US
US Trade Policy
Topic
N/A
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 2
Pending: 26
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
The speaker predicts there will be more tariffs.
"There's going to be more tariffs."
Jan 28, 2026
Pending
There is a possibility that the Supreme Court could strike down Trump's tariffs, which would be a significant boon for markets and could involve substantial refunds to businesses.
"the possibility that the Supreme Court might strike down Trump's tariffs."
Dec 15, 2025
Incorrect
An update is expected on whether Trump's tariffs will remain in effect.
"we are still supposed to receive an update whether Trump's tariffs are actually going to stick."
Nov 18, 2025
Pending
The Trump administration will appeal the tariffs ruling to the Supreme Court, and the tariffs will continue to be in effect until the appeal is resolved.
"So does this mean the tariffs will stop? No. The answer is no. because the Trump administration will..."
Aug 31, 2025
Pending
The United States will ultimately be at a disadvantage if it continues to apply pressure (arm-twisting) on India.
"it is United States which is going to be the loser uh if they try to arm twist us uh longer and long..."
Aug 14, 2025
Pending
Supreme Court to decide if presidents can unilaterally alter trade policy by declaring national emergencies.
"The case is now heading to the Supreme Court, where justices will decide whether presidents can rewr..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Current US trade deals are likely to be constantly renegotiated in the coming years.
"It is not at all obvious that these deals are set in stone – they might well be renegotiated constan..."
Aug 4, 2025
Pending
US trade policy under Trump is shifting to use tariffs for geopolitical alignment, leading to new trade agreements rewarding compliance with US objectives and penalizing economic entanglement with China.
"This approach reflects what might be a broader shift in U.S. trade policy under Trump. Tariffs are n..."
Aug 4, 2025
Pending
Donald Trump warned of imposing very high tariffs, potentially around 200%, on Indian pharmaceutical products.
"He said he was mentioning that again uh he he's wanting to have very high tariffs on pharma he said ..."
Jul 10, 2025
Incorrect
TJ predicts that Trump's trade deals will be finalized by the end of Summer 2025.
"By the time we get through this summer, they'll have it all done."
Jul 9, 2025
Pending
The speaker doubts that Trump's team will close several new trade deals within a week (from July 9, 2025).
"So we're going to need to close some deals by August 1st. Now they're saying within a week. I don't ..."
Jul 9, 2025
Pending
Tariff risk is predicted to be completely removed, implying no new trade wars.
"Tariff risk has got to be completely off the table."
Jul 3, 2025
Pending
Numerous trade deals were expected to be announced over the next 30-90 days from May 2025 (by mid-August 2025).
"from now for the next 30, 60, 90 days, we're going to get a lot of trade deals announced."
May 13, 2025
Pending
Trump is predicted to reduce tariffs and conclude many new trade deals very soon.
"I do believe that Trump reduces the tariffs very very very soon and that lots of trade deals are goi..."
May 8, 2025
Pending
In April 2025, discussions on US tariff actions will be the dominant global conversation.
"Come April 2025 the only thing we are talking about is US tariff actions nothing else is being talke..."
Apr 17, 2025
Pending
Tariffs on countries other than China, scheduled for reintroduction in 90 days, are predicted not to happen.
"technically the tariffs on the rest of the world are supposed to be reintroduced in 90 days. Althoug..."
Apr 13, 2025
Pending
The US will start announcing trade deals with other countries as a negotiating tactic against China, to threaten moving manufacturing out of China.
"What they're going to do is they're going to start announcing deals that they've done with other cou..."
Apr 10, 2025
Pending
Some foreign companies will set up production facilities in the US as a response to Trump's tariffs.
"and yeah some of it is are going to happen"
Apr 3, 2025
Pending
Tariffs targeting the pharmaceutical industry are predicted to be implemented by the Trump administration on or around April 2, 2025.
"So according to what he is saying, these tariffs will go into effect."
Mar 29, 2025
Pending
Reciprocal tariffs are predicted to go into effect or become clearly implemented by April 2nd, requiring the US to impose tariffs on products from countries that tariff US goods.
"reciprocal tariffs come into play April 2nd meaning whatever other countries are going to tariff us...."
Mar 22, 2025
Pending
Trump will continue to use tariffs as a negotiation tool.
"that is a lever that he is going to continue to use and uh use for negotiation"
Feb 26, 2025
Pending
The speaker predicts that the Trump administration will continue engaging in trade wars with other countries, and the markets will react significantly in the following weeks and months.
"people think that this trade War isn't going to continue it's just going to be very it's going to be..."
Feb 17, 2025
Pending
The new Trump administration will continue trade war debates in the weeks and months following February 2025, leading to market reactions.
"he's just starting his term and the really interesting about thing about that is that people think t..."
Feb 17, 2025
Pending
Trump is predicted to announce 25% tariffs on aluminum and steel imports, specifically targeting China and Japan, this week (week of Feb 10, 2025).
"Trump has made it very clear last week that he plans to announce it this week so this is why I'm her..."
Feb 10, 2025
Pending
The muted market response to Trump's tariff announcements is predicted to encourage him to make more extreme policy announcements in the future.
"The problem with this lack of reaction – is that it possibly gives Trump the green light for more ex..."
Feb 8, 2025
Pending
Regardless of the US election outcome, protectionism, tariffs, and subsidies are expected to be key components of future US trade policy.
"No matter who wins in the upcoming US election – trade can be expected be a huge political issue goi..."
Nov 3, 2024
Pending
The author predicts that trade will remain a major political issue in the US, with protectionism, tariffs, and subsidies likely policies regardless of election outcomes.
"No matter who wins in the upcoming US election – trade can be expected be a huge political issue goi..."
Nov 3, 2024
Pending
Protectionist trade policies in the US are expected to increase over time, regardless of the administration.
"US policymakers have begun to pay more attention to trade imbalances, first under Trump and then und..."
Feb 17, 2024
Pending