SPX
SPX
index
53.3%
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 7
Pending: 332
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
The stock market (S&P 500) is predicted to bottom (at least temporarily) when the 'interest rates minus the 2-year yield' metric tops and hits its lower high.
"The stock market bottoms whenever interest rates minus the 2-year yield hits this lower high, right?..."
Apr 7, 2025
Pending
The S&P 500 is predicted to crash another 15% (potentially to around 4260 from 5400) if it hits its lower Bollinger Band, having already lost the midline.
"When we lose the midline price often reaches the lower band. We've lost the midline by the way. Uh S..."
Apr 7, 2025
Pending
S&P 500 will experience a sharp relief rally in the next few days (from 2025-04-06).
"very soon in the next uh few days, maybe Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, we should get a pretty sharp uh..."
Apr 6, 2025
Pending
The S&P 500 will bottom around the 4657 level.
"I think the last level of support that we'll see in the S&P 500 uh before it finally bottoms would b..."
Apr 6, 2025
Pending
The current S&P 500 bear market will not drop more than 25% from its peak.
"I personally do not see that this correction or bare market goes more than 25% below the high."
Apr 6, 2025
Pending
S&P 500 likely to enter a bear market (drop 20% from peak) in the coming week (from 2025-04-06) if it closes below 4873.
"there's a high chance the S&P may enter into a bare market this coming week if the price keeps dropp..."
Apr 6, 2025
Pending
S&P 500 to find massive support at 4,700 (its 200E moving average).
"we're calling for a reversion back to the mean, the mean reversion, that being towards the 200E movi..."
Apr 5, 2025
Incorrect
S&P 500 drop predicted to extend into April 2025.
"we said that there's a a good chance that this drop could extend into April"
Apr 3, 2025
Pending
S&P 500 predicted to start moving back up around mid-April 2025.
"my guess is that you know it could take until mid April um for for things to to maybe start moving b..."
Apr 3, 2025
Pending
US equity markets (S&P 500) were predicted to experience a significant drop at market open on April 3, 2025.
"Equity is going to puke on the US Open though Futures are down bad right now"
Apr 3, 2025
Pending
If the S&P 500 forms a death cross, it will be followed by at least a counter-trend rally, possibly leading to a new high.
"if it keeps trending like this there will be a death cross for the S&P 500... after the death cross ..."
Apr 3, 2025
Pending
The speaker predicts that the current ~6% S&P 500 drop (as of April 2025) will likely not lead to a major market disaster or sustained panic-inducing decline.
"so a near 6% drop in the span of a few weeks is most likely not the cause for alarm that a lot of fo..."
Apr 2, 2025
Correct
April 2025 is predicted to be a bullish month for the stock market, with an 80% historical probability of being higher and an average return of 2.9% following a bearish March.
"So based on the last 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 years of very bearish marches you can see that the foll..."
Apr 1, 2025
Pending
The stock market (S&P 500, implicitly) will find its bottom around April 2nd, 2025, or a few days thereafter, and subsequently experience a reversal and rally.
"I think there's a pretty good chance that when April 2nd comes and goes the market will get a s of r..."
Apr 1, 2025
Pending
The S&P 500 index will bottom out at 5357 points during the current correction, if it is a normal market correction.
"at the very most I think we will drop down to at the very most we will bottom at 5357... to get to t..."
Apr 1, 2025
Pending
S&P 500 weakness is predicted to extend into early to mid-April (2025), followed by a larger counter-trend rally.
"I also said there's a possibility that it could extend into early to mid April as well before there'..."
Mar 30, 2025
Pending
The S&P 500 is predicted to fall to 5317 (a 13.5% drop from its peak and the average correction level) before it's a good time to buy the dip.
"if the S&P 500 falls further to 5317 it's going to Mark a 13.5% drop from the peak that's going to b..."
Mar 24, 2025
Pending
The S&P 500, currently below the 200 moving average, is potentially forming a bear flag that will resolve with a move to the downside.
"we're below the 200 moving average and potentially this is just a bare flag that's going to resolve ..."
Mar 18, 2025
Pending
The S&P 500 bull market support band is expected to roll over and be retested within a few weeks of March 16, 2025.
"in the coming weeks what you'll likely see here is the S&P uh bull Mark sport Ben roll over as the w..."
Mar 16, 2025
Pending
The S&P 500 is expected to find a local low around March options expiration (March 21, 2025), give or take one to two weeks, followed by a counter-trend rally.
"my expectation is that the low the local low is sometime around March Opex right plus or minus a wee..."
Mar 16, 2025
Pending
An S&P 500 counter-trend rally is predicted to begin no later than mid-April 2025.
"my guess at this point would be no later than mid April"
Mar 16, 2025
Pending
A counter-trend rally in the market is anticipated later in spring 2025, potentially extending into the summer.
"I think there will be a counter Trend rally um later this spring going into potentially the summer"
Mar 14, 2025
Pending
The S&P 500 (SPX) is predicted to drop at most another 2-3% from its current level (already down 10% from highs), reaching a low of 5358. This represents a total decline of at most 13% from its high during the current correction.
"my guess is that I think the market will drop at the very most another 2 to 3% that's it... highly l..."
Mar 12, 2025
Pending
If the S&P 500 falls below 5,500 after March options expiration, the market is likely to favor upside heading into April.
"on the other side of March options expiration if it's no if it's lower than 5500 the market would pr..."
Mar 11, 2025
Pending
The S&P 500 was expected to drop to around 5,500.
"I was thinking mentally I was thinking around 5,500 was kind of like my mental Target"
Mar 11, 2025
Pending
If the S&P 500 fails to hold support at 5,500, it could drop to around 4,200.
"if this doesn't hold at 5,500 we're down to maybe 4,200 or something"
Mar 10, 2025
Pending
S&P 500 was expected to remain weak from late February to late March 2025.
"sort of my expectation for the S&P 500 before realizing there'd be this much much uncertainty was th..."
Mar 6, 2025
Pending
The author predicts the S&P 500 index will retrace to below 5840, which would constitute at least a 5% correction.
"While I think stocks are likely to retrace to below 5840 on the S&P 500 for at least a 5% correction..."
Mar 3, 2025
Pending
Risk assets, including the S&P 500, are predicted to find a bottom around Summer 2025, approximately one year after the US interest rates metric tagged its trend line in Summer 2024.
"when did it tag the trend line the summer of 2024 so what if what if this isn't the craziest compari..."
Feb 27, 2025
Pending
The S&P 500's weakness (in a post-election year, i.e., 2025) is expected to continue until late March.
"that weakness is likely not going to go away until late March"
Feb 27, 2025
Pending
The S&P 500 is predicted to experience significant weakness during post-election years (specifically 2025).
"there's a lot of weakness in the S&P 500 during this time of postelection years"
Feb 27, 2025
Pending
The S&P 500 is predicted to show considerable weakness between its February and March options expirations (referring to 2025).
"there's a lot of weakness between options expiration in February that happened about a week ago and ..."
Feb 27, 2025
Pending
The S&P 500 Index is predicted to yield an average annual compound return of about 10% over the long run.
"the stock market over the long run through the ups and downs through Bull and B markets will compoun..."
Feb 26, 2025
Pending
Marian Bartell predicts S&P 500 to reach 7200-7400 by the end of 2025.
"we have pretty aggressive targets for this year 7200 just 7200 to 74 7400"
Feb 10, 2025
Pending
Marian Bartell targets the S&P 500 to reach 10,000-13,000 by the end of the decade (2029-2030).
"my decade end Target is 10,000 to 13,000 on the S&P"
Feb 10, 2025
Pending
Several major financial institutions (Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Oppenheimer) predict the S&P 500 will reach 6500 by the end of 2025, with Oppenheimer forecasting a potential 20% rise.
"Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan and golden Sachs believe the S&P 500 will end the year at 6500 and Oppenhe..."
Feb 3, 2025
Pending
The S&P 500 (SPX) has a high chance of achieving a double-digit gain for the year 2025, based on the January Effect.
"if history repeats itself then this year we have a high chance of seeing another double digigit year..."
Feb 1, 2025
Pending
The S&P 500 market cycle peak will occur earlier than normal (a 'left translated cycle') if inflation or the unemployment rate begins to accelerate.
"The only way that that wouldn't happen in my in my opinion is if the S&P 500 gets a left translated ..."
Jan 21, 2025
Pending
S&P 500 to reach a new all-time high after strong earnings reports in February 2025.
"if those companies all come in good numbers good guidance we're going right back up and next thing y..."
Jan 13, 2025
Pending
Mark Newton predicted S&P 500 to find a turning point (bottom) at 5700 on Wednesday, January 15, 2025.
"our technician Mark Newton thinks 5700 might be the turning point it could happen Wednesday"
Jan 13, 2025
Pending
S&P 500 predicted to reach London session lows.
"if we're able to deliver all the way down to these London session lows that would be huge down here ..."
Jan 7, 2025
Pending
In 2025, the ratio of S&P 500 to unemployment rate squared may drop (indicating a potential market bottom), followed by a multi-month rally, preceding a typical bear market in 2026.
"at some point in 2025 you might get that same thing right you might see the S SMP divided by the une..."
Jan 7, 2025
Pending
S&P 500 predicted to deliver (reach) previous day's low.
"this will will'll probably end up delivering previous days low"
Jan 7, 2025
Pending
S&P 500 predicted NOT to sweep out previous day lows.
"I don't think we're going to come down and sweep out previous day lows"
Jan 7, 2025
Pending
S&P 500 companies' Q4 earnings are expected to grow 11.9% year-over-year.
"Earnings reported by S&P 500 companies are expected to be very strong though up 11.9% in the fourth ..."
Jan 6, 2025
Pending
Predicted that risk assets would accelerate again if the long end of the yield curve starts to show weakness.
"if you can see the long end uh start to to show weakness then you would likely see risk assets accel..."
Dec 22, 2024
Correct
Predicted a short-term correction for the S&P 500 if the US dollar and the long end of the yield curve rally to previous highs.
"if the dollar rallies the long of the O curve is likely also going to rally and if they rally right ..."
Dec 22, 2024
Pending
Predicted that the S&P 500 should start moving up again whenever the long end of the yield curve tops.
"whenever the long end tops that's when the S&P should start moving up again"
Dec 22, 2024
Pending
The S&P 500 is predicted to initially rally to 7,000 in early 2025, then crash to the 5,000 range, and finally stage a Q4 2025 rally to 6,600.
"he expects the market to blast higher at the beginning of the year S&P 500 will go to 7,000 followed..."
Dec 16, 2024
Pending
Tom Lee predicts the S&P 500 will rally in December 2024, potentially reaching 6,300 by year-end.
"you still expect uh the S&P to continue to Rally in December and maybe to 6,300 by year end"
Dec 2, 2024
Pending