Fed
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Policy
Topic
33.3%
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 14
Pending: 55
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
The Trump administration desires lower interest rates and more stimulus, which may become more achievable if they secure five appointees on the Federal Reserve Board.
"Now, up until now, the Supreme Court has said that the Trump administration cannot fire Lisa Cook. H..."
Jan 9, 2026
Pending
The expectation is that a new Fed chair nominated by Trump will be more aggressive with interest rate cuts.
"That new Fed chair is going to be much more aggressive with the interest rate cuts. At least that's ..."
Jan 9, 2026
Pending
The Federal Reserve projects only one interest rate cut of 0.25% for 2026.
"The Federal Reserve projected that they're only going to cut interest rates one time this year by 0...."
Jan 9, 2026
Pending
Jay Powell expects inflation elevated by tariffs in 2025 to improve in 2026.
"Powell says the tariff inflation is most likely to be, and I quote, a one-time price increase. So in..."
Dec 19, 2025
Incorrect
Kevin Warsh has been inactive in the Federal Reserve for over a decade.
"However, I'll tell you that I don't know about Worsh because although he's been a part of the Federa..."
Dec 19, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve projects only one interest rate cut of 0.25% in 2026.
"the Federal Reserve gave their projections and they projected that they're only going to cut interes..."
Dec 19, 2025
Pending
Kevin Hassett is predicted to lower interest rates more significantly than Christopher Waller.
"Hasset would be the candidate that would lower interest rates the most much more than Waller."
Dec 19, 2025
Pending
If Christopher Waller's proposed 1% interest rate cut is implemented, rates would fall to 2.75%.
"And that means that he would want to take it down to 2.75%."
Dec 19, 2025
Incorrect
Christopher Waller believes interest rates should be lowered by 1%.
"Christopher Waller, who's already a Federal Reserve governor, and he's saying that interest rates sh..."
Dec 19, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve anticipates inflation to cool and not be a problem in the coming months and going forward.
"Another thing is that the Federal Reserve is saying that they're confident that inflation is going t..."
Dec 19, 2025
Incorrect
The consensus among Fed officials is for only 25 basis points of interest rate cuts in the upcoming year, which is considered slightly hawkish.
"the consensus view among Fed officials is that we'll only see 25 basis points of cuts next year. So ..."
Dec 15, 2025
Incorrect
A lower GDP is predicted to provide the Federal Reserve with more justification to aggressively cut interest rates and increase money supply.
"If GDP is lower, then that gives more reason for the Federal Reserve to blast the money printer on a..."
Nov 11, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is in a monetary easing cycle, having cut rates in September 2025 and anticipating at least two further cuts by the end of 2025.
"The Fed is now in a monetary easing cycle. They cut rates back in September and are expected to deli..."
Oct 23, 2025
Incorrect
The speaker indicates that attention to the Federal Reserve's actions and other economic factors over the next 12 months will be crucial for understanding future mortgage rate trends.
"And these are the things you want to pay attention to over the next 12 months to really get a better..."
Oct 9, 2025
Pending
Federal Reserve to aggressively cut interest rates in 2026.
"It means that most likely the Federal Reserve will aggressively cut interest rates next year."
Sep 22, 2025
Correct
Market-based probabilities suggest a greater than 70% chance of Federal Reserve rate cuts in both October and December.
"According to the CME Group's Fed Watch tool, which measures market-based probabilities, traders are ..."
Sep 18, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points on September 17th, setting the federal funds rate to 4%-4.25%.
"On September 17th, the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee, or FOMC, did what the market had bee..."
Sep 18, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve's median projection indicates two more 25 basis point rate cuts are expected before the end of 2025.
"The September dot plot was crystal clear. The median projection showed two more 25 basis point cuts ..."
Sep 18, 2025
Incorrect
The speaker predicts a 0.25% interest rate cut.
"I would expect them to cut interest rates by 0.25%."
Sep 5, 2025
Correct
Interest rates should be cut at the upcoming meeting.
"I think we should be cutting at the next meeting."
Sep 5, 2025
Incorrect
Multiple interest rate cuts are expected, not just a single one.
"there's going to be more rate cuts to come. Like this is not just a oneanddone thing."
Sep 5, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates at their September 17th meeting.
"the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates at their next meeting, which is going to take ..."
Sep 5, 2025
Incorrect
Multiple interest rate cuts are anticipated within the next 3 to 6 months.
"over the next 3 to 6 months we could see multiple cuts coming in."
Sep 5, 2025
Incorrect
There is a 100% probability of an interest rate cut in September.
"there's now a 100% chance of a rate cut in September."
Sep 5, 2025
Incorrect
There was a 75% chance of a 0.25% interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve at their September 17th meeting.
"And right now, it shows that at their next meeting, which will happen September 17th, that there's a..."
Aug 23, 2025
Incorrect
The increase in core CPI inflation to 3.1% is moving away from the 2.0% target and accelerating, which is a reason for the Federal Reserve to avoid cutting interest rates.
"CPI core inflation did move up from 2.9% in the previous month to 3.1%. And the Fed prefers to use c..."
Aug 22, 2025
Pending
Donald Trump believes the Federal Reserve should cut interest rates to reduce government interest expense.
"Trump is upset that Powell and the Federal Reserve are not cutting interest rates, which is causing ..."
Aug 20, 2025
Correct
Donald Trump predicts the Federal Reserve should cut interest rates by 3%.
"In another example, President Trump says that the Federal Reserve should cut interest rates by 3%."
Aug 20, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve Bank's decisions will not be influenced by the tariffs.
"these tariffs are not going to influence what the Federal Reserve Bank does."
Aug 15, 2025
Pending
Goldman Sachs suggests the Federal Reserve Bank may cut interest rates to stimulate the economy due to weak job market numbers.
"Goldman S is kind of hinting that maybe the Federal Reserve Bank is going to say, you know what, let..."
Aug 15, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve Bank is prioritizing concerns about the job market and the broader economy over inflation caused by price hikes.
"the Federal Reserve Bank has other problems such as the job market. So, they're not going to be conc..."
Aug 15, 2025
Pending
Jerome Powell stated the economy is fine and indicated the Federal Reserve's stance on future interest rate actions.
"the Federal Reserve Bank led by Jerome Powell gave a statement where he said that investors don't ne..."
Mar 8, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve aims for inflation to decrease to a 2% rate.
"the Federal Reserve Bank says that they want inflation to fall to 2%"
Mar 8, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve Bank is adopting a wait-and-see approach to interest rate adjustments, avoiding aggressive cuts or hikes.
"and so as a result they don't want to cut interest rates too aggressively they don't want to raise i..."
Feb 15, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve Bank intends to continue cutting interest rates, but is hesitant due to potential economic uncertainties.
"now the Federal Reserve Bank says that they want to keep cutting interest rates but they're also con..."
Feb 15, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve will provide a clearer understanding of its 2025 policy decisions in December.
"Jerome Powell said is we're going to take things meeting by meeting and we're going to have a much b..."
Nov 14, 2024
Pending
Cooling labor market data alongside resilient growth is expected to support the Federal Reserve's campaign of cutting interest rates.
"recent economic data showing that the labor market is cooling while growth remains resilient should ..."
Nov 12, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve may either signal more aggressive interest rate cuts to stimulate the economy despite strong numbers, or indicate less aggressive cuts due to a stronger-than-expected economy and job market, which would impact markets.
"the Federal Reserve Bank may say that they want to be more aggressive with interest rate cuts to sti..."
Nov 5, 2024
Pending
On September 18th, the Federal Reserve announced a 50 basis point (0.5%) interest rate cut, indicating a less aggressive approach to rate reductions.
"On September 18th, one day later, the Federal Reserve Bank began cutting interest rates. They announ..."
Oct 28, 2024
Pending
Investor focus is on the aggressiveness of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, which will influence corporate debt costs and future sales.
"and this is where a lot of people on Wall Street and every investor is paying attention to what the ..."
Oct 17, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve Bank will not aggressively cut interest rates due to a strong job market and better-than-expected inflation.
"now when you get numbers that the job market is stronger than expected and inflation is better than ..."
Oct 17, 2024
Pending
The port strike might cause the Federal Reserve to slow down its planned interest rate cuts.
"But if the Federal Reserve Bank says maybe we're going to take interest rate cuts a little bit light..."
Oct 2, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve Bank is planning to lower interest rates.
"The Federal Reserve Bank is preparing to cut interest rates."
Sep 6, 2024
Pending
Jerome Powell has indicated that further interest rate hikes are possible in the future.
"Jerome Powell still said that you need to be prepared for more rate hikes in the future"
Aug 28, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve has paused interest rate hikes for the first time in 15 months, despite ongoing high inflation, indicating a potential pivot in policy.
"the Federal Reserve Bank is officially starting to Pivot Jerome Powell has just taken his foot off o..."
Aug 28, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve Bank is expected to cut interest rates in September.
"the Federal Reserve Bank has hinted at cutting interest rates this September"
Aug 16, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve plans to start cutting interest rates when they anticipate moving towards 2% inflation.
"they want to start cutting interest rates when they think that we're heading towards 2% inflation"
Aug 16, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates sooner than expected if market conditions deteriorate.
"well if markets continue to go down the Federal Reserve Bank might start inflating the markets they ..."
Aug 5, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve has revised its projection for interest rate cuts in 2024 from six to one.
"earlier we thought that the Federal Reserve Bank was going to cut interest rates six times in 2024 a..."
Jun 19, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve Bank is planning to increase interest rates multiple times in 2025.
"they plan to raise interest rates multiple times in 2025"
Jun 17, 2024
Pending