains viable.
"Trump may not be prioritizing the markets, but when it comes down to it, he can't screw them up for ..."
Apr 8, 2025
Pending
Current US tariff policies will persist despite short-term economic pain, aiming for long-term economic gain.
"Treasury Secretary Scott Bassent has also indicated that there is no backing down. This is the plan ..."
Apr 8, 2025
Pending
The current tariff policy is viewed as a system reset, analogous to painful but potentially healing medicine or surgery for the long-term economic health of the US.
"this resets the system it's like medicine or surgery painful in the short term but potentially heali..."
Apr 4, 2025
Pending
Donald Trump is predicted to scale back economic policies if they negatively impact the stock market or broader economy.
"It seems to me that Trump keeps his eye on the stock market as a measure of his performance and for ..."
Jan 14, 2025
Pending
The current administration will strategically leave Trump with a challenging economic situation upon his inauguration.
"they're going to hold it out until Trump that's seven days that's one week from now they're going to..."
Jan 13, 2025
Pending
If elected, Donald Trump is likely to hinder the implementation of Biden's Inflation Reduction Act through executive actions such as tightening tax credit limits, withholding loans/grants, or revising Treasury rules.
"If elected, Trump might not be able to repeal the law unilaterally, but he could possibly work to ma..."
Jul 15, 2024
Pending