Inf
Inflation
Topic
61.1%
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 7
Pending: 223
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Inflation will not return to the 2% target.
"inflation has headed back down to 2% there's not a chance that that's going to happen"
May 4, 2024
Pending
Inflation will be defeated, at best, by Fall 2024.
"When is inflation defeated best case scenarios probably fall time best case scenario"
May 2, 2024
Pending
Inflation is showing signs of becoming persistently high, remaining around the 3% mark.
"inflation is becoming very sticky in the 3% range"
May 1, 2024
Pending
The reported CPI increase likely represents a doubling of the actual increase in the cost of living.
"the 25% increase in the CPI probably equates to a 50% increase in the actual cost of living"
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
Predicted that inflation will not reaccelerate to 7-8% in 2024.
"I don't really think it's going to become an issue this year... I don't really think that inflation ..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
The speaker believes the Consumer Price Index (CPI) underestimates the true extent of inflation, suggesting inflation is more severe than officially reported.
"we still have an inflation problem I think that the CPI broadly understates the severity of that pro..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
Forward-looking indicators, such as soaring commodity prices, suggest that inflation will continue to rise and impact the CPI later in the year.
"the trajectory is much higher and especially if you look at the forward-looking indicators look at c..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
Inflation is predicted to return to 10%, rather than decrease to the 2% target set by the Federal Reserve.
"I think the inflation is going to continue going upwards closer to the 10% number back where we were..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
The speaker believes the official inflation rate significantly understates the actual price increases, suggesting a true inflation rate closer to 18% when the reported rate was 9%.
"there's like no chance that that's going to happen and you know ultimately the rates going higher bu..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
Inflation is predicted to rise again towards 10% later in the year, driven by soaring commodity prices, contrary to the Federal Reserve's target of 2%.
"I think the trajectory is much higher and especially if you look at the forward-looking indicators l..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
Prices are expected to continue rising significantly as they adjust to the increased money supply.
"prices are going higher they're going much higher we're still early in the process where prices are ..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
Predicted that if a second wave of inflation occurs, it would not happen in 2024, but possibly in 2025.
"I think it's possible we get a second wave but if we do I would guess it wouldn't happen until maybe..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
Commodity prices are soaring, indicating that CPI inflation will likely trend back towards 10% later in the year, rather than the Federal Reserve's target of 2%.
"the trajectory is much higher and especially if you look at the forward-looking indicators look at c..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
Soaring commodity prices indicate that inflation is likely to rise back towards 10% later in the year, contrary to the Federal Reserve's 2% target.
"the trajectory is much higher and especially if you look at the forward-looking indicators look at c..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
Prices are expected to continue rising significantly as they adjust to the increased money supply.
"prices are going higher they're going much higher we're still early in the process where prices are ..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
Government programs like PPP are seen as exacerbating economic problems and were associated with significant fraud.
"all these programs made the economic problems worse not better and the PPP program I think was named..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
Prices are expected to continue rising significantly due to an increase in the money supply, outpacing wage growth and eroding savings.
"prices are going higher they're going much higher we're still early in the process where prices are ..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
Inflation is predicted to rise towards 10% later in the year, based on soaring commodity prices.
"I think that the trajectory is much higher and especially if you look at the forward-looking indicat..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
The official inflation rate is underestimated; the actual price increases are approximately double the reported figures.
"the official rate probably only captures about half the actual price increases so when you're at 9% ..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
The speaker asserts that the US has a significant inflation problem that is understated by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) by design.
"we still have an inflation problem I think that the CPI broadly understates the severity of that pro..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
Inflation is likely to moderate somewhat by the end of 2024.
"it's still likely to moderate a little through the end of the year"
Apr 15, 2024
Pending
Inflation numbers for the second half of 2024 are predicted to be 'very bad' due to rising commodity prices (GSG).
"now because Commodities are running so much we're setting up for a very bad back half of the year wh..."
Apr 5, 2024
Pending
Inflation numbers are predicted to be 'very bad' in the second half of 2024.
"we're setting up for a very bad back half of the year when it comes to inflation numbers"
Apr 5, 2024
Pending
Housing CPI is predicted to continue dropping over the next 6-12 months (from March 2024), leading to overall inflation going down rather than up.
"housing is a lagging indicator and that should continue to drop over you know over the next 6 to 12 ..."
Mar 15, 2024
Pending
Inflation is predicted to continue trending downwards, albeit slowly.
"I really do think that inflation is coming back down it's just taking a long time...inflation's goin..."
Mar 8, 2024
Pending
The Carrefour-PepsiCo dispute, where PepsiCo struggled to raise prices without losing customers, indicates a broader slowdown of inflation.
"in the great scheme of things the situation portrays The Slowdown of inflation when not even Brands ..."
Feb 29, 2024
Pending
A 'hot' PCE inflation report is predicted to cause investors to delay interest rate cut expectations, dampening the stock market.
"Another hot inflation report and investors might have to push back those expectations even further y..."
Feb 26, 2024
Pending
Rich Hill expects inflation to decrease in 2024.
"Hill expects inflation to head lower in 2024"
Feb 15, 2024
Correct
Inflation is predicted to reaccelerate.
"part of me does think that you'll see a reacceleration in inflation"
Feb 12, 2024
Pending
The trend of lower inflation is predicted to continue for multiple months.
"that lower inflation could continue that multi multi-month Trend"
Feb 12, 2024
Pending
Predicted that inflation will return to 2% over time.
"we're committed to returning inflation to 2% over time"
Feb 9, 2024
Pending
Cutting interest rates too early risks inflation reaccelerating, similar to the 1970s when it fell to 3% before rising again.
"if you do lower rates too soon then you run the risk of inflation reaccelerating just like it did in..."
Feb 2, 2024
Pending
Disinflation is expected to continue, with housing inflation specifically predicted to decrease.
"I do I I still am in the camp that we you know that that disinflation could continue mainly because ..."
Jan 29, 2024
Pending
Housing inflation is predicted to continue decreasing.
"I do think that housing inflation will continue to come down"
Jan 29, 2024
Pending
Inflation is predicted to flare up again due to global supply chain disruptions (e.g., in the Red Sea).
"inflation is being talked about as maybe flaring up again because uh you know I think the the the uh..."
Jan 25, 2024
Pending
Inflation is predicted to subside.
"I am still in the camp that inflation will subside"
Jan 23, 2024
Pending
Inflation predicted to subside.
"while I am still in the camp that inflation will subside"
Jan 23, 2024
Pending
Headline inflation is predicted to come down in the short term, over the next six months.
"I'm still thinking that there's a good chance that headline inflation will come down at least like i..."
Jan 15, 2024
Pending
If Quantitative Easing (QE) resumes after housing inflation comes down, there is a risk of a second wave of inflation similar to the 1970s.
"once housing comes down and we're back to QE then that's the question of well did they stay the cour..."
Jan 15, 2024
Pending
Headline inflation is expected to come down in the short term, over the next six months.
"I'm still thinking that there's a good chance that headline inflation will come down at least like i..."
Jan 15, 2024
Pending
Stimulating spending in sectors like housing, cars, or general goods could increase demand and worsen inflation.
"if we were to Spur spending whether it's in housing or cars or just regular Goods that could create ..."
Jan 12, 2024
Pending