US
US Tariffs
Topic
N/A
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 2
Pending: 77
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
A Supreme Court decision on Trump's tariffs is expected tomorrow. If the ruling is against Trump, the US may have to refund collected tariffs.
"Supreme Court decision on Trump tariffs tomorrow. ... if the court order goes against Trump and if i..."
Jan 8, 2026
Pending
A Supreme Court decision on tariffs, expected in December or January, has the potential to introduce significant volatility into the market.
"We also have a Supreme Court decision on tariffs expected in December or January, which could inject..."
Nov 19, 2025
Pending
Tariff revenue in 2025 is projected to be slightly under $300 billion.
"As you can see, the revenue collected this year from tariffs is so much higher than previous years. ..."
Nov 17, 2025
Pending
There is a possibility that Trump's tariffs will be overturned by the Supreme Court, which would be a positive for the markets.
"There's also the possibility that Trump's tariffs will be thrown out by the Supreme Court in the com..."
Nov 7, 2025
Incorrect
The July 31st executive order finalized tariff rates, leading to an immediate market crash.
"The July 31st executive order that locked in the final rates and triggered an immediate market meltd..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The average US tariff rate is 27%, which is over ten times higher than the 2.5% average in 2024.
"America imposing an average tariff rate of 27%, more than 10 times higher than the 2024 average of 2..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Countries were given until July to secure tariff exemptions or face economic isolation.
"Countries had until July to negotiate exemptions or face economic exile."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Vietnam successfully initiated talks for tariff removal, while other nations were unsuccessful.
"Vietnam managed to secure talks for possible removal, but others weren't so lucky."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Trade experts have pointed out that the term 'reciprocal' used for the tariff framework is misleading.
"Trump's reciprocal tariff framework. As trade experts have noted, calling these reciprocal was a bit..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The tariff rates were determined by dividing trade deficits by exports, not by reciprocal charges from other countries.
"The rates weren't based on what other countries were charging America. They were calculated by divid..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Switzerland, with average tariffs below 1%, faced a 39% US tariff rate due to having a trade surplus.
"Now, Switzerland, with average tariff rates under 1% faced American rates of 39% because they dared ..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The final executive order on July 31st, after three months of negotiations, solidified the tariff schedule, confirming widespread concerns.
"After 3 months of threats and negotiations, the final executive order dropped on July 31st. The defi..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Trade policy was implemented via a spreadsheet, with severe rates for major partners and minor reductions for compliant nations.
"It was trade policy by spreadsheet, maintaining crushing rates on major trading partners while offer..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The tariff order was issued at an inopportune time, coinciding with negative corporate earnings and poor economic data.
"The timing couldn't have been worse. The order landed just as markets were digesting disappointing e..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The initial tariff list included an average rate of 27%, significantly higher than the 2.5% average in 2024.
"The initial list showed America imposing an average tariff rate of 27%, more than 10 times higher th..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The 90-day grace period for tariffs was perceived as a strategic tactic rather than leniency.
"The 90-day grace period Trump granted wasn't so much mercy as psychological warfare."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The implementation of Trump's reciprocal tariff framework was considered an absurd measure.
"The absurdity peaked with Trump's reciprocal tariff framework."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The tariff calculation method penalized efficient exporters while benefiting less efficient ones.
"The mathematical approach punished efficient exporters and rewarded inefficient ones."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The July 31st executive order finalized the tariff schedule, validating negative expectations.
"The final executive order dropped on July 31st. The definitive tariff schedule confirmed everyone's ..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The tariff order was released at an extremely unfavorable time, coinciding with negative corporate earnings and weak economic data.
"The timing couldn't have been worse. The order landed just as markets were digesting disappointing e..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
America's initial tariff list featured an average rate of 27%, a tenfold increase compared to the 2024 average of 2.5%.
"The initial list showed America imposing an average tariff rate of 27%, more than 10 times higher th..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Tariff rates are subject to rapid and frequent changes.
"The tariff rates alone can change faster than we can actually edit."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
President Trump announced threatened tariff rates between 11% and 50% for numerous trading partners.
"Trump unveiled his tariff spreadsheet with the theatrical flare showing threatened rates ranging fro..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Specific threatened tariff rates included 41% on Syria, 40% on Laos and Myanmar, and 39% on Switzerland.
"41% on Syria, 40% on Laos and Myanmar, and 39% on Switzerland. Switzerland."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Projected US tariff revenue: $5.2 trillion over 10 years (Penn Wharton) and $2.7 trillion from 2026-2035 (Yale).
"Pen Wharton is projecting $5.2 trillion in tariff revenue over 10 years. Yale estimates 2.7 trillion..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The tariff order's release coincided with a period of poor corporate earnings and weak economic indicators, making the timing particularly unfavorable.
"The timing couldn't have been worse. The order landed just as markets were digesting disappointing e..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The concept of Trump's reciprocal tariff framework was deemed absurd.
"The absurdity peaked with Trump's reciprocal tariff framework."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The methodology used for tariffs penalized efficient exporters while benefiting inefficient ones.
"The mathematical approach punished efficient exporters and rewarded inefficient ones."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The executive order issued on July 31st finalized the tariff schedule, confirming the most negative expectations.
"The final executive order dropped on July 31st. The definitive tariff schedule confirmed everyone's ..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The 90-day grace period offered by Trump was viewed as a psychological tactic rather than a gesture of leniency.
"The 90-day grace period Trump granted wasn't so much mercy as psychological warfare."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, and copper are under investigation for potential targeted restrictions due to US tariffs.
"The administration is investigating pharmaceutical semiconductors and copper for targeted restrictio..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Baseline tariffs to increase to 10-20%, with secondary tariffs of 40% on countries assisting others in evading US duties, implemented in September.
"Trump has announced plans to raise the baseline tariff from 10 to 15 to 20% with September bringing ..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Despite some clarity on current tariff rates, there are still many uncertainties to resolve, and the process of settling tariff agreements is not expected to conclude soon.
"we are still, you know, a ways away from seeing where things settle down. we are clearly getting mor..."
Jul 30, 2025
Pending
New tariff deadline set for August 1st impacting 150 countries.
"August 1st is the new tariff deadline for 150 countries."
Jul 24, 2025
Pending
The White House has stated August 1st is a firm deadline for tariffs and will not be postponed further.
"And now the White House is saying that August 1 is a firm deadline and it's not going to be pushed a..."
Jul 24, 2025
Pending
Failure to reach a trade deal by August 1st will lead to increased tariffs, potentially causing market declines.
"And if a deal is not reached before August 1, tariffs are going up and that could push markets down."
Jul 24, 2025
Pending
BlackRock anticipates that high tariffs will not be sustained for an extended period.
"Black Rockck does not think that we are going to see very high tariffs sustained for a very long tim..."
Jul 18, 2025
Pending
BlackRock predicts that tariffs will not be as severe as some anticipate.
"Black Rock says, 'Yes, we're going to see tariffs, but they probably won't be as bad as some people ..."
Jul 18, 2025
Pending
The upcoming tariff announcement on July 9th is significant due to the stock market reaching new record highs.
"Especially because the stock market is breaking new record highs which makes this tariff announcemen..."
Jul 2, 2025
Pending
Uncertainty around Trump's tariffs is expected to resolve by early July.
"with luck most of the tariff uncertainty will be gone by the time the current 90-day pause expires s..."
Apr 20, 2025
Pending
A 10% tariff on all US imports is implemented, with specific rates for China (34%), Vietnam (46%), and the EU (20%).
"putting a 10% tariff on All Imports across the board China got hit with 34% Vietnam 46% even the Eur..."
Apr 4, 2025
Incorrect
The US has shifted its rationale for imposing tariffs on China multiple times, moving from trade fairness to semiconductors and AI, and now to an unspecified reason ('fenel').
"the US is now on its third rationale for waging a trade war with China first it was about trade fair..."
Mar 18, 2025
Pending
President Trump has postponed tariffs on Mexico and Canada by one month, which was seen positively by the market.
"President Donald Trump again announced a one month delay in tariffs especially for Mexico and Canada..."
Mar 6, 2025
Correct
Trump has indicated that tariffs on goods from Canada and Mexico will proceed as planned.
"more recently Trump indicated that the tariffs on Canada and Mexico would actually be going ahead as..."
Mar 2, 2025
Pending
While 10% tariffs on China are expected to cause inflation, China might devalue its currency to preserve export competitiveness.
"it's assumed that these 10% tariffs would result in inflation but it's possible that China could cho..."
Mar 2, 2025
Pending
The primary objective of Trump's tariffs is to generate revenue by taxing imported goods from other countries.
"the purpose of Trump's tariffs is to raise as much money as possible by practically taxing other cou..."
Mar 2, 2025
Pending
President Trump announced a 25% tariff on Mexico, a 25% tariff on Canada, and a 10% tariff on China.
"president Trump announced a 25% tariff on Mexico a 25% tariff on Canada and a 10% tariff on China"
Feb 27, 2025
Pending
25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico are predicted to restart in March.
"president Trump recently announced that the 25% tariffs that were paused on Canada and Mexico are go..."
Feb 27, 2025
Pending
The speaker believes the US will likely not impose 'maddening tariffs' due to concerns about inflation, and a favorable outcome from the meeting between Modi and Trump regarding tariffs would benefit India.
"I believe they may not impose maddening tariffs and plus uh the friends are meeting in USA right now..."
Feb 14, 2025
Pending
There is uncertainty regarding whether US tariffs on Canada and Mexico will be reinstated or lead to further negotiations after the one-month pause.
"now the question is what's going to happen after one month are the tariffs going to be restarted or ..."
Feb 4, 2025
Pending