US
US Interest Rates
Topic
55.3%
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 16
Pending: 83
Unrated: 1
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Donald Trump's stated goal is to reduce interest rates to 1%.
"Trump wants interest rates at 1%."
Dec 15, 2025
Incorrect
A loss of AAA credit rating for a country is predicted to increase borrowing costs and interest rates for everyone.
"if a country loses its AAA rating, then it's going to raise the borrowing costs for the governments,..."
Dec 8, 2025
Correct
The US is currently paying higher interest rates on its debt than it has in over twenty years.
"But we're also paying significantly higher interest rates than we have seen in more than two decades..."
Nov 15, 2025
Correct
The US is predicted to lower interest rates.
"US will have to have lower interest rates"
Nov 13, 2025
Correct
Expectation of five interest rate cuts in the US within the next year, concluding by the end of 2026.
"We are in the beginning of the cycle of interest rate cuts. We just seen one rate cut in in US after..."
Oct 17, 2025
Incorrect
Potential US rate cuts in October and December could significantly boost Indian markets. If US inflation is within expectations, rate cuts are likely.
"If the interest rates are within the thought process of their you know Fed then in that case there'l..."
Sep 25, 2025
Incorrect
The Fed's median projection indicates two more 25 basis point interest rate cuts are expected before the end of 2025.
"the median projection showed two more 25 basis point cuts are expected before the end of 2025."
Sep 18, 2025
Incorrect
Traders are pricing in a greater than 70% probability of US interest rate cuts in both October and December meetings.
"traders are now pricing in a greater than 70% chance of cuts at both the October and December meetin..."
Sep 18, 2025
Incorrect
Goldman Sachs expects interest rate cuts in October and December.
"Goldman Sachs is aligned with the market, penciling in cuts for October and December."
Sep 18, 2025
Pending
The US Federal Reserve reduced its benchmark rate by 25 basis points in September 2025, setting the new range at 4% to 4.25%.
"Federal Reserve cut the Fed fund rate by 25 basis points in September 2025 bringing it to the 4 to 4..."
Sep 18, 2025
Correct
Bank of America predicts the Fed will not cut interest rates again until 2026.
"Bank of America has warned that the Fed may not cut again until 2026"
Sep 18, 2025
Correct
Two potential outcomes for US interest rates: either they are lowered and capital flows in, or faith in the government erodes, leading to skyrocketing rates due to a lack of US treasury purchases.
"Rates are lowered and money just comes in. The flip side to that is people do lose faith and rates s..."
Sep 13, 2025
Incorrect
The Fed faces a dilemma: cutting interest rates too little or too late could lead to a hard landing, while cutting too much could re-ignite inflation.
"Cut too little or late, hard landing. Cut too much, reignited inflation."
Sep 12, 2025
Correct
Current weak payroll growth and rising unemployment suggest further interest rate cuts are expected, aligning with typical economic cycle predictions.
"For now, weak payroll growth plus higher unemployment equals more cuts priced in. Exactly what textb..."
Sep 12, 2025
Correct
Markets anticipate a 0.25% interest rate cut in September, with a 12% probability of a 0.5% cut.
"Markets are reading this Labor data as a guaranteed September rate cut. At least a 0.25% is locked i..."
Sep 12, 2025
Incorrect
Market expectations for US interest rate cuts have significantly increased, with a 90% chance of a 25 basis point cut and a 10% chance of a 50 basis point cut. Bank of America analysts now predict two rate cuts this year.
"So the rate the rate cut probabilities jumped uh on poly market in in indeed in the CME futures rate..."
Sep 8, 2025
Correct
Bank of America analysts revised their outlook, predicting two rate cuts this year, a change from their previous stance of no cuts.
"and indeed even some analysts at the likes of Bank of America which were previously saying we we wou..."
Sep 8, 2025
Pending
PPI data is expected on September 10th, followed by CPI data on September 11th, with headline CPI expected at 2.9% (vs 2.7 previous) and core CPI at 3.1% (vs 3.1 previous). These figures will influence expectations for monetary policy.
"That's on September 10th PPI. This is the producer price inflation and that's the precursor to the b..."
Sep 8, 2025
Incorrect
Rate cut probabilities jumped significantly following weak jobs data, with a 90% chance of a 25 basis point cut and a 10% chance of a 50 basis point cut.
"So the rate the rate cut probabilities jumped uh on poly market in in indeed in the CME futures rate..."
Sep 8, 2025
Correct
Fed Governors Waller and Bowman advocated for a 0.25% rate cut, explaining their reasoning after the July meeting.
"Governors Waller and Bowman continuing that tradition of explaining their dissents on the Friday aft..."
Aug 4, 2025
Incorrect
With cooling inflation and a slowing labor market, the Federal Reserve has sufficient justification to begin lowering interest rates.
"So, if inflation is cooling, and it is, and now that the labor market is slowing down, then they hav..."
Aug 4, 2025
Correct
The speaker suggests that the Fed chair (Powell) should lower interest rates.
"Drone pow, lower interest rates."
Aug 4, 2025
Incorrect
There are potentially interesting, non-obvious reasons why the jobs numbers were significantly inaccurate.
"So, the question is then, what might be the real reason that they got it so wrong? And here's where ..."
Aug 4, 2025
Unrated
There is a 90% probability that the Federal Reserve will begin lowering interest rates by at least 0.25%.
"And right now, it's predicting a 90% chance that the Fed will start to lower rates by at least a qua..."
Aug 4, 2025
Correct
If the Federal Reserve does not lower interest rates significantly in 2025 and a new leader is appointed in 2026 who favors aggressive cuts, interest rates could decrease in 2026.
"if Jerome Powell doesn't cut interest rates a lot in 2025, and now here comes 2026, the Federal Rese..."
Jul 28, 2025
Pending
A significant reduction in interest rates is not anticipated in the immediate future.
"Based on the information we have today, it doesn't look like we're going to see a big drop in intere..."
Jul 28, 2025
Pending
Predicted that policy makers will lower US interest rates as early as July 2025.
"policy makers should be looking to lower interest rates as early as next month."
Jun 20, 2025
Incorrect
Predicted that policy makers will lower US interest rates as early as July 2025.
"policy makers should be looking to lower interest rates as early as next month."
Jun 20, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve anticipates one or two rate cuts this year and potentially one next year due to expected higher inflation and slower growth.
"Basically, this means that they expect slightly higher inflation, slightly slower growth, and that's..."
Jun 18, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve projects the federal funds rate to be 3.4% in 2027.
"And just like we expected, they anticipate higher interest rates for longer with an estimated federa..."
Jun 18, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve anticipates the earliest possible interest rate cut will be in September.
"The Federal Reserve decided to once again pause interest rate cuts for the foreseeable future with t..."
Jun 18, 2025
Incorrect
A 25 basis point interest rate cut is predicted for this year, contingent on economic conditions.
"I tend to believe that we'll likely see a 25 basis point rate cut at some point this year if conditi..."
Jun 18, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve expects inflation to return to the 2% target after 2027.
"In this case, they believe that inflation will eventually return to their 2% target, but not until a..."
Jun 18, 2025
Pending
A recession could lead to mortgage rates dropping to 5% as the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates.
"there's two reasons that could bring us down to 5% mortgage rates. Number one is we enter a recessio..."
Jun 7, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve typically lowers interest rates during economic slowdowns or recessions, potentially leading to lower mortgage rates.
"Number two is because of time. Number one, if you enter a recession, well, the Federal Reserve Bank ..."
Jun 7, 2025
Pending
No interest rate cuts are expected from the Fed for at least the next two months.
"the Fed still hasn't pivoted yet. QT is still continuing. We don't expect to see any rate cuts at le..."
May 5, 2025
Pending
It is clear that there will be no interest rate cut at the upcoming FOMC meeting on Wednesday at 2 PM.
"Wednesday 2 p.m. mark your calendars that's FOMC meeting the Federal Open Markets Committee meeting...."
May 5, 2025
Pending
US government interest rates increased at the fastest rate since 2001.
"interest rates set by the United States government went up at the fastest rate that we have seen sin..."
Apr 15, 2025
Pending
The current market situation might be a strategy to corner China, similar to how the British pound was cornered in the 1990s, rather than to crash the markets.
"So, I want to help explain exactly what's going on because this might actually be part of a strategy..."
Apr 14, 2025
Pending
When bonds are sold off, interest rates rise because bond prices and yields move inversely; a drop in price leads to an increase in yield.
"So, what happens then to interest rates when bonds get sold off? Their rates adjust upward. And that..."
Apr 14, 2025
Correct
The current events might be a strategy to corner China, mirroring the approach used against the British pound in the 1990s, rather than intending to crash markets.
"So, I want to help explain exactly what's going on because this might actually be part of a strategy..."
Apr 14, 2025
Pending
The actions taken from this point forward will be critical in determining the future of global economic systems and reserve currencies.
"And that's how you get two separate economic systems or two world reserve currencies. Now, we're not..."
Apr 14, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve may implement quantitative easing (QE 2.0) to stabilize the bond market if China continues to sell US treasuries.
"So, the Federal Reserve might have to step in and start buying US treasuries to stabilize the bond m..."
Apr 14, 2025
Incorrect
While the Fed manages short-term interest rates, long-term rates, such as the 10-year Treasury yield, are determined by market forces of buyers and sellers.
"The Fed controls short-term rates like what's called the overnight lending rate between banks and th..."
Apr 14, 2025
Correct
The bond market's significance lies in its ability to dictate interest rates, influence the central bank, the stock market, and presidential actions.
"And this is why the bond market is so important. It can control interest rates. It can control the c..."
Apr 14, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve may implement quantitative easing (QE 2.0) to stabilize the bond market due to rising interest rates.
"So, the Federal Reserve might have to step in and start buying US treasuries to stabilize the bond m..."
Apr 14, 2025
Incorrect
If China continues to sell US treasuries, US interest rates will rise, making loans like mortgages, credit cards, and car loans more expensive.
"First, US interest rates could go up making mortgages, credit cards and of course car loans a lot mo..."
Apr 14, 2025
Correct
When countries like China sell US debt, interest rates must increase to attract new investors.
"And that's because when countries like China start to sell off US debt, which are their Treasury bon..."
Apr 14, 2025
Correct
Interest rates are currently rising.
"So, interest rates go up. And that's exactly what we're seeing right now."
Apr 14, 2025
Correct
Yields on the 10-year Treasury are increasing because China's sale of US debt creates a widespread ripple effect.
"Now, right now, the yields on what's called the 10-year Treasury are going up. And that's because wh..."
Apr 14, 2025
Incorrect